BMIE Market 02881

Washington County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,687 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±555 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,106 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±274 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,841 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,177 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$56,472 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,857 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	19.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±0 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,642 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±253 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$575,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±109,024 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02881
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-26.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-15.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	34 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	12 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02881. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	46.5	47	40%	+18.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36.5	37	35%	+12.8
Market Momentum Score	11.8	12	25%	+2.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,687	67	40%	+26.7
Median household income (ACS)	56,472	24	40%	+9.5
Households (ACS)	1,106	51	20%	+10.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-21.4	13	35%	+4.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.3	55	25%	+13.8
Population (ACS)	7,687	67	20%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	56,472	24	20%	+4.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 12 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-26.7	10	50%	+4.8
10-year restaurant growth	-21.4	13	30%	+3.9
20-year restaurant growth	-15.4	15	20%	+3.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · American 3 · Asian 3 · Dessert 3 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bakery 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 4 · Casual dining 2 · Quick service 2 · Bar 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
193° Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	50 Lower College Rd	open
Albie's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	99 Fortin Rd	open
Bagelz	Bakery	Bakery	99 Fortin Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	120 Fortin Rd	open
Bru Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	56 Fortin Rd	open
Caliente Mexican Grill Caliente	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	99 Fortin Rd	open
Chocoloco	Dessert · Café	Breakfast · Dessert · Coffee	99 Fortin Rd Ste 124	open
Cousin's RI Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	100 Fortin Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	120 Fortin Rd	open
Flat Waves	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	99 Fortin Rd	open
Golden Jade Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		120 Fortin Rd	open
High 1 URI	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	99 Fortin Rd	open
House Of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	56 Fortin Rd	open
Insomnia Cookies Insomnia Cookies	Bakery · Dessert · Delivery-focused	Bakery · Dessert	99 Fortin Rd	open
International Slice Pizza & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	99 Fortin Rd # 3a	open
International Zone	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Caribbean	100 Fortin Rd	open
Kingston Pizza Kingston Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	63 Briar Ln	open
Mama Phoenix Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	99 Fortin Rd	open
Peking Tokyo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese · Chinese	120 Fortin Rd	open
Pier Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	56 Fortin Rd	open
Providence Bagel	Bakery	Bakery	99 Fortin Rd	open
Ri Guy's Donuts	Bakery	Bakery	99 Fortin Rd	open
Ronzio Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	50 Lower College Rd	open
Simply Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	99 Fortin Rd	open
Spike's Junk Yard Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	120 Fortin Rd	open
Stack House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	99 Fortin Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	99 Fortin Rd Suite 118 & 119	open
Sumo Sushi Kingston	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	99 Fortin Rd #133	open
The 401 Cafe	Café	Coffee	100 Fortin Rd	open
The Lounge - University of Rhode Island	Bar		35 Campus Ave	open
The Rhode House Ri Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American · Sandwiches	99 Fortin Rd Ste 116	open
TLC Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee	100 Fortin Rd	open
URI Dining	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Tootell Rd	open
URI University Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		95 Upper College Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	15	2	11	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	11	1	8	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	9	1	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	9	1	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	10	2	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	13	13	1	9	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	13	1	9	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	1	9	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	11	2	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	12	2	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	10	1	6	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	15	14	1	10	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	14	1	10	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	1	9	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	12	—	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	14	—	11	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	1	8	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	14	1	9	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	13	2	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	13	—	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	15	—	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	3	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	12	—	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	13	—	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	11	—	6	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	11	—	7	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02881. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02874	3.3 mi	3	2023
02879	3.8 mi	61	2023
02892	4.1 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.