BMIE Market 03109

Hillsborough County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,929 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,327 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,075 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±519 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,314 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,213 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$108,144 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,802 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±255 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$387,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,988 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03109
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+26.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+35.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+11.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+90.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.45) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03109. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.45, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.8	77	40%	+30.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.5	67	35%	+23.6
Market Momentum Score	71.6	72	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,929	71	40%	+28.3
Median household income (ACS)	108,144	86	40%	+34.3
Households (ACS)	4,075	71	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	35%	+26.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.1	40	25%	+9.9
Population (ACS)	9,929	71	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	108,144	86	20%	+17.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	26.7	82	50%	+40.9
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	30%	+22.6
20-year restaurant growth	11.8	40	20%	+8.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 9 · Pizza 7 · Chinese 4 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 7 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All Real Meal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	724 E Industrial Park Dr	open
Alpha Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	864 Page St	open
Backyard Brewery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	American	1211 S Mammoth Rd	open
Batter Up Cake	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	114 Cedar Hill Dr	open
Bonsai's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chinese	2264 Candia Rd	open
Bowlful	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1536 Candia Rd Ste 2	open
Candia Road Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		840 Candia Rd	open
Chelbys Food & Drink	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	284 Mammoth Rd	open
Chiquitita Mexican Food	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1536 Candia Rd	open
Coffee Pause	Coffee shop	Coffee	60 Buckley Cir	open
Critical Mass Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	649 E Industrial Park Dr Ste 17	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	855 Candia Rd	open
East Side Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	864 Page St	open
Freed's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	299 Pepsi Rd	open
Goldenrod Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1681 Candia Rd	open
Grand Slam Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	331 S Mammoth Rd	open
Great North Aleworks	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1050 Holt Ave	open
Heng Won	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	262 Mammoth Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		1536 Candia Rd	open
Live Free Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1000 E Industrial Park Dr #4	open
Mammoth Restaurant Group, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		331 S Mammoth Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	907 Hanover St	open
Midnight Rodeo Bar	Bar		1211 S Mammoth Rd	open
Moe Joe's Country Diner	Casual dining	American · Mexican	649 E Industrial Park Dr	open
Moe Joe's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Moe Joe’s Family Resturant, 2175 Candia Rd	open
Number 4 Pizza, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2160 Candia Rd	open
Rizzas Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2160 Candia Rd	open
Rizzas Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	2160 Candia Rd	open
Sandy's Variety & Sub Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2281 Candia Rd	open
The Fang	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese		open
The Hong Kong Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	864 Page St	open
The Pizza Man Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	850 E Industrial Park Dr Ste 3	open
Vintage Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	241 Candia Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	860 Candia Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	14	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	16	15	8	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	15	14	8	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	18	17	11	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	19	18	9	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	17	7	9	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	16	15	7	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	17	16	7	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	18	16	7	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	14	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	14	5	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	18	15	7	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	16	14	6	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	19	16	6	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	17	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	18	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	20	16	8	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	15	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	15	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	15	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	16	8	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	16	7	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	19	8	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03109. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
03103	2.2 mi	104	2023
03032	2.8 mi	7	2023
03104	3.7 mi	35	2023
03101	3.8 mi	80	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.