BMIE Market 06779

Litchfield County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,364 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,007 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,556 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±351 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,324 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,531 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$95,798 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,510 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,349 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±338 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$277,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,488 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06779
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+125.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 2–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.33) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06779. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.33, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.3	72	40%	+28.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.8	59	35%	+20.6
Market Momentum Score	58.8	59	25%	+14.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,364	68	40%	+27.2
Median household income (ACS)	95,798	78	40%	+31.2
Households (ACS)	3,556	69	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.8	69	25%	+17.3
Population (ACS)	8,364	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	95,798	78	20%	+15.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

Pizza 9 · Italian 6 · American 3 · Coffee 3 · Bakery 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Mediterranean 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 6 · Bakery 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anthony's Anthony's Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	308 Main St	open
Baked & Brewed	Bakery	Bakery	224 Main St Apt 1A	open
Cafe Bravado Venue & Catering	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	28 Main St	open
Cafe Europa Café Europa Restaurant Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Halal / kosher	135 Main St	open
David's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	395 Davis St 2205	open
Don Tome’s Apizza Truck	Food truck		213 Davis St	open
Giovannis V Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	170 Main St	open
Great Minds Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	28 Main St	open
Hardcore Sweet	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	20 Main St	open
Island Rootz Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	413 Main St	open
Jojo's Pizza Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	395 Davis St	open
Lasting Brass Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1864 Watertown Ave	open
Maggy's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	395 Davis St	open
Martino's Pizzaria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	213 Davis St	open
Oakville European Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	European	170 Main St	open
Oakville Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	206 Main St	open
Oakville Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	263 Main St	open
Oakville V F W	Bar		85 Davis St	open
Ordinary Joes	Bar		253 Buckingham St	open
Paradise Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	714 Main St	open
Pasta Gallery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Roma Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood	179 Davis St	open
Ros Pizza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	841 Main St	open
Sandy's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	382 Buckingham St	open
Tequilla Bar & Grille	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	471 Main St	open
The Lion’s Den Cigar Lounge	Bar		239 Buckingham St	open
The Oasis	Bar · Coffee shop	Coffee	134 Saugus Ave	open
Tony and Sons Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	639 Main St	open
tuti´s Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	6 Bushnell Ave	open
Venice Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	213 Davis St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	7	6	5	—	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	8	6	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	7	5	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	3	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	2	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	11	10	4	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	14	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	12	7	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	11	6	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06779. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06704	2.4 mi	27	2023
06710	2.6 mi	3	2016
06795	3.0 mi	35	2023
06708	3.2 mi	36	2023
06702	3.3 mi	23	2023
06782	3.8 mi	1	2003

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.