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BMIE Market 03910

York County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)15
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households8
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count328
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units577
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household incomeData source not yet connected
Median ageData source not yet connected
Median gross rentData source not yet connected
Median home valueData source not yet connected
Land area0.0 sq mi
Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants10
2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03910
Restaurants per 10,000 residents579.3
DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year-28.6%
DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year-33.3%
DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year-9.1%
DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file-23.1%
DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 20288 (range 6–10)
FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years aheadNeeds more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score5 / 100
MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score3 / 100
MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score5 / 100
MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score11 / 100
MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 5 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Consumer Market Score2.7340%+1.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score4.6535%+1.6
Market Momentum Score10.91125%+2.7
Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 3 (Medium confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Population (ACS)15240%+1.5
Households (ACS)8320%+1.1
Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 5 (Medium confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
10-year restaurant growth-33.3935%+4.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)6,666.7025%+0.0
Population (ACS)15220%+0.6
Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 11 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
5-year restaurant growth-28.6950%+4.6
10-year restaurant growth-33.3930%+2.8
20-year restaurant growth-9.11720%+3.4
Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (5)

By cuisine

American 3 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Casual dining 4 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 4 · Bar 1 · Dessert 1

NameTypeCuisineAddressStatus
Mimmo's Italian RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated) · Casual diningItalian · American243 Long Beach Aveopen
Sun and Surf RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated) · Casual diningSeafood · American264 Long Beach Aveopen
The GoldenrodDessertDessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts2 Railroad Aveopen
The Union Grill and Pub - The Union Bluff HotelBar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining8 Beach Streetopen
The Wharf 24Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual diningAmerican277 Long Beach Aveopen
Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

YearAll food serviceRestaurantsFull-serviceLimited-serviceSnack & beverageBarsIndustry codes
19941513———2SIC1987
19951210———2SIC1987
19961211———1SIC1987
19971615———1SIC1987
199818169432NAICS1997
199917158432NAICS1997
200017149412NAICS1997
20011414932—NAICS1997
20021111722—NAICS1997
20031111641—NAICS2002
20041313742—NAICS2002
20051414842—NAICS2002
20061414833—NAICS2002
20071616943—NAICS2002
20081818945—NAICS2007
200918181044—NAICS2007
201019191045—NAICS2007
201118181035—NAICS2007
20121717935—NAICS2012
20131515834—NAICS2012
20141515834—NAICS2012
20151414644—NAICS2012
20161313544—NAICS2012
201714148—4—NAICS2017
201814148—4—NAICS2017
201914148—4—NAICS2017
20201313634—NAICS2017
20211111533—NAICS2017
2022101053——NAICS2022
2023101053——NAICS2022
U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03910. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTADistanceRestaurantsYear
039112.9 mi12006
039023.1 mi72023
039093.5 mi322023
Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.