BMIE Market 04105

Cumberland County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,755 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,989 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±190 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,158 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,732 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$150,919 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,731 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,120 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±441 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$767,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54,756 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	29.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04105
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+4.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+35.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+130.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 25–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.61) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04105. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.61, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.0	83	40%	+33.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.5	63	35%	+22.2
Market Momentum Score	57.7	58	25%	+14.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,755	74	40%	+29.7
Median household income (ACS)	150,919	96	40%	+38.5
Households (ACS)	4,989	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.5	54	35%	+18.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.0	43	25%	+10.7
Population (ACS)	12,755	74	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	150,919	96	20%	+19.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	4.6	61	50%	+30.5
10-year restaurant growth	9.5	54	30%	+16.1
20-year restaurant growth	35.3	56	20%	+11.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · Sandwiches 6 · American 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Italian 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Casual dining 7 · Bar 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bam Bam Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls · Dessert	125 Bucknam Rd	open
Bueno Loco Restaurante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	240 US-1	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	65 Gray Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	219 Us Route 1	open
European Bakery	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Bakery · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	395 US-1	open
Foreside House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	251 US-1 #11	open
Foreside Tavern and Side Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		270 US-1	open
Fuego	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	240 US-1	open
Harmon's Lunch	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	144 Gray Rd	open
Hugs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	204 US Route 1	open
Java Gourmet	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	11 Poplar Ridge Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	240 US Route 1	open
Jp's Bistro	Casual dining		204 US Route 1	open
Leavitt and Sons	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	37 Depot Rd	open
Maddens Pub & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	65 Gray Rd	open
Maine Coast Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom	Sandwiches	44 Hurricane Rd	open
Maine Roasters Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	244C U.S. 1	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	227 Us Hwy 1	open
Mindy's Munchies Maine	Café	Coffee	251 US Route 1	open
Mister Bagel	Casual dining · Bakery	American · Breakfast · Bakery	204 US Route 1	open
Nouria's Kitchen Featuring Amato's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		264 US Route 1	open
O'Naturals	Other	Sandwiches	240 U.S. 1	open
Orchid Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	202 US-1	open
Rivalries	Bar · Casual dining		2 Hat Trick Dr	open
Saturn Associates, Inc. And Affiliates	Restaurant (service type not stated)		65 Gray Rd	open
Shapiro Girls Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		204 US Route 1	open
Sicilian Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Italian	261 US-1 Ste 101	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	256 US-1	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	65 Gray Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	219 US Rt 1 Unit B	open
Super Scoops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	178 US Route 1	open
The Barn at Smith Farm	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		226 Gray Rd	open
The Dockside Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	215 Foreside Rd	open
The Moose: A Maine Sports Pub	Bar · Casual dining		65 Gray Rd	open
The Wolak Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)		65 Gray Rd	open
True Scoops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	178 US-1	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	251 US-1	open
Ricetta's - Falmouth Portland Pie Company - Bangor, ME	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	240 US Route 1	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	13	4	5	4	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	17	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	25	20	9	6	5	—	NAICS1997
2002	23	20	8	7	5	—	NAICS1997
2003	21	17	7	7	3	1	NAICS2002
2004	22	19	7	8	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	20	18	7	7	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	23	21	5	11	5	—	NAICS2002
2007	22	19	7	6	6	1	NAICS2002
2008	23	21	8	8	5	—	NAICS2007
2009	21	19	6	8	5	—	NAICS2007
2010	25	23	7	10	6	—	NAICS2007
2011	22	20	8	7	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	21	8	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	22	21	9	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	22	20	7	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	24	21	7	11	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	22	20	8	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	24	22	10	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	22	10	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	23	10	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	26	10	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	25	9	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	24	11	10	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	23	10	7	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04105. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
04103	3.2 mi	51	2023
04021	3.6 mi	8	2023
04092	4.4 mi	45	2023
04110	4.8 mi	1	1995

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.