BMIE Market 06787

Litchfield County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,509 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,102 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±278 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,975 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,309 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$103,102 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,208 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,037 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±147 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$282,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,304 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06787
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+17.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+53.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+53.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+53.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 23–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06787. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.2	73	40%	+29.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.6	66	35%	+23.0
Market Momentum Score	76.9	77	25%	+19.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,509	66	40%	+26.6
Median household income (ACS)	103,102	83	40%	+33.1
Households (ACS)	3,102	67	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	53.9	85	35%	+29.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	26.6	24	25%	+6.0
Population (ACS)	7,509	66	20%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	103,102	83	20%	+16.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	17.7	75	50%	+37.7
10-year restaurant growth	53.9	85	30%	+25.5
20-year restaurant growth	53.9	68	20%	+13.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (44)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 7 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Italian 5 · Asian 3 · Japanese 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 9 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Black Rock Tavern & Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	78 Main St	open
Cafe Uno	Bar		2627 Waterbury Rd	open
Chubba's Bagelry	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	76 Watertown Rd	open
Ciao Ristorante & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	76 Watertown Rd	open
Clocktown Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		135 S Main St	open
Cookie Creations by Mik	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	191 S Main St	open
Crabby Al's Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	147 E Main St	open
Cutie Pies Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	131 Main St #105A	open
di Napoli Ristorante & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	150 S Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	495 S Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	369 East Main St	open
Epicure Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	19 Waterbury Rd	open
Esme's and Ruby's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American · Latin American (other)	370 Watertown Rd	open
Faircrest Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	310 S Main St	open
Fourth And Goal To Go Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		76 Watertown Rd	open
Great Wall Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3 Electric Ave	open
Holly's Place Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar	Coffee	117 E Main St	open
Hometown Pizza III	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	299 S Main St	open
JDT's Brickhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4 Main St	open
Jimenez Foods Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		360 Watertown Rd	open
Joe Dews' Man Cave	Bar · Casual dining			open
Litchfield County Axe House	Casual dining · Bar		437 S Main St	open
Milestone Wood Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	68 E Main St	open
Mona Lisa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	66 Main St	open
Our Place on Main	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4 Main St	open
PANDA Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho	64 E Main St	open
Patti's Place	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	4 Park St	open
Peanut's Place BistrÃ³ & Cafe Food Truck	Food truck · Catering · Café	Coffee	224 Watertown Rd	open
Plymouth Kettle Corn	Dessert · Food truck		102 E Main St	open
Rafs	Bar		1 S Main St	open
Riders Smokehouse Bar And Grill Llc	Café	Coffee	2627 Waterbury Rd	open
Rozzi's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	265 Watertown Rd	open
Savor Fine Foods	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	76 Watertown Rd #2b	open
Scoop It Up	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	102 E Main St	open
SilverBacks Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2627 Waterbury Rd	open
Sips Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		180 Watertown Rd	open
Smiley's Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	19 Waterbury Rd	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	19 Waterbury Rd	open
Sushi Q Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	150 S Main St	open
Thai In Love	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	209 Watertown Rd	open
The Goose & Gander	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	370 Watertown Rd	open
Tony's Coffee Express	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	19 Waterbury Rd	open
Tramonti Express	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · Pizza · American	131 Main St	open
まどか	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	千代田町4-25	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	13	11	5	4	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	12	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	15	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	17	14	8	4	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	17	15	8	3	4	2	NAICS1997
2003	15	13	7	3	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	15	11	5	2	4	4	NAICS2002
2005	14	12	6	2	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	16	14	8	2	4	2	NAICS2002
2007	19	17	13	1	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	19	16	13	—	3	3	NAICS2007
2009	16	14	10	1	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	17	14	10	1	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	17	14	11	—	3	3	NAICS2007
2012	17	13	8	1	4	4	NAICS2012
2013	16	13	8	1	4	3	NAICS2012
2014	16	12	7	1	4	3	NAICS2012
2015	16	13	7	1	5	2	NAICS2012
2016	17	14	8	2	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	20	17	11	3	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	21	17	11	3	3	4	NAICS2017
2019	23	20	12	5	3	3	NAICS2017
2020	25	20	13	4	3	4	NAICS2017
2021	24	21	13	5	3	3	NAICS2017
2022	21	18	12	5	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	23	20	12	7	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06787. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06782	3.0 mi	1	2003
06778	3.4 mi	—
06786	3.5 mi	14	2023
06795	3.9 mi	35	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.