BMIE Market 06416
Middlesex County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 14,334 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,763 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±335 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,005 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,001 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $110,596 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,921 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,628 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $325,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,612 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 12.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 46 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06416 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 27.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +9.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +27.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +27.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +155.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 53 (range 48–57) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06416. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 80.4 | 80 | 40% | +32.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61.4 | 61 | 35% | +21.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 64.5 | 65 | 25% | +16.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 14,334 | 76 | 40% | +30.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 110,596 | 87 | 40% | +34.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,763 | 76 | 20% | +15.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 27.8 | 69 | 35% | +24.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 32.1 | 18 | 25% | +4.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 14,334 | 76 | 20% | +15.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 110,596 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 9.5 | 67 | 50% | +33.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 27.8 | 69 | 30% | +20.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 27.8 | 51 | 20% | +10.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (94)
By cuisine
American 14 · Pizza 11 · Italian 10 · Sandwiches 9 · Burgers 8 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 8 · Coffee 7 · Dessert 7 · Asian 6 · Bakery 6 · Mexican 5 · Chinese 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Japanese 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · European 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Breakfast 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Bar 18 · Quick service 14 · Dessert 12 · Bakery 9 · Casual dining 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 Restaurants | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food | 36 Shunpike Rd Route 3 | open |
| A Little Imagination Cakes | Bakery | Bakery | 322 Main St | open |
| ABC Trattoria Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 316 Main St | open |
| Ambrosia Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 548 Main St | open |
| Art Splash | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 136 Berlin Rd | open | |
| Baci Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 134 Berlin Rd | open | |
| Barb's Pizza Cromwell | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 77 Berlin Rd | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert | 1 Kirby Rd | open |
| Billy Tee's | Casual dining · Bar | 150 Sebethe Dr | open | |
| Blimpie | Other | Sandwiches | 136 Berlin Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 136 Berlin Road | open |
| Cafe Fiore | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Italian · Coffee | 134 Berlin Rd | open |
| Café Luna | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee · American | 35 Berlin Rd | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Sandwiches | 4 Sebethe Drive | open |
| China Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 544 Main St | open |
| Cromwell Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2 Willowbrook Rd | open |
| Cromwell Diner | Casual dining | American | 135 Berlin Rd | open |
| Cromwell Pizza & Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 307 Main St | open |
| D'Angelo's D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 34 Shunpike Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 51 Shunpike Rd | open |
| Diamond Trio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 30 Berlin Rd | open |
| Digger McDuff's Tavern | Bar | 195 Shunpike Rd | open | |
| Donnelly's Irish Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 1 Wall St | open |
| Dreamers Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 543 Main St | open | |
| Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 50 Berlin Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 24 Shunpike Rd | open |
| Edgewood Premium Soft Serve,llc | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 562 Main St | open |
| Fil's Deli,Cromwell,CT | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | open | |
| Freddy's Pizza & Grinders | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 552 Main St | open |
| Freihofer's | Bakery | Bakery | 207 Shunpike Rd | open |
| Friendly's | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers | 48 Berlin Rd | open |
| From Chan Bakeshop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 50 Berlin Rd | open |
| Fuego Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 36 Shunpike Rd | open |
| Giulia's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 199 Shunpike Rd | open |
| Gyro Love Cromwell Delivery Gyro.Love | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 136 Berlin Rd | open |
| Hotel Bar At Courtyard Mariott | Bar | 4 Sebethe Dr | open | |
| It's Just Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4 Sebethe Drive | open |
| Jefferson Fry Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Burgers | 43 Berlin Rd | open |
| Joe's Filling Station | Bar | 35 Berlin Rd | open | |
| Ken and Barbs Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 199 Shunpike Rd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 32 Shunpike Road | open |
| Kuyi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 34 Shunpike Rd | open |
| Lorenzo's Pizza and Martini Lounge | Bar | Italian · Pizza | 35 Berlin Rd | open |
| Luen Hop Chinese Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 34 Shunpike Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 125 Berlin Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 30 Shunpike Rd | open |
| Ming Garden Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 199 Shunpike Rd | open | |
| Mitchell's On Main | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 317 Main St | open |
| Mizzu Asian Bistro & Hibachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese | 136 Berlin Rd #115 | open |
| Montano Wellness Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 160 West St Ste 1a | open | |
| Moon Star Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 2 Willowbrook Rd Ste 7 | open |
| Murphy's Pub & Sports Bar | Bar | 51-14 Shunpike Rd | open | |
| Nardelli's Grinder Shoppe Nardelli's Grinder Shoppe | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Italian | 136 Berlin Rd | open |
| No Anchovies | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 51 Shunpike Rd | open |
| Nostalgia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Chicken / wings · American | 530 Main St | open |
| Olivia Poke | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls | 51 Shunpike Rd #40 | open |
| Oyama Japanese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 136 Berlin Rd #115 | open |
| Party Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 11 Berlin Rd | open |
| Pho & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 200 West St | open |
| Pit & Masa | Food truck | Mexican · Spanish / tapas | open | |
| PizzaPie Cromwell Delivery PizzaPie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 136 Berlin Rd | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes | Quick service | 195 West Street | open | |
| Rail 99 Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 1 Wall St | open | |
| Red Zone Tavern | Café · Bar | Coffee · American | 1 Wall St | open |
| Ruby Tuesday | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 50 Shunpike Rd | open |
| Sheffield's Restaurant | Bar | 100 Berlin Rd | open | |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 136 Berlin Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 140 Berlin Rd | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 541-543 Main Street | open |
| Subway Restaurants | Other | Sandwiches | 51 Shunpike Rd Spc 51-01 | open |
| Swati Enterprise | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 543 Main St | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 19 Shunpike Road | open |
| Tall Man’s Homemade Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 564 Main St | open |
| Tall Man’s Homemade Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 564 Main St | open |
| Taqueria El Tenampa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 543 Main St | open |
| Tea Roses Tea Room | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 322 Main St | open |
| Ted's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 43 Berlin Rd | open |
| Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 55 Shunpike Rd | open |
| The 1851 | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 150 Sebethe Dr | open |
| The OC Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 150 Sebethe Dr | open | |
| Third Rail Cafe | Bar | 1 Wall St | open | |
| Tony's Flour Shop | Bakery | Bakery | 548 Main St | open |
| Tr Ventures Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 317 Main St | open | |
| Two Devils Brew | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 4 Timber Hill Rd | open | |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 161 Berlin Rd | open |
| Wang Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 30 Berlin Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 209 West Street | open |
| Whole Heart Kitchen | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 30 Highridge Rd | open |
| Wingsat Cromwell | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 34 Shunpike Rd #34 | open |
| Woody's Coffee & Ice Cream | Café · Dessert · Coffee shop | Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 319 Main St | open |
| Wooster Street Pizza Cromwell | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 77 Berlin Rd Ste 6 | open |
| Xing Hua | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 51 Shunpike Rd | open | |
| Zerio's | Catering | Italian · European | 2 Willowbrook Rd | open |
| Imperial Caribbean Restaurant Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 51 Shunpike Rd Ste 28 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 19 | 18 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 20 | 19 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 27 | 25 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 32 | 30 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 34 | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 35 | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 31 | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 26 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 31 | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 37 | 36 | 19 | 15 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 33 | 32 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 36 | 34 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 35 | 32 | 18 | 13 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 38 | 36 | 20 | 14 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 41 | 38 | 21 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 43 | 40 | 22 | 14 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 43 | 39 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 42 | 39 | 20 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 44 | 37 | 16 | 16 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 43 | 36 | 14 | 17 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 48 | 41 | 16 | 20 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 49 | 41 | 15 | 21 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 53 | 45 | 17 | 22 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 48 | 40 | 14 | 21 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 50 | 42 | 16 | 19 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 54 | 47 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 54 | 47 | 19 | 20 | 8 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 52 | 46 | 19 | 21 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 51 | 46 | 19 | 22 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 51 | 46 | 19 | 21 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2022 |