BMIE Market 06026

Hartford County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,196 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±75 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,955 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±167 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,117 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,138 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$119,375 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,153 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,324 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±159 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$388,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,811 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06026
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+166.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	35 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06026. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.6	73	40%	+29.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.3	55	35%	+19.4
Market Momentum Score	35	35	25%	+8.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,196	61	40%	+24.4
Median household income (ACS)	119,375	90	40%	+36.0
Households (ACS)	1,955	61	20%	+12.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.4	51	25%	+12.8
Population (ACS)	5,196	61	20%	+12.2
Median household income (ACS)	119,375	90	20%	+18.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-20	13	50%	+6.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	166.7	90	20%	+18.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 4 · Breakfast 3 · Pizza 3 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 5 · Bakery 3 · Quick service 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Almost Famous Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		17 Kripes Rd	open
Brignole Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		103 Hartford Ave	open
Center Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	3 Turkey Hills Rd	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	122 Rainbow Road	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	52 Rainbow Rd	open
Domino's Conn Commissary Domino's Republica Dominicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14 International Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	4 Rainbow Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	150 Rainbow Rd Phillips 66	open
Everlasting Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Juice / smoothies	3 Turkey Hills Rd	open
Franks' Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	16 S Main St	open
Gio's Brick Oven Pizzeria	Bar	Pizza · Italian	3 Turkey Hills Rd #3E	open
Greenleaf's Cafe	Café	Coffee	3 Turkey Hills Rd	open
J&G Restaurante	Casual dining · Bar	Italian · American	35 S Main St	open
Lazy Fare	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	10 East St	open
Luppoleto Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		17 Kripes Rd	open
Mutri Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3 Turkey Hills Rd Ste G	open
Rhodes Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		35 S Main St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3 Turkey Hills Rd	open
The Craft Llc	Bakery	Bakery	10 East St	open
The Grill at Copper Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	20 Copper Hill Rd	open
The Kitchen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	150 Rainbow Rd	open
Three Brothers II	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	58 Rainbow Rd	open
Three Brothers Ii	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	58 Rainbow Rd	open
TJ's Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	3 Turkey Hills Rd #3L	open
Wok On the Wild Side	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3 Turkey Hills Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	4	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06026. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06081	1.9 mi	4	2023
06035	3.7 mi	25	2023
06096	4.8 mi	38	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.