BMIE Market 06073

Hartford County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,372 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±529 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±196 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,651 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,122 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$201,477 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,640 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,408 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±645 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$560,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,560 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	14.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06073
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+71.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 9–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06073. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.4	76	40%	+30.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.6	59	35%	+20.5
Market Momentum Score	53.3	53	25%	+13.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,372	62	40%	+24.6
Median household income (ACS)	201,477	99	40%	+39.6
Households (ACS)	2,000	61	20%	+12.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	35%	+18.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.3	32	25%	+7.9
Population (ACS)	5,372	62	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	201,477	99	20%	+19.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	30%	+16.0
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

American 5 · Breakfast 3 · Coffee 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Thai 2 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 Hopewell Bistro & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2 Hopewell Rd	open
Amici’s Glastonbury	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	2249 New London Turnpike	open
Aroy Aroy Thai Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	875 Main St	open
Char Koon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	882 Main St	open
Cotton Hollow Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	840 Main St	open
Crystal Ridge Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		257 Belltown Rd	open
Flynn's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	875 Main St	open
Harpo's Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast	908 Main St	open
Hops on the Hill Farm Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		275 Dug Rd	open
Lottie's Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	2249 New London Turnpike	open
Marina Indian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	2249 New London Turnpike	open
Olympic Pizza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · Greek	885 Main St S	open
Pizzeria Sassano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2249 New London Tpke	open
Sayulita Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	865 Main St	open
So G Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	882 Main St	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	2217 New London Turnpike	open
Sweet Stacks by Kelly	Bakery	Bakery	152 Bluff Point Rd	open
Thai House Restaurant and Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Sushi · Japanese	875 Main St	open
Two Brothers Cafe SG	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	875 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	8	5	1	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	7	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	8	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	6	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	6	—	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	7	7	7	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	9	6	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	10	7	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	10	7	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	5	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	9	6	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	12	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	12	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	14	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	14	11	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	11	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	10	8	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	12	9	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06073. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06033	3.6 mi	78	2023
06480	4.4 mi	16	2023
06067	4.8 mi	57	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.