BMIE Market 03051

Hillsborough County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	25,557 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,930 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±374 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	24,480 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,215 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$124,213 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,061 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,735 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±123 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$438,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,771 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	28.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	47 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03051
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+38.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+46.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	50 (range 46–53) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03051. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.0	88	40%	+35.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.0	69	35%	+24.1
Market Momentum Score	64.7	65	25%	+16.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	25,557	86	40%	+34.3
Median household income (ACS)	124,213	92	40%	+36.7
Households (ACS)	9,930	85	20%	+17.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.7	66	35%	+23.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.4	42	25%	+10.4
Population (ACS)	25,557	86	20%	+17.1
Median household income (ACS)	124,213	92	20%	+18.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.3	67	50%	+33.4
10-year restaurant growth	23.7	66	30%	+19.8
20-year restaurant growth	38.2	57	20%	+11.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (74)

By cuisine

Pizza 16 · American 12 · Bakery 10 · Coffee 9 · Dessert 7 · Italian 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 5 · Chinese 4 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Steakhouse 2 · Sushi 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Bar 13 · Casual dining 12 · Bakery 11 · Quick service 11 · Dessert 10 · Coffee shop 8 · Café 3 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AJ's Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		11 Tracy Ln	open
Aroma Joe's Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	56 Derry Rd	open
Axe Play	Bar		142 Lowell Rd	open
Backstreet Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · American	76 Derry St	open
Beccari Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	203 Central St	open
Benson's Bakery And Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	203 Central St	open
Bento Sushi Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	77 Derry Rd	open
Bill Cahill's Super Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	8 Kimball Hill Rd	open
Bobcat of NH	Bar		2 Tracy Ln	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	219 Lowell Road	open
California Burrito California Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	35 Lowell Rd	open
Chantels Sourdough	Bakery	Bakery	29 Quail Run Dr	open
Cookies Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	222 Central St	open
Corvino's Pizzeria and Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	1 Industrial Dr Ste 2	open
Country Kitchen Thrift Store and Bakery Outlet	Bakery	Bakery	2 Security Dr	open
Cow Hampshire	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	119 Ferry St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	16 Chase St	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	14 Brady Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	223 Lowell Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	74 Lowell Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	88 Derry Rd	open
Dynamite Sushi Thai and Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	30 Lowell Rd	open
Fharah African Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	23 Burnham Rd	open
Findeisen's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	Route 102	open
Gomana Enterprises Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		142 Lowell Rd Unit 24	open
Grumpy's Cigars and Lounge	Bar		29 Lowell Rd	open
Hudson On The Run	Restaurant (service type not stated)		329 Derry Rd	open
Hudson Smoke Shack	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	175 Lowell Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	6 Flagstone Dr	open
K T's Cookies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery	8 Ironwood Rd	open
Kendall Pond Pizza Sports And Brew	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	35 Lowell Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		10 Morgan Road	open
Lynn's 102 Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	76 Derry Rd	open
Marty Maryjane Joshua Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		297 Derry Rd Unit F	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	251 Lowell Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	75 Derry Rd	open
Mickey's N.Y. Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	94 Lowell Rd	open
Mike's Pie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	93 River Rd	open
Nan King Restaurant	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	222 Central St #2	open
Nick's Roast Beef & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1 Industrial Dr	open
North Side Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American	323 Derry Rd	open
Om Sai Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		254 Lowell Rd	open
Panda Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	76 Derry St	open
Papa Gino's and D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches Papa Gino's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	77 Derry Rd	open
Picco Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		181A Webster St	open
pIng coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	207 Central St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	62 Derry Rd	open
Pizza King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	142 Lowell Rd	open
Pro Athletics - New Hampshire	Bar		10 Roosevelt Ave	open
Professor's Pizza	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	290 Derry Rd	open
Quality Coffee Service	Coffee shop	Coffee	214 Central St	open
Rocco's Pizza Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	297 Derry Rd	open
Sam's Club Bakery Sam's Club	Bakery	Bakery	7 Walmart Blvd	open
So Sweet Confections	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	95 Gowing Rd	open
SoHo Asian Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese · Chinese	49 Lowell Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	6 Flagstone Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	254 Lowell Road	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	77 Lowell Road	open
Suppas Pizza Hudson	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	1 Industrial Dr	open
Suppa’s Pizza, Subs & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1 Industrial Dr	open
Suzie's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	76 Lowell Rd	open
Sweet Moon Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	23 Central St	open
T-Bones	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	256 Lowell Rd	open
T-Bones Great American Eatery T-BONES and Cactus Jack's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	77 Lowell Rd	open
The Bar Food & Spirits	Casual dining · Bar		2b Burnham Rd	open
The Good Place Hudson NH	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	28 Lowell Rd	open
The Vibe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	142 Lowell Rd	open
Timeless Treats Ice Cream Trucks	Dessert · Food truck · Catering	Ice cream / frozen desserts	11 Rebel Rd	open
Town Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Italian · BBQ · American	142 Lowell Rd	open
Veria Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	87 Lowell Rd	open
Wally's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	189 Central St	open
Zheng Garden Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	43 Lowell Rd	open
Cigar Agency Llc	Bar		13 Hampshire Dr Ste 18	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	35	32	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	33	31	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	35	33	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	33	32	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	33	28	13	14	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	42	35	16	16	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	39	33	14	15	4	1	NAICS1997
2001	39	34	10	20	4	1	NAICS1997
2002	40	33	13	19	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	42	34	14	19	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	40	34	15	19	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	40	36	16	20	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	41	36	18	16	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	42	37	15	17	5	—	NAICS2002
2008	39	35	15	15	5	—	NAICS2007
2009	41	36	16	16	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	42	34	14	16	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	47	39	16	19	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	44	37	13	20	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	45	38	15	18	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	45	37	14	17	6	1	NAICS2012
2015	44	38	15	18	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	44	37	14	18	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	46	40	16	20	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	49	43	16	22	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	48	42	16	21	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	50	44	17	22	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	48	43	16	23	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	50	44	15	24	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	53	47	17	23	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03051. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
03060	2.8 mi	117	2023
03064	3.6 mi	17	2023
03076	4.2 mi	13	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.