BMIE Market 06762

New Haven County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,807 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,969 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,561 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,887 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$133,487 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,311 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$398 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±387 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$476,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,933 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06762
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+17.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 19–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06762. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.7	78	40%	+31.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.0	60	35%	+21.0
Market Momentum Score	63.7	64	25%	+15.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,807	67	40%	+26.8
Median household income (ACS)	133,487	94	40%	+37.5
Households (ACS)	2,969	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	17.7	61	35%	+21.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	25.6	26	25%	+6.4
Population (ACS)	7,807	67	20%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	133,487	94	20%	+18.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.1	69	50%	+34.5
10-year restaurant growth	17.7	61	30%	+18.3
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

Italian 6 · American 5 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Breakfast 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Bar 10 · Dessert 6 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
8 Fifty Wood Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	489 Middlebury Rd	open
Aldo's Ristorante & Wine Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	199 Park Rd Ext	open
BMuse Salad & Sandwich Cafe BMuse Cafe Wallingford	Café · Fast casual	Coffee · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	900 Straits Turnpike	open
Brewbury	Bar · Casual dining		1383 Whittemore Rd	open
Ceviche Latin Kitchen Señor Panchos Middlebury	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Spanish / tapas · Mexican · Latin American (other)	530 Middlebury Rd	open
Cheng Square	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	1655 Straits Turnpike	open
DeRocco's Wiches Bagels and Brew	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast	900 Straits Turnpike	open
Domenic's and Vinnie's Pizza Domenic's and Vinnie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1625 Straits Turnpike	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service · Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	489 Middlebury Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	750 Straits Tpke	open
First Cup Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1625 Straits Tpke	open
Froyoworld Middlebury	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	489 Middlebury Rd	open
Junipers Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1383 Whittemore Rd	open
Kitchen 64	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	590 Middlebury Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		550 Middlebury Rd	open
L Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	199 Park Road Ext	open
La Strega Italian Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian	338 Middlebury Rd	open
Leeper family Maple	Restaurant (service type not stated)		470 Benson Rd	open
Leo's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	900 Straits Tpke	open
Maggie McFly's Unique Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	199 Park Road Ext	open
Maggie McFly's \| Middlebury Maggie McFly's Local Craft Eatery & Bar	Casual dining · Bar		6 Woodside Ave	open
Maggies Management Group Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1579 Straits Tpke Ste 2b	open
Maples Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	725 Straits Turnpike	open
Meet Me Here Restaurant and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		564 Middlebury Rd	open
Middlebury Fine Wine & Spirits	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1255 Middlebury Rd	open
Middlebury Food Bank	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1172 Whittemore Rd	open
Middlebury Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1255 Middlebury Rd	open
Middlebury's Best	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	750 Straits Tpke	open
Nella & Ella's Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1255 Middlebury Rd	open
Pies & Pub	Bar · Casual dining		1 Store Rd	open
Quarry Ice Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		900 Straits Tpke Ste 1h	open
Rita’s of Middlebury CT Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	900 Straits Turnpike	open
Smokey's Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	492 Middlebury Rd	open
Sub Restaurant 26097 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		750 Straits Tpke Ste 1a	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	750 Straits Tpke Ste 1A	open
The Local Gourmet Cafe Cornerstone Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	1625 Straits Tpke	open
Tranquillity Vineyard and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1892 Middlebury Rd	open
Vyne Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1365 Whittemore Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	16	13	8	3	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	13	8	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	15	13	7	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	16	14	7	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	17	15	8	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	19	15	9	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	17	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	17	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	19	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	14	6	4	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	14	8	2	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	20	16	10	1	5	—	NAICS2007
2010	18	14	9	1	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	19	15	9	1	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	14	9	2	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	20	17	11	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	20	17	10	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	20	17	10	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	18	11	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	20	18	11	3	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	18	12	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	17	12	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	20	13	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	19	11	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	23	15	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	20	13	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06762. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06708	3.2 mi	36	2023
06770	4.4 mi	52	2023
06702	4.6 mi	23	2023
06798	5.0 mi	21	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.