BMIE Market 03076

Hillsborough County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,449 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,971 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±209 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,897 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,598 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$135,956 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,099 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,425 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±88 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$552,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,703 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03076
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+160.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03076. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.9	83	40%	+33.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.3	65	35%	+22.9
Market Momentum Score	28.7	29	25%	+7.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,449	76	40%	+30.4
Median household income (ACS)	135,956	94	40%	+37.7
Households (ACS)	4,971	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9	76	25%	+19.0
Population (ACS)	14,449	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	135,956	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.1	21	50%	+10.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	8.3	39	20%	+7.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

Dessert 7 · Pizza 6 · American 4 · Coffee 4 · Bakery 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Greek 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Dessert 10 · Bar 9 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Casual dining 3 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anthony’s Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	18 Atwood Rd	open
Bar	Bar		125 Bridge St	open
Baskin-Robbins Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	123 Bridge St	open
Brando's Pizza and Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	116 Bridge St	open
Candy Break Outlet Store	Dessert		33 Bridge St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	150 Bridge Street	open
Donut Monkeys	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	10 Marsh Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	869 Mammoth Rd	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	150 Bridge St	open
Express Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	30 Bridge St	open
Grand 38 Restaurant & Lunch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · American	26 Bridge St	open
Kelari Taverna & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Greek · Mediterranean	125 Bridge St	open
Livi's Bake Shoppe	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	8A Lemere Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	113 Bridge Street	open
Niko's pizza and roast beef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	10 Bridge St	open
Pelham House Of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	30 Bridge St	open
Pine Valley Golf Course	Casual dining · Bar		247 Main St	open
Prelude Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		22 Clark Cir	open
Rayhanna Hookah Lounge	Bar		30 Bridge St	open
Ruby China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	150 Bridge St	open
SandyLand	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	122 Bridge St	open
Singleton's Kitchen	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery	167 Hobbs Rd	open
Smoke & Flame Hookah Lounge	Bar		10 Bridge St Unit 5	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	150 Bridge Street Unit C	open
Suppas Pizza and Subs	Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	150 Bridge St	open
The Billiardaire's Room	Casual dining · Bar		116 Bridge St	open
The Hump Inn & Tavern	Bar		173 Jeremy Hill Rd	open
The Original Rocking Horse Cantina	Bar		Angus Way	open
The Scoop Shoppe on main	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2 Beaver Brk Wy	open
The Yolk Grill Yolk.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	116 Bridge St	open
あんしんがとう	Dessert	Dessert · Japanese · Asian	守山区下志段味熊田447	open
Carlo Rose Cigar Bar & Lounge	Bar		10 Bridge St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	12	8	—	4	4	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	8	—	5	3	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	8	—	5	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	11	8	2	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	14	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	10	3	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	14	12	3	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	12	5	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	16	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	16	13	4	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	17	14	4	6	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	18	13	4	5	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	17	13	4	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	17	13	4	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	14	5	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	12	6	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	12	5	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	14	5	6	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03076. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01826	4.0 mi	54	2023
03051	4.2 mi	47	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.