BMIE Market 03909
York County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,943 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±738 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,322 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±289 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 9,738 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,475 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $115,608 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,540 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 50.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,513 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±368 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $638,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,662 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 35.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03909 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 24.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +3.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +45.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +128.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 37 (range 33–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03909. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 78.8 | 79 | 40% | +31.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65.1 | 65 | 35% | +22.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 64.4 | 64 | 25% | +16.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,943 | 72 | 40% | +28.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 115,608 | 89 | 40% | +35.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,322 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 45.5 | 79 | 35% | +27.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 29.2 | 21 | 25% | +5.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,943 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 115,608 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 3.2 | 60 | 50% | +29.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 45.5 | 79 | 30% | +23.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 54 | 20% | +10.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (88)
By cuisine
American 25 · Coffee 13 · Seafood 12 · Breakfast 8 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 8 · Dessert 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Italian 5 · Pizza 5 · Asian 3 · Japanese 3 · Mexican 3 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Greek 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Bar 17 · Casual dining 14 · Café 12 · Dessert 11 · Quick service 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Bakery 6 · Specialty food shop 6 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony's Food Shop York Maine | Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Coffee shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | 679 US-1 | open |
| Bagel Basket | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 280 York St | open |
| Bamboo Garden Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 8 Market Pl Dr | open |
| BBQ Betty's Smokehouse | Food truck | BBQ · American | 2 US-1 | open |
| Beach Bliss Cafe | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 21 Railroad Ave | open |
| Bento Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 5 Hannaford Dr | open |
| Cafénated | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 1 Ocean Ave | open |
| Candy Corner Candy Corner | Dessert | Dessert | 14 Railroad Ave | open |
| Cape Neddick Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1273 US Route 1 | open |
| Coppa Magica | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 852 US Route 1 | open |
| Dante's Pizza Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Mexican · Italian | 2 US-1 | open |
| Deck at Dockside | Bar · Casual dining | 20 Harris Island Rd | open | |
| Denny Mikes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 49 Birch Hill Rd | open | |
| Dockside Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood · American | 22 Harris Island Rd | open |
| Dunne's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 214 Nubble Rd | open |
| Fat Tomato Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 241 York St #3 | open |
| Fazio's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 38 Woodbridge Rd | open |
| Fishermen's Dock | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 674 US Route 1 | open |
| Foster's Clambake | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | open | |
| Fox's Lobster House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 8 Sohier Park Rd | open |
| Green Leaves Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese · Chinese | 647 US Route 1 | open |
| Guac-N-Roll | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9 Ocean Ave | open |
| Hawaiian Jims shave ice and company | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 19 Railroad Ave | open |
| Hong Ji Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8 Market Place Dr Ste 2b | open | |
| Kit's Cafe York | Café | Coffee | 81 Webber Rd | open |
| Lobster Cove Lobster Cove Marina | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · American | 756 York St | open |
| Lobster In The Rough | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Seafood | 1000 US-1 | open |
| Long Sands General Store and Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 121 Long Beach Ave | open |
| Lulu's Restaurant | Bar · Casual dining | 141 Long Beach Ave | open | |
| Miller Brothers Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 449 Us Route 1 Ste 104 | open | |
| MIN | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 519 US Route 1 | open | |
| Molly-O's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 2 Main St | open |
| Nectar Cafe at Bell Farm | Café | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 244 US Route 1 | open |
| Nick's Beachside Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 1 Ocean Ave | open |
| Nick's Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 369 US-1 | open |
| Norma's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 529 US-1 Ste 105 | open |
| Off The Boat Lobsters | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2 Seabury Rd | open |
| Pineapple All Day Cafe | Café | Coffee | 780 York St | open |
| Pizza By Paras | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Greek | 16 Railroad Ave | open |
| Pub 56 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | Meadowbrook Plaza, 647 US-1 | open |
| R&R Chocolate | Dessert | 4 Market Place Dr | open | |
| Rick's Blue Jay Café | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 1151 US-1 | open |
| Rosalie & Phil's | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery | Sandwiches · Bakery | 4 Main St | open |
| Ruby's Wood Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 433 US Route 1 | open | |
| Sand Dollar Bar & Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · American | 2 Beach St | open |
| Seacoast Street Eats | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 2 US Route 1 | open | |
| Shore road Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood | 10 Shore Rd | open |
| Skipper's Bay Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 3 Gertrude Ln | open |
| Snowfox Sushi Bento Sushi | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Japanese · Sushi · Sandwiches | 5 Hannaford Dr 1, 440 | open |
| Some Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 1 York St Ste 3 | open | |
| St. Joe's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · American | 449 US-1 | open |
| Stevie D's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Middle Eastern · American | 15 Railroad Ave | open |
| Stonewall Kitchen Café | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 2 Stonewall Ln #1 | open |
| Surfside | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Burgers | 31280_140, 3 Beach St Lot 149 | open |
| Sweet Josie's Candy Shoppe | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7 Railroad Ave | open |
| Tea For You-York Maine | Juice, smoothie, tea | Sandwiches · Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | 226 York St | open |
| Thai For You | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 647 US Route 1 | open |
| The 123 | Bar | American | 123 Long Beach Ave | open |
| The Brixham General Store | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 435 Cider Hill Rd | open |
| The Broken ELBO | Bar | open | ||
| The Burrito Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 11 Railroad Ave | open |
| The Central Bean & Bakery | Coffee shop · Casual dining · Bar | Coffee | 127 Long Sands Rd | open |
| The Central Restaurant and Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 127 Long Sands Rd | open |
| The Kettle Boys | Quick service | 23 Railroad Ave | open | |
| The Oceanside Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Casual dining | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | Oceanside Ave | open |
| The Sandpiper Cake Shop | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 647 US-1 | open |
| The Strand Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1 Ocean Ave | open |
| The Sundrop American Restaurant & Bar | Brewery / taproom | 240 York St | open | |
| The York River Landing | Bar | Seafood · Steakhouse | 150 US-1 | open |
| Trapped in York ME | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1021 US-1 | open |
| Union Bluff Grill & Pub | Casual dining · Bar | American | 8 Beach St | open |
| Vibe Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 240 York St | open |
| Village Scoop | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 226 York St | open |
| Village Scoop Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 286 York St | open |
| Wheat MAISON WHEAT | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1 Ocean Ave | open |
| When Pigs Fly Breads Factory | Bakery | Bakery | 40 Brickyard Ct | open |
| Wicked Good Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2 Beach St | open |
| Wiggly Bridge Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 441 US Route 1 | open | |
| Wild Willy's Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 765 US-1 | open |
| Woody's Brick Oven Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 11 Railroad Ave | open |
| York Beach Beer Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 33 Railroad Ave | open | |
| York Grille and Pub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 647 US Route 1 | open |
| York House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 274 York St Apt 1 | open |
| York Street Kitchen | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 7 York St | open |
| YORK54 Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 449 US-1 | open |
| Zen Den Yoga | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 470 US Route 1 Ste 3 | open | |
| The Stolen Menu Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 127 Long Sands Rd Ste 7 | closed | |
| Wiggly Bridge Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 19 Railroad Avenue | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 17 | 16 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 21 | 20 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 20 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 19 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 21 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 24 | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 22 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 25 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 22 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 23 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 24 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 24 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 26 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 32 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 31 | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 33 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 33 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 35 | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |