BMIE Market 06702

New Haven County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,946 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±566 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,859 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±380 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,654 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,046 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$14,474 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,480 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	55.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$749 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±200 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$286,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40,657 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06702
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	82.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-23.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-20.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-11.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-8.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 19–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.48) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	22 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	33 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	16 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	13 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06702. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.48, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 22 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	32.7	33	40%	+13.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	16.4	16	35%	+5.8
Market Momentum Score	13.2	13	25%	+3.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,946	52	40%	+20.7
Median household income (ACS)	14,474	0	40%	+0.1
Households (ACS)	1,859	60	20%	+12.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 16 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-20.7	13	35%	+4.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	78.1	6	25%	+1.4
Population (ACS)	2,946	52	20%	+10.3
Median household income (ACS)	14,474	0	20%	+0.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 13 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-23.3	12	50%	+5.9
10-year restaurant growth	-20.7	13	30%	+4.0
20-year restaurant growth	-11.5	16	20%	+3.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (86)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 11 · Italian 8 · Pizza 7 · Latin American (other) 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 4 · Bakery 3 · Caribbean 3 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Asian 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 45 · Bar 22 · Casual dining 13 · Quick service 11 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
203 Lounge & Bar	Bar		9 Phoenix Ave	open
34 Thomaston Ave Subway, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		34 Thomaston Ave	open
92 Bank: The Bistro With a Beat	Bar	American	92 Bank St	open
Addiction Nightclub & Lounge	Bar		7 Phoenix Ave	open
Adriana’s Lunch Box	Restaurant (service type not stated)		709 E Main St	open
Alta Cocina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	393 E Main St	open
Ami’s Hot Bagels	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	111 Thomaston Ave	open
Bagel Exchange	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	50 Center St	open
Baker and Honey Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	451 Meadow St	open
Bank Street Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	30 Bank St	open
Beverley’s soul haven	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	734 E Main St	open
Bk Supper Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		92 Bank St	open
Black Salt	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	457 W Main St	open
Boru's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		357 W Main St	open
Brass City Jazz Fest	Bar · Brewery / taproom		267 Grand St	open
Brass City Mall, Waterbury, Connecticut USA	Bar · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches · Italian		open
Brass Tacs Cafe	Bar · Café	Coffee	175 Freight St #2	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	198 Thomaston Ave	open
Cafe Europa	Restaurant (service type not stated)		30 Bank St	open
Carmines Cafe Carmine's Italian Restaurant - Times Square	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Coffee	477 E Main St	open
Central Square	Café · Bar	Coffee	15 S Main St	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		225 Union Street	open
China One China One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	201 E Main St #2323	open
Circa Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		92 Bank St	open
City Hall Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	234 E Main St	open
City Pizza & Espresso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	182 Grand St	open
Dabomb Salad	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	451 Meadow St	open
Daily Grind	Coffee shop	Coffee	167 E Main St	open
Diorio Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	231 Bank St	open
Domenick & Pia Downtown Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3 Brook St	open
Domplines El Maná Take out service	Restaurant (service type not stated)		248 Cherry St	open
Dottie's 2	Casual dining	American	146 Grand St	open
Drescher's Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	25 Leavenworth St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	201 Thomaston Ave	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop	Coffee	63 Bank St	open
Financial Master	Restaurant (service type not stated)		210 Meadow St	open
Freight Street Grill	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	185 Freight St	open
Golden Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	35 E Main St	open
Grand Street Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	142 Grand St	open
Gtj Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21 Leavenworth St	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	225 Union Street	open
J & J Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)		591 E Main St	open
Joba Bookstore Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	182 Grand St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	649 West Main Street	open
La Casa Taina	Bar		675 E Main St	open
La Cazuela	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Latin American (other)	354 W Main St	open
Libero's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	182 Grand St Lowr	open
Litt Ultra Lounge	Bar		483 W Main St	open
Louie's Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	126 E Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	45 Thomaston Ave	open
Olivia’s Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	139 W Main St	open
Palace Bar and Grill	Bar		234 E Main St	open
Pameola Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		490 W Main St	open
Pizza Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	384 W Main St	open
Prestige	Bar · Casual dining		309 E Main St	open
Rafi Deli Grocery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	707 E Main St	open
Red Velvet Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		122 E Main St	open
Sabor Amazonico LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	45 Cherry St Ste #2	open
San Marino Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	111 Thomaston Ave	open
Seven Villages Restaurant	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	30 Bank St	open
Signatures Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	29 Leavenworth St	open
Sip N Savor Waterbury ct	Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	131 W Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	34 Thomaston Ave	open
Sweet & Savory Soul Food Restaurant	Quick service	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	451 Meadow St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	155 Thomaston Avenue	open
Tacos La Jarocha	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	175 Freight St	open
Temptations Sports Bar	Bar		379 E Main St	open
The Brass Horse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	30 N Main St	open
The Green Deli and Convenience	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	63 Bank St	open
The Patio Bar & Cafe	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		210 Meadow St	open
The Raw Deal Juice Bar	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	180 Grand St	open
The Truck	Food truck		175 Freight St	open
Tio Fito	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	407 E Main St	open
Tobin's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	182 Grand St	open
Tower Grill	Casual dining	American	185 Freight St	open
Tropical Quisine Jerk Hut and Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	736 E Main St	open
Tullamore Public House	Bar	British / Irish pub food	21 Leavenworth St	open
Turf Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar		142 Grand St	open
Via Al Paraiso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Spanish / tapas · Caribbean	384 W Main St	open
Via Al Paraiso Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Latin American (other) · Caribbean	146 Grand St	open
Vintage	Restaurant (service type not stated)		92 Bank St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	167 Thomaston Avenue	open
Zachary's Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	187 E Main St	open
Bank Street Grille & Rstrnt	Restaurant (service type not stated)		70 Bank St	closed
Cafe Biaggio Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		379 E Main St	closed
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	114 Grand St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	28	25	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	26	23	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	29	24	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	32	27	15	9	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	34	30	15	11	3	4	NAICS1997
2000	31	27	16	7	3	4	NAICS1997
2001	33	28	17	8	3	4	NAICS1997
2002	34	29	17	8	4	3	NAICS1997
2003	33	26	15	10	1	5	NAICS2002
2004	33	28	15	11	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	39	32	18	13	1	5	NAICS2002
2006	39	34	19	13	2	4	NAICS2002
2007	41	35	20	13	2	4	NAICS2002
2008	40	33	21	9	3	5	NAICS2007
2009	34	29	18	8	3	3	NAICS2007
2010	35	30	18	9	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	36	31	16	12	3	3	NAICS2007
2012	42	33	18	14	1	6	NAICS2012
2013	37	29	16	12	1	5	NAICS2012
2014	35	29	17	11	1	5	NAICS2012
2015	32	27	14	12	1	4	NAICS2012
2016	33	29	15	13	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	36	31	16	13	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	36	30	15	13	—	5	NAICS2017
2019	35	29	16	11	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	31	27	14	11	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	30	27	13	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	23	11	10	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	26	23	12	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06702. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06710	0.9 mi	3	2016
06708	1.4 mi	36	2023
06706	2.0 mi	24	2023
06704	2.3 mi	27	2023
06705	2.8 mi	55	2023
06779	3.3 mi	9	2023
06762	4.6 mi	20	2023
06770	4.7 mi	52	2023
06716	4.8 mi	25	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.