BMIE Market 06706

New Haven County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,551 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,778 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,506 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±473 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,324 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,961 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$52,242 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,708 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,269 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±87 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$210,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06706
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-22.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+4.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+140.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 20–32) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	19 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06706. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	53.1	53	40%	+21.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38.7	39	35%	+13.5
Market Momentum Score	19.3	19	25%	+4.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,551	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	52,242	18	40%	+7.1
Households (ACS)	5,506	76	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	35%	+6.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.4	51	25%	+12.8
Population (ACS)	15,551	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	52,242	18	20%	+3.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 19 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-22.6	12	50%	+6.0
10-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	30%	+5.9
20-year restaurant growth	4.4	37	20%	+7.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (78)

By cuisine

Dessert 8 · Latin American (other) 8 · American 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Coffee 6 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Caribbean 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Brazilian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 48 · Bar 12 · Quick service 12 · Dessert 11 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Café 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 2 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
19th Hole Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		171 E Mountain Rd	open
Aaa Auto Reg & Title, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2122 S Main St	open
Adrianna's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1622 Baldwin St	open
Ancient Order of Hibernians, Waterbury, Ct.	Bar		91 Golden Hill St	open
Ann's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1595 Baldwin St	open
Antojitos De La Abuelita	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	1902 Baldwin St	open
Arby's	Quick service		495 Union St	open
Banana Brasil Banana Brazil em Hartford ct	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Brazilian · Latin American (other) · BBQ	2060 S Main St	open
Basil Thai At Waterbury Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		495 Union St Ste 2206	open
Brass City Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	812 Hamilton Ave	open
Brazilian Centro Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery · Latin American (other) · Brazilian	1575 S Main St	open
Breaking crab	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	495 Union St	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	315 Union Street	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		495 Union St	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	495 Union St	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	495 Union Street Suite 139	open
China Max	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese		open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	495 Union St	open
Del's Television Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1409 Baldwin St	open
Delicious Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1148 Baldwin St	open
Diparma Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	680 Baldwin St	open
Dippy's Ice Cream at Brass Mill Center	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	495 Union St #2190	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	21 Union St Gulf Express	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	786 Hamilton Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2714 S Main St	open
Ecua Deli & Restaurant Mar y Tierra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	1523 Baldwin St	open
Edgewood Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	375 Edgewood Ave	open
El Rey Del Pollo Rotisserie Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	495 Union St	open
El Viejito Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Spanish / tapas	1024 Baldwin St	open
Fratelli's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1860 Baldwin St	open
Gloria Jeans Coffees	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	495 Union St Ste K1030	open
HomeTown Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	315 Union St	open
House Of Goats	Restaurant (service type not stated)		23 Scovill St	open
Howard's Cafe	Bar · Casual dining		978 S Main St	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	495 Union St	open
International Bakery – Portuguese Bakery CT	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	998 Baldwin St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	815 Hamilton Ave	open
L&k Beauty Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		57 S Main St	open
La Borinquena Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	466 S Main St	open
La Fogata Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	711 S Main St	open
La Islá Tropical	Bar · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	305 River St	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	815 Hamilton Ave	open
Limes Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	1589 S Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	325 Union St	open
Meme’s Kitchen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	233 Mill St	open
MexiRican Food Truck	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1820 Baldwin St	open
Mi Parada Deli Food	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Caribbean · Sandwiches	911 S Main St	open
Mill Street Deli & Catering	Café	Coffee	233 Mill St	open
Olive Garden Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	495 Union St	open
Orange Julius	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	495 Union St	open
Outside Inn	Bar		866 Hamilton Ave	open
Panaderia Y Reposteria Pan Del Cielo	Bakery	Bakery	606 S Main St	open
Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	73 S Main St	open
Pralines Icecream	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	495 Union St	open
Pretzelmaker	Other · Dessert · Quick service	Dessert	495 Union St Ste 2094	open
Pura Vida Deli Cafe	Other	Sandwiches	233 Mill St	open
Restaurant & BBQ "El Huaquillitas"	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Latin American (other)	1720 Baldwin St	open
Shogun Japan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	495 Union St	open
Sicilian Delight	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	495 Union St #2200	open
Singh Express Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		375 Edgewood Ave	open
Spirit Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	118 E Main St	open
Splash Bar and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	56 Franklin St	open
Surf City Squeeze	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	495 Union St	open
Taqueria Casales	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1153 S Main St	open
TCBY	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	495 Union St	open
TGI Fridays	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	335 Union St	open
The Coffee Bean and Tea Leaf	Restaurant (service type not stated)		495 Union St Ste 1076	open
The Mountain Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	171 E Mountain Rd	open
The Thirsty Goat	Restaurant (service type not stated)		23 Scovill St	open
Top O' the Mornin'	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	2740 S Main St	open
Tropical Taste and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Caribbean	606 S Main St	open
Villa Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	495 Union, Ste 2200	open
Wheeler-Young VFW Post 201	Bar		2205 Baldwin St	open
Yogurt Lane	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Tea / bubble tea	495 Union St	open
Chinese Gourmet Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)		495 Union St	closed
Cross Of Christ Lutheran Church-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1555 Hamilton Ave	closed
Lin & Zhang Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		495 Union St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	10	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	14	9	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	14	9	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	15	11	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	20	16	5	10	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	20	16	5	10	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	22	18	5	12	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	23	20	6	11	3	3	NAICS1997
2002	25	22	7	12	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	27	23	8	11	3	3	NAICS2002
2004	30	26	8	13	4	3	NAICS2002
2005	30	27	9	12	5	2	NAICS2002
2006	27	24	11	8	4	2	NAICS2002
2007	27	22	8	8	5	4	NAICS2002
2008	32	26	10	10	5	4	NAICS2007
2009	33	25	11	7	6	5	NAICS2007
2010	36	28	13	8	6	5	NAICS2007
2011	35	28	13	8	6	5	NAICS2007
2012	33	26	9	9	7	5	NAICS2012
2013	33	26	10	9	6	5	NAICS2012
2014	33	26	11	9	6	5	NAICS2012
2015	41	33	15	12	6	5	NAICS2012
2016	37	30	12	12	6	5	NAICS2012
2017	37	29	12	12	5	5	NAICS2017
2018	39	31	13	13	5	5	NAICS2017
2019	35	27	10	13	4	5	NAICS2017
2020	37	30	13	13	4	4	NAICS2017
2021	33	30	13	14	3	3	NAICS2017
2022	31	27	10	15	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	28	24	10	13	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06706. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06702	2.0 mi	23	2023
06705	2.0 mi	55	2023
06708	2.7 mi	36	2023
06710	2.8 mi	3	2016
06770	3.3 mi	52	2023
06712	3.4 mi	11	2023
06704	3.9 mi	27	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.