BMIE Market 03904
York County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 8,389 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±526 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,955 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±334 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 7,703 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,924 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $85,084 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 46.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,651 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±255 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $448,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,764 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 10.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03904 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 41.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -4.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +22.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +87.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +152.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 48 (range 42–53) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.44) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03904. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.44, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 68.7 | 69 | 40% | +27.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 52.5 | 52 | 35% | +18.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 46.9 | 47 | 25% | +11.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 8,389 | 68 | 40% | +27.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 85,084 | 68 | 40% | +27.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,955 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 22.9 | 65 | 35% | +22.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 51.3 | 9 | 25% | +2.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 8,389 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 85,084 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -4.4 | 23 | 50% | +11.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 22.9 | 65 | 30% | +19.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 87.0 | 78 | 20% | +15.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (87)
By cuisine
American 19 · Seafood 13 · Coffee 11 · Bakery 10 · Dessert 10 · Pizza 6 · Breakfast 5 · Italian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 3 · Thai 3 · BBQ 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 57 · Bakery 11 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 11 · Dessert 11 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 7 · Quick service 7 · Food truck 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 518 Noodle Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 518 US Route 1, Unit 2 Landmark Hill Square Building 1 | open |
| Aj's Wood Grill Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 68 Wallingford Sq | open |
| Amato's Amato's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 103 US-1 BYP | open |
| Anju Noodle Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Noodles / ramen / pho · Japanese · Asian | 7 Wallingford Square | open |
| Anneke Jans | Casual dining | 60 Wallingford Sq | open | |
| Aroma Joe's Aroma Joe's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 523 US-1 | open |
| Aroma Joe's Coffee Aroma Joe's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 89 ME-236 | open |
| Badger's Island Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3 Island Ave | open |
| Bagel Caboose | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 176 State Rd | open |
| Beach Pea Baking Co | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 53 State Rd | open |
| Bedrock Lobster Pound | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 510 US-1 | open |
| Belle's on Wheels | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10 Shapleigh Rd | open | |
| Blimpie - Temporarily Closed | Other | Sandwiches | Portsmouth Naval Base, Building 168 | open |
| Blue Mermaid Island Grill Blue Mermaid | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Caribbean | 10 Shapleigh Rd | open |
| Board. Charcuterie & Wine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5 Shapleigh Rd | open | |
| Bob's Clam Hut Bob's Clam Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 74 State Rd | open |
| Bob's Clam Hut Bob's Clam Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 315 Us Route 1 | open |
| Buoy Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 3 Badgers Island W Bldg 2 | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 336 US Route 1 | open |
| Byrne & Carlson Chocolatier | Dessert | Dessert | 60 State Rd | open |
| Chunping Lau | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 435 US-1 #4 | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 174 State Rd | open |
| Definitive Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom | 318 US Route 1 | open | |
| Divine Cuisines | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 20 Walker St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 450 Us Route 1 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 400 US Hwy 1 | open |
| Festina Lente | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 1 Government St | open |
| Henry's Bagel & Deli | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 445 US-1 | open |
| K'Sone's Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 340 US-1 Ste 10 | open |
| Kasha's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · German / Eastern European · American | 435 US-1 | open |
| Kin Dee95 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 182 State Rd suite2 | open |
| Kittery Foreside Business | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2 Walker St | open | |
| Kittery Wine Bar | Bar | 10 Walker St | open | |
| Kittery, Maine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11 Water St | open | |
| La Casita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 181 State Rd | open |
| Lil's Cafe | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 7 Wallingford Square | open |
| Lindt Chocolate Shop Lindt | Dessert | Dessert | 345 US-1 | open |
| Lobstah On The Go | Food truck | 43 Government St | open | |
| Loco Cocos Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 36 Walker St | open |
| Lovebirds Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 450 US-1 | open |
| Maine Breakfast Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Breakfast | 435 US Route 1 | open |
| Maine Craft Beer | Café · Bar | American · Coffee | 439 US Route 1 | open |
| Maine Ocean Lobster Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 31 Badgers Is W | open | |
| Marshall Rental Center Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 56 US Route 1 Byp | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 335 US Route 1 | open |
| Misto | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls | 436 US-1 | open |
| Morrison's Lobsters | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 11 Badgers Island W | open |
| Mrs & Me | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 400 US-1 | open |
| New England Fishmongers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 57 State Rd | open | |
| Ohana by the Sea | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 8 Dexter Ln | open |
| Ore Nell's Barbecue | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2 Badgers Island W | open |
| Ore Nell's Barbecue | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 2 Badgers Is W | open |
| Owen Dyer/ confectionArt | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 200 State Rd | open |
| Paints & Pans | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 518 US-1 | open |
| Paula's Circle Subs | Other | Sandwiches | 167 State Rd | open |
| Paved Paradise - Mural Building | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 230 US Route 1 | open | |
| Pete's Stateline Sweets | Dessert · Bakery | Bakery | 11 Water St | open |
| planted. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian | 165 State Rd | open |
| Portsmouth Maine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Robert's Maine Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 326 US-1 | open |
| Rudders Public House | Bar · Casual dining | 70 Wallingford Sq | open | |
| Siam Mellow | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Thai | 182 State Rd | open |
| Southern Maine Crabs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 65 US-1 BYP | open |
| Spruce Creek Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 290 Us-1 | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 306 US-1 | open |
| State Line Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 436 US-1 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 290 US-1 | open |
| Sunrise Grill | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 182 State Rd | open |
| Suzannes Village Cafe And Bistro Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 436 US Route 1 | open | |
| The Black Birch | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 2 Government St | open |
| The Corner Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 4 Wallingford Square | open | |
| The Firefly Diner | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 435 US-1 | open |
| The Juicery | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 7 Wallingford Sq | open |
| The Lobster Pot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Hot dogs · Burgers | 301 US-1 | open |
| The Pointe On Badgers Island | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 31 Badgers Is W | open |
| The Sweet Baker | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 6 Cottage Way | open |
| Town Pizza Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 15 Wentworth St | open |
| Tributary Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 10 Shapleigh Rd | open | |
| W L H Management Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11 Water St | open | |
| Warrens Seafood & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 11 Water St | open |
| Weathervane Restaurant Weathervane Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2 Ox Point Dr | open |
| Weathervane Seafood Weathervane Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 31 Badgers Is W | open |
| Weathervane Seafood Restaurant Weathervane Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 306 US Route 1 | open |
| When Pigs Fly Company Store | Bakery | Bakery | 460 US-1 | open |
| When Pigs Fly Restaurant & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 460 US-1 | open |
| Woodland Farms Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 306 US-1 C | open | |
| Yummies Candy & Nuts Yummies | Dessert | Dessert | 384 US-1 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 24 | 24 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 26 | 24 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 26 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 24 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 27 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 27 | 25 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 23 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 24 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 26 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 28 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 32 | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 29 | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 30 | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 35 | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 40 | 40 | 20 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 41 | 40 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 38 | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 38 | 37 | 21 | 10 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 48 | 45 | 23 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 45 | 42 | 23 | 11 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 50 | 47 | 25 | 13 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 43 | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 49 | 44 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 47 | 43 | 20 | 14 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |