BMIE Market 06035

Hartford County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,817 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±507 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,237 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±258 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,513 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,018 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$107,957 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,197 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,357 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±172 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$350,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,288 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	15.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06035
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	28.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+4.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+31.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+38.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+212.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 26–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.82) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06035. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.82, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.7	75	40%	+29.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.3	60	35%	+21.1
Market Momentum Score	63.4	63	25%	+15.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,817	67	40%	+26.8
Median household income (ACS)	107,957	86	40%	+34.2
Households (ACS)	3,237	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	31.6	72	35%	+25.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	32.0	18	25%	+4.6
Population (ACS)	7,817	67	20%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	107,957	86	20%	+17.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	4.2	61	50%	+30.3
10-year restaurant growth	31.6	72	30%	+21.6
20-year restaurant growth	38.9	58	20%	+11.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

American 6 · Dessert 5 · Italian 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Breakfast 3 · Coffee 3 · Asian 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Mexican 2 · Burgers 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegan 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 4 · Quick service 4 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Antonia Chamberlain	Restaurant (service type not stated)		518 Salmon Brook St	open
Cake Gypsy	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	15 Hartford Ave	open
Cambridge House Brew Pub	Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Bar	American	357 Salmon Brook St	open
Clark Farms at Bushy Hill Orchard	Café · Winery / distillery / taproom · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	29 Bushy Hill Rd	open
Dave's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	569 Salmon Brook St	open
Drago's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	7 Mill Pond Dr	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	7 Mill Pond Rd Salmon Brook Ct	open
Farmers Kitchen Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Hartford Ave Ste A-4	open
Four Dads Pub	Bar		18 Hartford Ave	open
Geno's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	345 Salmon Brook St	open
Granby Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	345 Salmon Brook St	open
Granbys Pizzeria and Restaurant	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · Pizza · Italian	565 Salmon Brook St	open
Grass Roots Creamery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4 Park Pl	open
Greeting The Seasons	Dessert		335 Salmon Brook St	open
Han Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	10 Hartford Ave	open
Icy Rolls	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Tea / bubble tea · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	10 Hartford Ave	open
Julien's	Bakery	Bakery	Bank St	open
La Figata	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	9 Bank St	open
Las Potras	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Mexican	518 Salmon Brook St #9-8	open
Lite N Up	Bakery	Bakery		open
Lox Stock and Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · Breakfast	10 Hartford Ave	open
Mcdonald's	Quick service		9 Bank St	open
New England Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	518 Salmon Brook St	open
Peppermill Country Deli & Bakery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	83 Salmon Brook St	open
Rancho Viejo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	9 Bank St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	10 Hartford Ave Space D 1	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	97 Salmon Brook St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	9 Bank St	open
T C X Company Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Hartford Ave	open
The Barn Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	17R E Granby Rd	open
The Bear's Den	Bar · Casual dining		18r Hartford Ave	open
The Sweet Beet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	498 Salmon Brook St	open
The Trading Post Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	10 Hartford Ave	open
The Verona Pizzeria and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	10 Hartford Ave D4	open
Tiger Belly Noodle Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Vietnamese · Japanese	9 Mill Pond Dr	open
Tina's Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Dessert	4 Park Pl	open
Wayback Burgers Wayback Burgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	10 Hartford Ave Unit D2	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	16	15	8	3	4	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	13	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	20	18	9	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	19	17	7	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	21	19	8	8	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	22	20	8	9	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	24	22	9	9	4	—	NAICS2002
2008	24	23	11	8	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	26	25	12	9	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	22	21	8	7	6	—	NAICS2007
2011	20	19	7	7	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	19	18	7	6	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	20	19	8	6	5	—	NAICS2012
2014	21	20	8	7	5	—	NAICS2012
2015	22	21	8	8	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	20	8	7	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	21	21	9	6	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	24	12	6	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	21	11	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	23	12	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	24	12	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	25	11	7	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	25	12	6	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06035. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06090	3.2 mi	1	1995
06026	3.7 mi	8	2023
06081	4.1 mi	4	2023
06060	4.7 mi	1	2013

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.