BMIE Market 03766

Grafton County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,195 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±423 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,069 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±365 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,958 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,525 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$100,881 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,959 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,875 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±176 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$395,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,801 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03766
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+26.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+26.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+84.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 23–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.68) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03766. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.68, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.5	76	40%	+30.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.2	63	35%	+22.1
Market Momentum Score	77.0	77	25%	+19.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,195	72	40%	+29.0
Median household income (ACS)	100,881	82	40%	+32.6
Households (ACS)	5,069	74	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	26.3	69	35%	+24.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.4	34	25%	+8.5
Population (ACS)	11,195	72	20%	+14.5
Median household income (ACS)	100,881	82	20%	+16.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	26.3	82	50%	+40.8
10-year restaurant growth	26.3	69	30%	+20.6
20-year restaurant growth	84.6	78	20%	+15.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (54)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · Dessert 7 · American 6 · Asian 5 · Bakery 4 · Mexican 4 · Pizza 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Thai 3 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Dessert 8 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 6 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Quick service 4 · Café 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amato's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		260 Mechanic St	open
Avitide	Bar		7 Lucent Dr	open
Baited Hook At Mascoma Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		83 Nh Rte 4a	open
Bangkok Thai Food Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	400 Miracle Mile Suit #3	open
Black Magic Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	24 Hanover St #5	open
Boisverts Curbside Kitchen Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		262 Dartmouth College Hwy	open
China Station Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		410 Miracle Mile Ste 5	open
Dairy Twirl	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	39 Mechanic St	open
Dazzle Cupcakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	57 Hanover St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	96 Hanover St Jiffy Mart Gas Station	open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	262 Mechanic St	open
Four Aces Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	18 Payne Rd	open
Gusanoz Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Spanish / tapas · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	410 Miracle Mile	open
Happen HU	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	8909 Armstrong Ave	open
Hypertherm 71 Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		71 Heater Rd	open
Jake's Coffee Co	Coffee shop	Coffee	227 Mechanic St	open
Katie's Cookies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2 W Park St #104	open
Kosma Restaurant Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		45 Hanover St	open
Lalo's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	24 Hanover St	open
Lebanon Amato's	Quick service		260 Mechanic Street	open
Lebanon Brew Shop	Brewery / taproom		90 Hanover St	open
Lebanon Co Op Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	12 Centerra Pkwy	open
Lebanon Village Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	45 Hanover St	open
Lucky's Coffee Garage	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1 N Park St	open
Lucky's Drive Thru	Coffee shop	Coffee	227 Mechanic St	open
Margaritas Mexican Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	18 Centerra Pkwy	open
Marsh Brothers Deli @ The Little Store Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		55 School St	open
Muriel's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	20 West St	open
Mya Pos Services, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		410 Miracle Mile	open
New Thailand Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	103 Hanover St	open
Nutrition on the Green	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	24 Hanover St Ste 2	open
Peking Tokyo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese · Chinese	45 Hanover St #6	open
Phnom Penh Sandwich Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other)	1 High St	open
Pim's Thai Orchid	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	70 Hanover St	open
Pt Red Tree Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		45 Hanover St Ste 6	open
Ramunto’s Brick Oven Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	85 Mechanic St	open
Roslin's Asian Foods' Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21 Water St	open
Salt Hill Pub Salt hill Pub - Lebanon	Bar	British / Irish pub food	2 W Park St	open
Sbarro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1 Medical Center Dr Ste 835	open
Snax Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		18 Centerra Pkwy	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	8 Centerra Pkwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	96 Hanover St	open
Sunrise Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2 Mascoma St #5	open
The Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Morgan Dr	open
The Cave	Bar	Pizza	45 Hanover St	open
The Fort	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	151 Heater Rd	open
The Karibbean	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · American	61 Hanover St	open
The Little Store	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · BBQ	55 School St	open
The Works Bakery Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Medical Center Dr, Located Within Dartmouth Hitchc	open
Three Tomatoes Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1 Court St	open
Tuohys Tavern Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 W Park St	open
Twice On Sundae	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2 W Park St	open
Upper Valley Tropical Sno	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	51 N Park St	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	12 Centerra Pkwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	13	6	4	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	13	7	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	14	13	7	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	13	5	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	13	4	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	18	17	7	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	20	18	8	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	19	17	8	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	20	17	7	6	4	—	NAICS2002
2008	17	15	7	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	17	15	6	5	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	18	15	7	4	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	20	18	9	5	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	20	18	9	6	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	20	19	8	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	20	19	9	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	17	16	7	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	19	10	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	21	19	7	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	19	7	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	19	8	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	23	10	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	22	7	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	23	7	13	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	24	7	13	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03766. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
03784	3.6 mi	28	2023
05088	4.7 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.