BMIE Market 03246

Belknap County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,103 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,244 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±390 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,963 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,885 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,241 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,588 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,224 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±107 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$339,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,175 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	57 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03246
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	33.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-1.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+11.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-6.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	62 (range 54–70) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03246. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.3	68	40%	+27.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.3	51	35%	+18.0
Market Momentum Score	38.7	39	25%	+9.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,103	79	40%	+31.5
Median household income (ACS)	73,241	52	40%	+20.9
Households (ACS)	7,244	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.3	60	35%	+20.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	33.3	17	25%	+4.3
Population (ACS)	17,103	79	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	73,241	52	20%	+10.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-1.7	25	50%	+12.7
10-year restaurant growth	16.3	60	30%	+17.9
20-year restaurant growth	11.8	40	20%	+8.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (130)

By cuisine

American 29 · Coffee 24 · Pizza 12 · Dessert 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Bakery 6 · Mexican 6 · Asian 5 · Seafood 5 · Breakfast 4 · Italian 4 · BBQ 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Caribbean 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · French 1 · Japanese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 73 · Bar 35 · Casual dining 24 · Café 20 · Quick service 17 · Coffee shop 15 · Dessert 13 · Bakery 9 · Specialty food shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
405 Pub & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		405 Union Ave	open
603 Pizza & Seafood, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		302 S Main St	open
70 North Kitchen & Market	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · French	70 Endicott St N	open
Akwa Marina Beach Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		95 Centenary Ave	open
Annie's Cafe and Catering	Coffee shop · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Coffee	585 Union Ave	open
Anthony's Pier Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	263 Lakeside Ave	open
Aroma Joe's Laconia #16 Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	644 Union Ave	open
Bar Salida	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		21 Weeks St	open
Beach Taco	Quick service	Mexican		open
Bernini Italian Pizzeria and Wine Bar	Bar	Italian · Pizza	1135 Union Ave	open
Big Cat Coffees	Coffee shop	Coffee	14 Lexington Dr Ste 3	open
Black Cat Coffee And Cigars	Café	Coffee	17 Veterans Sq	open
Blue Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1086 Weirs Blvd	open
Boardwalk Bar & Grill NH	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		45 Endicott St N	open
Boot Hill Saloon	Bar		1065 Watson Rd	open
Brick Front Restaurant Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		134 Church St	open
Broken Spoke Saloon	Bar		1072 Watson Rd	open
Burger King	Quick service		1200 Union Ave	open
Burrito Me	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	9 Veterans Sq	open
Cafe Dejavu	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	311 Court St	open
Chasing Birds Bread	Bakery	Bakery	559 Union Ave	open
Cheers at the Weirs	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	329 Lakeside Ave	open
China Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	89 Lake St	open
CJ Avery's Casual Dining	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Railroad Ave	open
Commune à Tea: Herbal Shoppe & Café	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	653 Main St	open
Compass Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	329 Lakeside Ave	open
Craft Beer Xchange Annex Package Store	Bar · Casual dining		604 Endicott St N	open
D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1056 Union Ave	open
D.A. Long Tavern at Funspot	Casual dining · Bar		579 Endicott St N	open
Dazzle 57	Café		8906 Orange Blossom Loop	open
Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	Lexington Dr	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	580 Union Ave	open
DOX on Winnipesaukee	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	263 Lakeside Ave	open
Dukes Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	263 Lakeside Ave	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	25 Marshall Ct	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1106 Union Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	369 S Main St	open
El Jimador	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	36 Endicott St E	open
Faro Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1135 Union Ave	open
First Due Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	50 Summer St	open
Fratello's Italian Grille Fratello's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	799 Union Ave	open
Fresh Takes Deli & Catering	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	653 Main St Ste 1	open
Fresh! Downtown	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused · Café	Coffee	569 Main St	open
Friendly's	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1160 Union Ave	open
Goody Good Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	235 Union Ave	open
Half Moon Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	240 Lakeside Ave	open
Happy Cow Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	385 Union Ave	open
Heat Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza		open
Hector's Fine Food & Spirits	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		53 Beacon St W	open
High Five Pizza Guys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	263 Lakeside Ave	open
High Octane Saloon	Casual dining · Bar		1072 Watson Rd	open
Holy Grail of The Lakes	Bar		12 Veterans Sq	open
Hooks Cooks	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	60 Avery St	open
Ink & Iron Bar and Grill	Bar		347 Lakeside Ave	open
Isaiah 61 Cafe	Café	Coffee	100 New Salem St	open
Ivy's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	248 Lakeside Ave	open
Jon's Roast Beef & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1367 Union Ave	open
Junction Restaurant & Provisions	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	51 Elm St	open
Kellerhaus	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	259 Endicott St N	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1315 Union Ave	open
Koung Sushi Mart	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	20 Canal St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		297 Union Ave	open
Laconia House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	334 Union Ave	open
Laconia Rod and Gun Club	Bar		358 S Main St	open
Laconia Village Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Coffee shop · Casual dining · Café	Bakery · American · Coffee	660 Main St	open
Laflamme's Coffee Shop, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		141 Water St	open
Lake House Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		193 Endicott St N	open
Lakes Region Cupcakes featuring Mel's Creative Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1002 Union Ave	open
lakeside 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1187 Weirs Blvd	open
Lakeside Famous Roast Beef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	1091 Union Ave	open
Lakeside View Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	240 Lakeside Ave	open
Lanna Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	363 Union Ave	open
liliuokalani's	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	956 Weirs Blvd	open
Lobster In The Rough Weathervane Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	279 Lakeside Ave	open
Lucky Dog Tavern & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	53 S Main St	open
Maiden Lady Cove	Bar			open
Mami's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	585 Union Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1231 Union Ave	open
New Hampshire Beer Garden	Winery / distillery / taproom · Casual dining · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Spanish / tapas · Juice / smoothies · American	2075 Parade Rd	open
Nothin' Fancy Breakfast, Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		357 Weirs Blvd	open
O Steaks & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	62 Doris Ray Ct	open
Off The Rails at Winnipesaukee Marketplace	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	21 Weeks St	open
Our Place Family Restaurant	Café	Coffee	Union Ave	open
Patio Garden Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Weeks St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1135 Union Ave	open
Pizza Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)		138 Gilford Ave	open
Randy's Pit Stop Diner	Casual dining	American	585 Union Ave Ste 2	open
Resolution NX	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	825 W Ketchie St	open
Retriever Pub and Patio	Bar		Eastman Rd	open
Sal's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	360 Union Ave	open
Sandwich Creamery	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Sandwiches		open
Sea-Doo Sea-Doo	Quick service		1197 Union Ave	open
Shang Hai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	331 S Main St	open
Smokin' Phatty's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	263 Lakeside Ave	open
Snacky SHACK bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	691 Union Ave	open
Social Club Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	51 Elm St	open
Soda Shoppe	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	30 Beacon St E	open
South End Pizza & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Pizza	302 S Main St	open
Stone Coast On Winnipesaukee	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	546 Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	585 Union Ave Unit 4	open
Surfside Burger Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	292 Lakeside Ave	open
T-BONES Great American Eatery T-BONES and Cactus Jack's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1182 Union Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1315 Union Ave	open
Tamarack Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	691 Endicott St N	open
The Alamo Texas BBQ & Tequila Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	70 Endicott St N	open
The Braggin' Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	644 Weirs Blvd	open
The Current	Café	Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	36 Endicott St E	open
The Fancy Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	306 Lakeside Ave	open
The Fancy Duck Saloon	Bar		476 Scenic Rd	open
The Flip Side LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	566 Main St	open
The Great White Pub	Bar		15 Baldwin St	open
The Hallway Cafe’	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	131 Lake St	open
The Italian Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian	585 Union Ave	open
The Looney Bin Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	554 Endicott St N	open
The Lunchbox NH	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	263 Lakeside Ave	open
The Natural Pickle	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	92 Court St	open
The Weirs Diner The Circle Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1208 Weirs Blvd #1627	open
Trillium Farm to Table	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	62 Canal St	open
Union Diner	Casual dining	American	1331 Union Ave	open
Verdi Caffetteria	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	585 Union Ave Ste 2	open
Vida Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	36 Endicott St E	open
Water Street Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	141 Water St	open
Wayfarer Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	626 Main St	open
Wayfarer Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	781 Union Ave	open
Weirs Beach Lobster Pound	Restaurant (service type not stated)		70 Endicott St N	open
Weirs The Beef	Other	Sandwiches	329 Lakeside Ave	open
Weirs603	Bar		264 Lakeside Ave	open
Whiskey Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		1258 Union Ave	open
Winni Rum Shack	Bar	Caribbean	604 Endicott St N	open
Woodshed Roasting Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	116 Hounsell Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	61	61	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	65	65	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	63	62	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	67	65	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	69	61	33	22	6	1	NAICS1997
1999	65	58	34	18	6	1	NAICS1997
2000	49	44	23	16	5	1	NAICS1997
2001	54	49	25	19	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	54	47	24	19	3	2	NAICS1997
2003	57	51	28	17	5	3	NAICS2002
2004	56	52	28	18	5	1	NAICS2002
2005	57	53	26	17	9	1	NAICS2002
2006	61	56	24	22	9	1	NAICS2002
2007	66	61	28	23	9	2	NAICS2002
2008	67	61	29	22	10	2	NAICS2007
2009	55	51	29	14	8	1	NAICS2007
2010	59	54	25	21	8	1	NAICS2007
2011	62	55	28	19	8	1	NAICS2007
2012	56	49	23	20	6	2	NAICS2012
2013	55	49	24	18	7	2	NAICS2012
2014	56	50	25	17	8	2	NAICS2012
2015	62	57	28	18	11	2	NAICS2012
2016	65	59	29	16	14	2	NAICS2012
2017	68	62	32	16	14	—	NAICS2017
2018	63	58	32	14	12	—	NAICS2017
2019	66	58	31	17	10	—	NAICS2017
2020	65	57	30	18	8	—	NAICS2017
2021	68	59	32	18	9	3	NAICS2017
2022	61	53	32	17	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	66	57	30	20	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03246. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
03253	3.9 mi	21	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.