BMIE Market 06480

Middlesex County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,434 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,762 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±230 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,508 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,077 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$118,929 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,490 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,129 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±62 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$337,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,721 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06480
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-15.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	22 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06480. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78	78	40%	+31.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.0	49	35%	+17.1
Market Momentum Score	22.0	22	25%	+5.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,434	70	40%	+28.0
Median household income (ACS)	118,929	90	40%	+36.0
Households (ACS)	3,762	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-15.8	16	35%	+5.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.0	46	25%	+11.5
Population (ACS)	9,434	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	118,929	90	20%	+18.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 22 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-20	13	50%	+6.5
10-year restaurant growth	-15.8	16	30%	+4.7
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 7 · Italian 5 · Burgers 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 9 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arrigoni Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1287 Portland Cobalt Rd	open
Bud's Cafe	Café	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Coffee	158 Main St # 1	open
Burger Heaven & Smooth Acai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches · American	870 Portland-Cobalt Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	22 Marlborough St	open
Campagna Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	151 Marlborough St	open
Concentric Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		91 Main St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	900 Portland Cobalt Rd 900 Portland Cobalt Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	152 Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	860 Portland Cobalt Rd Unit #1 Corner Shops	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	1633 Portland Cobalt Rd	open
Eggs Up Restaurant	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1462 Portland Cobalt Rd	open
Fabian's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Pizza · Italian	279 Main St	open
Fairway Grill LLC	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	105 Gospel Ln	open
Farrell's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	245 Marlborough St	open
Fox on the Green	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	169 Bartlett St	open
Fox on the Green	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		105 Gospel Ln	open
Giles Corey Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		5 Birch Tree Hill Rd	open
Great Wall Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	224 Main St	open
Lighthouse Seafood & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	662 Portland-Cobalt Rd	open
Mc Cabe & Associates-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		329 Main St	open
Melilli Caffe & Grill	Bakery · Café	Italian · Coffee · Bakery	264 Main St	open
Portland Restaurant	Bar		188 Main St	open
Primavera Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	222 Main St	open
Quarry Ridge Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9 Rose Hill Rd	open
Quarry Ridge Restaurant & Banquet Facilities	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9A Rose Hill Rd	open
Sarah's on Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	246 Main St	open
Smooth Acai Bowls and Smoothies	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	870 Portland Cobalt Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	42 Marlborough St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	197 Marlborough St	open
Terrazza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Italian	9 Rose Hill Rd	open
The HopKnot Portland	Bar · Casual dining		164 Main St	open
The Pub at PGC	Bar · Casual dining		169 Bartlett St	open
Tommy's Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	330 Marlborough St	open
Top Dog	Food truck · Quick service	Hot dogs	211 Marlborough St	open
Top Dog Hot Dog	Quick service	Hot dogs		open
V's Rolling Stone	Food truck · Quick service		1399 Main St	open
Viking Room At St Clements Castle	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	European	1909 Portland Cobalt Rd	open
White Dog Cafe	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	164 Main St	open
Winchester Cafe	Casual dining · Bar	American	1374 Portland Cobalt Rd	open
Wing Yum Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	328 Marlborough St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	18	11	9	—	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	17	11	10	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	21	13	10	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	21	13	10	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	21	13	6	5	2	4	NAICS1997
2003	18	12	6	4	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	17	11	7	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	23	18	11	5	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	24	19	10	5	4	2	NAICS2002
2007	25	20	11	6	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	27	21	12	6	3	3	NAICS2007
2009	25	19	13	3	3	3	NAICS2007
2010	25	20	14	3	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	24	19	13	3	3	2	NAICS2007
2012	29	23	14	3	6	3	NAICS2012
2013	24	19	12	2	5	2	NAICS2012
2014	25	20	14	2	4	2	NAICS2012
2015	24	19	13	2	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	24	19	13	2	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	24	19	12	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	20	13	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	18	11	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	17	10	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	18	10	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	16	8	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	16	9	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06480. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06414	2.4 mi	1	2016
06416	3.9 mi	46	2023
06073	4.4 mi	12	2023
06456	4.6 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.