BMIE Market 03077
Rockingham County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,266 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±259 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 10,155 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,263 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $104,597 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,615 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,376 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±196 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $370,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,497 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 28.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03077 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 17 (range 15–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03077. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 76.7 | 77 | 40% | +30.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64.9 | 65 | 35% | +22.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 64.4 | 64 | 25% | +16.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,900 | 72 | 40% | +28.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 104,597 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,266 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 14.3 | 58 | 35% | +20.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.7 | 54 | 25% | +13.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,900 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 104,597 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 14.3 | 72 | 50% | +36.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 14.3 | 58 | 30% | +17.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 54 | 20% | +10.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (39)
By cuisine
Pizza 7 · American 6 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Coffee 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 5 · Bar 5 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agape Cakes and Confections | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 59 NH-27 Unit 5 | open |
| B C H Consulting Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4 Essex Dr | open | |
| Barworks Catering Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 64 Freetown Rd Ste 4 | open | |
| Bento Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 2 Freetown Rd Ste 27 | open |
| China One China One | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 65 NH-27 | open |
| Davis Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | open | ||
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 1 Silver Fox Ln | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 7 Freetown Rd | open |
| GMS Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 27 Main St | open |
| Gordos Burritos and Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 64 Freetown Rd | open |
| Groveside Ice Cream | Dessert · Food truck | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 250 NH-27 | open |
| Java Joe's | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 59 NH-27 | open |
| King Pins Lounge | Bar | 4 Essex Dr | open | |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 51 Old Manchester Road | open | |
| Long Branch Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 65 Main St | open |
| Louies Pizza & Italian Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 61 Route 27 | open |
| Lucky Corner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · American | 17 Freetown Rd | open |
| Main Squeeze Market | Bakery | Bakery | 75 Main St | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 2 Essex Dr | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2 Essex Dr | open |
| Moe's Italian Sandwiches Moe's Italian Sandwiches | Other · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Italian | 69 Epping Rd (NH 27) | open |
| Nick's Place Raymond Nick’s Place Raymond | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 171 NH-27 | open |
| Ns Donuts, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7 Freetown Rd | open | |
| Pizza By George | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 11 Freetown Rd | open |
| Pizza By George | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 11 Freetown Rd | open |
| Rigatonys Comfort Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 49 Main St | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1 Essex Dr | open |
| Stillwell's One Stop Ice Cream Shop Stillwells Riverwalk Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 59 NH-27 | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 51 Old Manchester Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 66 Route 27 | open |
| Supreme House of Pizza and Teddy's Lounge | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 68 Main St | open |
| The Cork N' Keg Grill | Bar · Casual dining | American | 4 Essex Dr | open |
| Tuckaway Tavern And Butchery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 58 Nh 27 | open | |
| Tuckaway Tavern and Butchery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 58 Epping St | open |
| Two Bears Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Langford Rd | open | |
| via roma | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 64 Freetown Rd | open |
| Whippin Good | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 21 Mountain Rd | open |
| Your Baker | Bakery | Bakery | 25 Sundeen Pkwy | open |
| Famous Legends | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4 Essex Dr | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |