BMIE Market 03253

Belknap County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,707 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,009 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±212 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,219 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,690 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,719 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,996 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	55.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,149 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±304 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$482,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±49,645 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	37.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03253
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	33.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 15–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.54) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03253. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.54, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.4	66	40%	+26.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37.2	37	35%	+13.0
Market Momentum Score	23.6	24	25%	+5.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,707	65	40%	+26.0
Median household income (ACS)	84,719	68	40%	+27.1
Households (ACS)	3,009	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	35%	+5.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	31.3	19	25%	+4.7
Population (ACS)	6,707	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	84,719	68	20%	+13.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8.7	20	50%	+9.8
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	30%	+5.1
20-year restaurant growth	16.7	44	20%	+8.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

American 11 · Coffee 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Breakfast 4 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Dessert 7 · Bar 6 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Café 4 · Quick service 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Fast casual 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
48 Main Cafe & Creperie	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	94 Main St	open
Angry Hog Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	62 Main St	open
Ben & Jerry's Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	312 Daniel Webster Hwy	open
Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	38 NH-25 #5, NH 25	open
Blissful Cafe & Bakery	Café · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	312 Daniel Webster Hwy	open
Camp	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	298 Daniel Webster Hwy	open
Cider Bellies Doughnuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	18 Quarry Rd	open
Copper Kettle Tavern	Bar	American	233 Daniel Webster Hwy	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's	Quick service		38 NH Route 25 unit 24A	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	55 NH Rte 25	open
Ensō Japanese Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	2 Pleasant St	open
Flurries	Dessert · Casual dining · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers · Mexican	41 NH Rte 25	open
Frog Rock Tavern	Bar		67 Main St	open
George's Diner	Casual dining	American	10 Plymouth St	open
Giuseppe's Pizzeria & Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	312 Daniel Webster Hwy	open
Gnerre Projects, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		312 Daniel Webster Hwy Ste 13	open
Hart's Turkey Farm Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	233 Daniel Webster Hwy	open
Hermit Woods Winery & Eatery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	72 Main St	open
Identity Coffee Co. Meredith, NH	Coffee shop	Coffee	Daniel Webster Hwy	open
Kettlehead brewing company Meredith Kettlehead Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		8 Plymouth St	open
Lago	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	1 RT-25	open
Lakehouse at Church Landing The Common Man	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Breakfast · American	15 Lake Shore Dr	open
Lakeside Deli & Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2 Pleasant St	open
Lee's Candy Kitchen	Dessert	Dessert	312 Daniel Webster Hwy	open
Let Them Eat Cake	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	258 Meredith Center Rd	open
Little Barn Farm	Food truck		458 NH-104	open
Louie's Famous Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	71 NH Route 104	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Breakfast	209 Daniel Webster Hwy	open
Mello Moose Coffee House	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	136 Daniel Webster Hwy	open
Ooo La La Creative Cakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		31 Lang St Fl 2	open
Pie Guys Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	71 NH-104	open
Sals Fresh Seafood	Food truck	Seafood	18 Quarry Rd	open
Sub Crazy	Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	5 Mill St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	54 NH Route 25	open
Sunshine and Pa's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11 Main St	open
The Breeze by the Bay	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	7 Main St	open
The Lakeview Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7 Main St	open
The Wellness Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	73 Main St	open
The Winni Juice Box	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Juice / smoothies · American	Keller Williams/Citizens Bank, Parking Lot, 66 NH-25	open
Town Docks Restaurant The Common Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	289 Daniel Webster Hwy	open
Twin Barns Brewing Co - Meredith	Brewery / taproom · Bar		194 Daniel Webster Hwy	open
Vida At The Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	48 Main St	open
Waterfall Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	312 Daniel Webster Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	24	24	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	24	24	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	23	22	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	22	21	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	21	20	12	3	5	1	NAICS1997
1999	22	21	12	5	4	1	NAICS1997
2000	23	21	11	7	3	1	NAICS1997
2001	28	25	14	6	4	1	NAICS1997
2002	20	17	11	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	10	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	23	20	12	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	26	23	15	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	26	23	15	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	22	20	14	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	22	21	15	3	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	22	20	15	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	23	21	14	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	26	24	13	6	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	23	21	11	5	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	27	24	11	7	6	—	NAICS2012
2014	28	25	12	8	5	—	NAICS2012
2015	27	24	11	8	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	25	22	13	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	24	21	12	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	28	23	13	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	21	11	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	22	11	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	19	9	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	22	12	6	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	21	10	6	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03253. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
03246	3.9 mi	57	2023
03226	5.0 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.