BMIE Market 04843

Knox County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,242 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,474 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±319 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,851 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,168 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$82,344 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,269 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±354 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$520,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±70,041 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04843
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	63.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+17.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+17.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+22.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+8.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 24–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.51) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04843. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.51, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.3	63	40%	+25.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48.9	49	35%	+17.1
Market Momentum Score	65.4	65	25%	+16.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,242	61	40%	+24.5
Median household income (ACS)	82,344	65	40%	+26.0
Households (ACS)	2,474	64	20%	+12.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	17.4	61	35%	+21.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	51.5	9	25%	+2.3
Population (ACS)	5,242	61	20%	+12.2
Median household income (ACS)	82,344	65	20%	+13.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	17.4	75	50%	+37.6
10-year restaurant growth	17.4	61	30%	+18.3
20-year restaurant growth	22.7	47	20%	+9.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (67)

By cuisine

American 13 · Seafood 7 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 4 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Italian 2 · African 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · European 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Pizza 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 45 · Bar 17 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
40 Paper	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		40 Washington St	open
8 Bells Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	45 Mechanic St	open
Atlantica Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	9 Bayview Lndg	open
Bagel Café	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	30 Main St	open
Bistro La Cave	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7 Public Lndg	open
Blaze Blaze Brewing Company	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		5 Bayview Lndg	open
Blue Barren Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1 Wayfarer Dr	open
Boynton-McKay Food Co.	Café	Coffee	30 Main St	open
Buttermilk Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	35 Main St	open
Camden Bagel Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25 Mechanic St	open
Camden Charcuterie	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1 Wayfarer Dr	open
Camden Cone	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	31 Bay View St	open
Camden Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	37 Main St	open
Camden House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	12 Mechanic St	open
Camden Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	87 Elm St	open
Cappy's Chowder House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1 Main St	open
Cuzzy's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	21 Bay View St	open
Deirdre's Roadside	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Middle Eastern	251 Belfast Rd	open
Elm Street Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	115 Elm St	open
Ephemere	Bar		51 Bay View Street	open
FIRESIDE	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	7 Public Landing	open
First Fig	Bar		31 Elm St	open
Franny's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	55 Chestnut St	open
Fresh and Co	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1 Bay Vw Lndg	open
Gypsy Rose Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		115 Elm St	open
Harbor Dogs	Food truck · Quick service	Hot dogs	1 Public Lndg	open
Laugh Loud Smile Big	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	38 Main St	open
Le Pecheur Camden Maine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		30 Main St	open
Long Grain	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	20 Washington St	open
Lucky Betty's	Bar		46 Elm St	open
Mé Lon Togo Rockland	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	56 Elm St	open
Mid Coast Provisions Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		123 Elm St	open
Mixed Greens	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	15 Main St	open
Mosaic Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	31 Elm St	open
Natalie's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		6 Rockbrook Dr	open
Natalie's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	European · American	83 Bay View St	open
Paper Plane	Bar		1 Wayfarer Dr	open
Peter Ott's on the Water	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	16 Bayview Lndg	open
Pig + Poet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	52 High St	open
Port Clyde Seafood Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Wayfarer Dr	open
Rhumb Line	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	59 Sea St	open
River Ducks Ice Cream	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	19 Mechanic St	open
Rockport Lobster	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	99 Park St	open
Rose Cottage Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	36 Limerock St	open
Salt Wharf	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3 Wayfarer Dr	open
Schooner Appledore	Bar		3 Lily Pond Dr	open
Scott's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	85 Elm St	open
Sea Dog Brewing Co. Sea Dog Bangor	Brewery / taproom · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		1 Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	123 Elm St	open
Szep Resources Llc-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Bay View St	open
The Big T Snack Shack	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Coffee	20 Barnestown Rd	open
The Drouthy Bear	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	50 Elm St	open
The Munching Meeple	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		43 Mechanic St	open
The Place Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	117 Elm St	open
The Smoke Stack Grill	Bar		43 Mechanic St	open
The Smoothie Shack	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	46 Elm St	open
The Village Candy and Gift Shoppe	Dessert		53 Bay View St	open
The Waterfront Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	48 Bay View St	open
U.S. Route 1 Take Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	254 Belfast Rd	open
Union St. Sourdough	Bakery	Bakery	45 School St	open
Uprising, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		49 Mechanic St Fl 2	open
Winona's	Bar	American	31 Elm St	open
wolfpeach	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	50 Elm St	open
Zafiro Cuban Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Asian	20 William Glen Dr	open
Zoot Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5 Elm St	open
Uncle Willy's Candy Shoppe	Dessert		57 Bay View St	closed
Village Restaurant Inc	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	5 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	25	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	22	22	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	21	21	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	25	24	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	27	25	16	7	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	27	25	16	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	28	26	16	8	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	26	24	15	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	23	21	13	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	23	22	14	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	23	22	12	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	23	21	12	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	23	22	14	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	31	30	24	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	30	29	20	6	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	36	33	22	8	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	33	31	20	8	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	28	28	19	5	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	24	24	17	3	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	24	23	17	2	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	25	24	16	2	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	24	23	15	3	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	26	23	16	4	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	25	24	15	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	23	14	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	23	14	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	23	14	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	27	26	15	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	26	15	7	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	27	18	4	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04843. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
04856	4.9 mi	15	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.