BMIE Market 03784
Grafton County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 3,804 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±422 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 1,848 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 4,086 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,080 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $91,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,825 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,484 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±175 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $371,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,731 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03784 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 61.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +3.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +12.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +64.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 28 (range 24–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03784. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 64 | 64 | 40% | +25.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 47.1 | 47 | 35% | +16.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 55.5 | 55 | 25% | +13.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 3,804 | 56 | 40% | +22.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 91,000 | 74 | 40% | +29.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 1,848 | 60 | 20% | +11.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 12 | 56 | 35% | +19.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 73.6 | 6 | 25% | +1.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 3,804 | 56 | 20% | +11.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 91,000 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 3.7 | 60 | 50% | +30.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 12 | 56 | 30% | +16.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 44 | 20% | +8.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (52)
By cuisine
American 14 · Coffee 8 · Dessert 7 · Burgers 5 · Mexican 5 · Asian 4 · Pizza 4 · Japanese 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Korean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Casual dining 10 · Quick service 10 · Bar 9 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Grill 110 Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 250 N Plainfield Rd | open |
| 99 Restaurants 99 Restaurants | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 10 Benning St Unit 1 | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 280 Plainfield Rd | open |
| Bright Side Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 5 Airpark Rd Ste. 5 | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 253 Plainfield Rd | open |
| Cantore's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1 Glen Rd Unit 14 | open |
| Chili's | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 200 Main St | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 200 Main St W, K-Mart Plaza | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 200 South Main | open | |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 10 Benning St #600 | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 87 Main St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 191 S Main St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 12 Main St | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 285 Plainfield Rd 2138 | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 12 Main St | open |
| Electra Nightclub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 66 Benning St | open | |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 250 Plainfield Rd | open |
| Five Guys | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 25 Airport Rd | open |
| Four Aces Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 23 Bridge St | open |
| Friendly's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 264 Plainfield Rd | open |
| Garden Court Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25 Airport Rd | open | |
| GECA Gastropub & Wine Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | open | ||
| Happy Dumpling | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 10 Benning St Unit 750 | open |
| Ice Cream Fore-u | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 298 Plainfield Rd | open |
| It's Just Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 200 South Main | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 254 North Plainfield Road | open |
| Koto Japanese Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Steakhouse · Asian | 288 Plainfield Rd | open |
| Lindt Chocolate Shop | Dessert | Dessert | 8 Glen Rd Ste 28 | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 200 S Main St | open |
| Lui Lui | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 8 Glen Rd #11 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 249 Plainfield Rd (Rte 12a) | open |
| Men At Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1 Glen Rd | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Dessert · Mexican · Bakery · American | 250 Plainfield Rd | open |
| Oriental Wok Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 97 N Main St | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Café · Bakery | Coffee · Sandwiches · Bakery | 267 Plainfield Rd | open |
| Salt Hill Pub | Brewery / taproom · Bar | British / Irish pub food | 5 Airport Rd | open |
| Shyrl's Diner | Casual dining | American | 31 Main St | open |
| SNOWFOX Sushi Bento Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 8 Market St | open |
| Sophia's Candy Corner | Dessert | 1 Glen Rd | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 257 N Plainfield Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 200 Main St | open |
| Stone Consulting Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10 Benning St Ste 160-130 | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1 Glen Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican · Chicken / wings | 197 S Main St | open |
| Taste TASTE | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 5 Airport Rd | open |
| The Meltdown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 261 Plainfield Road | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 254 North Plainfield Road | open |
| Tuk Tuk Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 12 Main St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 258 Plainfield Rd | open |
| Yama | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Korean | 96 Main St | open |
| Ziggy's Pizza | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza · American | 254 N Plainfield Rd | open |
| استراحة المغارة | Restaurant (service type not stated) | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 20 | 20 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 21 | 21 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 21 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 24 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 25 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 27 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 24 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 24 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 24 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 26 | 25 | 12 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 27 | 14 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 27 | 15 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 27 | 27 | 15 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 25 | 25 | 12 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 27 | 27 | 12 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 25 | 12 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 28 | 13 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 28 | 27 | 11 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 27 | 26 | 12 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 27 | 12 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 30 | 29 | 13 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 24 | 13 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 29 | 27 | 13 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 29 | 28 | 12 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |