BMIE Market 06470

Fairfield County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,593 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±917 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,433 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±334 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,003 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,871 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$153,238 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,177 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,873 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±560 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$577,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,182 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	37.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	49 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06470
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+48.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+88.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+172.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	54 (range 50–59) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06470. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.6	85	40%	+33.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.3	67	35%	+23.6
Market Momentum Score	74.3	74	25%	+18.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,593	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	153,238	96	40%	+38.6
Households (ACS)	5,433	75	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	48.5	80	35%	+27.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	31.4	19	25%	+4.7
Population (ACS)	15,593	77	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	153,238	96	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.4	69	50%	+34.6
10-year restaurant growth	48.5	80	30%	+23.9
20-year restaurant growth	88.5	79	20%	+15.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (87)

By cuisine

Italian 13 · American 12 · Sandwiches 11 · Asian 7 · Coffee 7 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Mexican 5 · Chinese 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Breakfast 3 · Indian 3 · Japanese 3 · Burgers 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sushi 2 · European 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Bar 20 · Quick service 14 · Casual dining 11 · Specialty food shop 9 · Bakery 6 · Café 6 · Dessert 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alicante Bar De Tapas	Bar	Spanish / tapas	266 S Main St	open
Angelina’s Italian Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	150 S Main St	open
Bagel Delight	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	30 Church Hill Rd	open
Barnwood Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	5 Queen St	open
Beef & Barleys	Restaurant (service type not stated)		274 S Main St	open
Besho Pizza	Quick service		Ramallah/Kober/main	open
Blue Colony Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	66 Church Hill Rd	open
Boost Bowls	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	6 Queen St	open
Burgerittoville	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	57 Church Hill Rd	open
Burrito Shack	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	314 S Main St	open
Cafe Xpresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	150 S Main St	open
Carminuccio's Pizza and Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	76 S Main St	open
castle hill chocolate	Dessert	Dessert	6 Queen St	open
Cheese Bread Factory	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	286 S Main St	open
Chew Chew Station Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		55 Church Hill Rd	open
Clean Eatz	Restaurant (service type not stated)		266 S Main St	open
Cosmic Coffeehouse	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	282 S Main St	open
Dodgingtown Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	57 Dodgingtown Rd #57	open
Domino's Pizza - Coming Soon Domino's	Quick service		14 Church Hill Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	6 Queen St	open
Dynasty Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	6 Queen St	open
Eli Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		32 Church Hill Rd	open
Emalyn Sweets	Dessert	Dessert	3 Simm Ln	open
Farmhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	43 S Main St	open
Ferris Acres Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	144 Sugar St	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	266-274 South Main St.	open
Franco's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	228 S Main St	open
Fruits and Roots Wellness and Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	123 S Main St	open
Fusion 25	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	123 S Main St	open
Good Old Days Pizza & Cocktail Den	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	19 Main St	open
Hawleyville Wine & Liquors	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		23 Barnabas Rd Ste 3 Unit 3	open
Hog Wild BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		71 S Main St	open
Holy Cow Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	51 Church Hill Rd	open
Jct, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Dodgingtown Rd	open
jjStacks Newtown	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	71 S Main St	open
King's Breakfast & Lunch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	271 S Main St	open
Kolam	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	316 S Main St	open
Lions Bleecker Street Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	123 S Main St	open
Market Place Kitchen and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	32 Church Hill Rd	open
Martini Madness	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2 Country Club Rd	open
Marygold's on Main	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	19 Main St	open
Mexcla Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	48 S Main St	open
Mexicali Rose \| Newtown, Ct	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	71 S Main St Ste 1	open
Mitchell Hawleyville Deli And Cafe	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	26 Hawleyville Rd	open
My Place Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		8 Queen St	open
New Main Moon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	23 Barnabas Rd Unit 4	open
New Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	228 S Main St D16	open
NewSylum Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		Keating Farms Ave	open
Newtown Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	79 S Main St	open
Newtown General Store	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	43 Main St	open
Newtown Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	71 S Main St	open
Newtown Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	65 Church Hill Rd	open
Nostrano Italian Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	274 S Main St	open
Orale Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	314 S Main St	open
Panera Bread	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	228 S Main St	open
Panificio Navona	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert · Breakfast	32 Church Hill Rd	open
Papa Al's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	23 Barnabas Rd	open
Perfusion Bar	Bar		274 S Main St	open
PopUp Bagels Popup Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	266 S Main St	open
Primo Crust Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian	3 Simm Ln	open
Project Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	75 Church Hill Rd	open
Reverie Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		57B Church Hill Rd	open
Robeks Robeks Fresh Juices & Smoothies	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	75 Church Hill Rd	open
Rosewood Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	125 S Main St	open
Sal E Pepe Contemporary Italian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	97 S Main St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	34 Church Hill Rd	open
Station 25 Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		255 S Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	266-274 South Main Street	open
Sweet mango Asian restaurant and sushi bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	266 S Main St	open
Taco Dia	Bar	Mexican	32 Church Hill Rd	open
Tamarind Fine Dining - Newtown, CT	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	33 Main St	open
Tambascio's Italian Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	1 Dodgingtown Rd	open
Tazza Cucina & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Italian	266 S Main St	open
Thai Delight Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	133 Mt Pleasant Rd	open
The Ranch Pub	Casual dining · Bar		160 S Main St	open
THE ROOM	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	266 S Main St	open
Tikka Masala Fine Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	318 S Main St	open
Time Out Sports Bar & Grill	Bar		71 S Main St	open
Toro Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Chinese · Asian	28 Church Hill Rd	open
Two Brothers Pizza Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		65 Church Hill Rd	open
Two Hounds Public House	Bar		43 S Main St	open
Villarina's	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	20 Church Hill Rd	open
Wonderland Jam	Food truck			open
Big Buddha Cigar Lounge	Bar		27 Hawleyville Rd	closed
Lereine's Cuisine Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		31 Pecks Ln	closed
One Eyed Pig	Restaurant (service type not stated)		71 S Main St	closed
Red Rooster Pub	Bar		160 S Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	22	21	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	33	31	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	30	18	10	5	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	24	19	11	5	3	2	NAICS1997
2000	22	18	10	5	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	29	23	13	6	4	2	NAICS1997
2002	28	22	13	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	31	26	14	10	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	28	23	12	9	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	33	28	17	9	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	34	29	16	10	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	37	33	16	13	4	2	NAICS2002
2008	34	29	13	9	7	2	NAICS2007
2009	32	28	12	11	5	2	NAICS2007
2010	37	33	14	13	6	2	NAICS2007
2011	32	30	15	11	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	38	35	18	11	5	1	NAICS2012
2013	36	33	16	10	6	1	NAICS2012
2014	35	32	16	9	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	38	36	20	10	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	40	38	23	10	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	39	39	23	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	44	44	25	14	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	46	44	26	13	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	43	40	22	13	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	45	43	22	13	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	46	43	23	13	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	50	49	29	12	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06470. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06482	4.0 mi	11	2023
06801	4.1 mi	58	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.