BMIE Market 06472

New Haven County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,363 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±527 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,309 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±195 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,853 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,484 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$105,729 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,905 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,408 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±326 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$405,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,538 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06472
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+83.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	55 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06472. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.1	72	40%	+28.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.5	68	35%	+23.6
Market Momentum Score	55.1	55	25%	+13.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,363	64	40%	+25.7
Median household income (ACS)	105,729	84	40%	+33.8
Households (ACS)	2,309	63	20%	+12.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	35%	+26.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.3	45	25%	+11.2
Population (ACS)	6,363	64	20%	+12.8
Median household income (ACS)	105,729	84	20%	+16.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	30%	+22.8
20-year restaurant growth	37.5	57	20%	+11.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · American 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amanda's Deli and Grill	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	855 Forest Rd	open
Angiollo's Wood Fired Apizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1421 Middletown Ave	open
Breaking Yolk Yolk.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	531 Forest Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	847 Forest Rd	open
Giovanni's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	855 Forest Rd	open
Kent Falls Brewing Company - Northford	Brewery / taproom · Bar		418 Forest Rd	open
Kv Enterprises Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1411 Middletown Ave	open
La Monaco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1060 Middletown Ave #1	open
Lee’s Northford Coffee & Ice Cream llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1405 Middletown Ave, Northford, CT 06472-1395, United States	open
Lucky	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	855 Forest Rd	open
Lulu's Baked Goods	Bakery	Bakery	531 Forest Rd	open
Milani Italian Pastry and Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Italian · Dessert	855 Forest Rd	open
Millpond Gatherings	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse	1565 Middletown Ave	open
Northford Country Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1411 Middletown Ave	open
Poppop's Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1355 Middletown Ave	open
Rosabianca Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1536 Middletown Ave	open
Stewards of the Land Brewery	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		418 Forest Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	847 Forest Rd	open
Tony Z's Apizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1874 Middletown Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	11	7	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	9	6	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	9	5	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	11	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	9	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06472. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06471	4.1 mi	20	2023
06473	4.5 mi	73	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.