BMIE Market 06478
New Haven County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,991 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,046 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±337 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,683 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,746 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $128,953 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,972 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,415 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±87 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $472,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,534 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 32.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06478 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 11.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +60.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +300.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 25 (range 22–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06478. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.8 | 82 | 40% | +32.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73.9 | 74 | 35% | +25.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 84.8 | 85 | 25% | +21.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,991 | 75 | 40% | +29.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 128,953 | 93 | 40% | +37.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,046 | 74 | 20% | +14.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 60 | 86 | 35% | +30.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 18.5 | 41 | 25% | +10.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,991 | 75 | 20% | +14.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 128,953 | 93 | 20% | +18.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 85 | 50% | +42.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 60 | 86 | 30% | +25.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 100 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (50)
By cuisine
American 12 · Pizza 7 · Italian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 6 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Other 2 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 Restaurant | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7 Juliano Dr | open |
| Alz Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 441 Oxford Rd Ste 1 | open | |
| Basilico Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 340 Oxford Rd | open |
| Black Hog Brewing | Brewery / taproom | 115 Hurley Rd Bldg 9a | open | |
| Bloom Kitchen & Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Vegetarian · Burgers · Sandwiches · American | 300 Oxford Rd | open |
| Boba bliss | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | 357 Oxford Rd | open |
| Bobby Fritz Snack Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 72 Oxford Rd | open |
| Brookside Inn Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 231 Oxford Rd | open |
| Bubbakoo's Burritos Bubbakoo's Burritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 71 Oxford Rd | open |
| Char & Lemon | Bar | Italian · Pizza | 302 Center Rock Green | open |
| Colonial Tavern | Bar | open | ||
| Country Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 144 Oxford Rd | open |
| Crafted & Catered | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 200 Main St | open |
| Cucina Rustica Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 340 Oxford Rd | open |
| Cultivated | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 144 Oxford Rd | open |
| Dark Horse Saloon | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 35 Old State Road 67 | open | |
| Dessert Island | Dessert | Dessert | 26 Silva Ter | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 144 Oxford Rd | open |
| Double R Ribs & Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1 Oxford Rd | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 60 Oxford Rd | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 300 Oxford Road (Route 67) | open |
| Haven Hot Chicken - Oxford Haven Hot Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chicken / wings · American | 202 Main St C- 102 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 116 Main St | open |
| La Terraza Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 451 Oxford Rd | open |
| Maru 67 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 320 Center Rock Green | open |
| Mcguire's Pub N' Grub | Bar | Steakhouse | 299 Governors Hill Rd | open |
| Nardelli's Grinder Shoppe Nardelli's Grinder Shoppe | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Italian | 84 Oxford Rd | open |
| OEC Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 7 Fox Hollow Road | open | |
| Oxford Axe Throwing | Bar | 248 Oxford Rd | open | |
| Oxford Baking Company | Bakery | Bakery | 451 Oxford Rd | open |
| Oxford House Tavern | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 441 Oxford Rd | open |
| Oxford Pizza Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 71 Oxford Rd #6 | open |
| Peachwave | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 71 Oxford Rd | open |
| Pies & Pints of Oxford | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 143 Oxford Rd | open |
| Quarry Coffee & Craft Kitchen | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 101 Main St | open |
| Quarry Coffee & Craft Kitchen | Coffee shop | Coffee | 101 Main St | open |
| R&B Oxford | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 112 Main St | open |
| Rich Farm Ice Cream Shop Rich Farm Ice Cream Shop | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 691 Oxford Rd | open |
| Rolando's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 340 Oxford Rd | open |
| Rose's Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 143 Oxford Rd | open |
| Shing Jet Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 144 Oxford Rd | open |
| Sitting Duck Tavern Sitting Duck Tavern - Oxford | Casual dining · Bar | American | 360 Center Rock Green | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 278 Oxford Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 144 Oxford Rd | open |
| Tea With Tracy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 320 Center Rock Grn | open | |
| The Boars Nest | Bar | American | 248 Oxford Rd | open |
| The Bronx Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 71 Oxford Rd | open |
| The Oxford House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 441 Oxford Rd | open | |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 278 Oxford Road | open |
| Volo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7 Juliano Dr | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 15 | 15 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 22 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 21 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 23 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 22 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 21 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 22 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 21 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 25 | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 27 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |