BMIE Market 06840
Fairfield County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 20,870 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,153 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±293 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,738 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,551 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $250,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $3,401 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±360 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,611,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74,229 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 22.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 52 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06840 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 19.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +26.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +20.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +62.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +136.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 56 (range 51–62) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06840. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.7 | 89 | 40% | +35.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65.5 | 66 | 35% | +22.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 74.5 | 75 | 25% | +18.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 20,870 | 82 | 40% | +32.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 250,001 | 100 | 40% | +39.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,153 | 80 | 20% | +15.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20.9 | 64 | 35% | +22.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 24.9 | 27 | 25% | +6.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 20,870 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 250,001 | 100 | 20% | +20.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 26.8 | 82 | 50% | +40.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20.9 | 64 | 30% | +19.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 62.5 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (87)
By cuisine
American 16 · Coffee 12 · Italian 11 · Pizza 8 · Dessert 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Healthy / salads / bowls 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 3 · Japanese 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Indian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegan 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 59 · Bar 12 · Dessert 10 · Café 9 · Casual dining 9 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Quick service 6 · Specialty food shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Forest Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 32 Forest St | open | |
| Apple Cart Food Co | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 241 Park St | open |
| Baldanza Natural Organic Market & Cafe | Café | Coffee | 17 Elm St | open |
| Barvida | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 137 Elm St | open |
| Baskin-Robbins | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 103 Main St | open |
| Best Pizza Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 62 Main St | open |
| Boulevard 18 Bistro & Wine Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 62 Main St | open |
| Carpe Diem | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 26 Locust Ave | open |
| Catering From The Hart | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | E Hills Dr | open |
| Cava Wine Bar and Wood Grille | Bar · Casual dining | Italian | 2 Forest St | open |
| Chef Luis Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Latin American (other) | 129 Elm St | open |
| Chef Prasad | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | Indian | 62 Main St | open |
| Cherry Street East | Bar | Burgers · American | 45 East Ave | open |
| Ching's Table | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 64 Main St | open |
| Club Sandwich | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 107 Cherry St | open |
| Connecticut Muffin | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 108 Main St | open |
| Connecticut Sandwich Company | Other | Sandwiches | 78 Pine St | open |
| Curry Club Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 62 Main St | open | |
| Dante's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 75 Pine St | open |
| Dolce Italian Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Coffee | 98 Elm St | open |
| Doppio of New Canaan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 62 Main St | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 48 Elm St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 6233 Gerdes Rd, Merritt Pkwy N | open |
| Elm | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 73 Elm St | open |
| EMBODY Fitness Gourmet | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 21 Forest St | open |
| Farmer's Table | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 12 Forest St | open |
| Garelick & Herbs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 97 Main St | open |
| Gates Restaurant | Casual dining · Bar | American | 10 Forest St | open |
| Gelatissimo Artisan Gelato | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 26 Forest St #2 | open |
| gingerbitz | Café | Coffee | 155 Elm Street | open |
| Gofer Ice Cream New Canaan | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 103 Main St | open |
| Grace Farms Tea & Coffee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Green & Tonic Green & Tonic | Juice, smoothie, tea | Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegetarian · Juice / smoothies | 21 Forest St | open |
| Greenology New Canaan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegan | 96 Main St | open |
| Greens On The Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 75 Pine St | open |
| Hashi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 11 Forest St | open |
| Health Food Junction | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 35 Church St | open | |
| Joe's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 23 Locust Ave | open |
| Kaahve Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 96 Main St | open |
| Kinney Lane | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | BBQ · American | 31 Vitti St | open |
| Le Pain Quotidien Le Pain Quotidien | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 81 Elm St | open |
| Locali | Bar | Pizza · Italian | 32 Forest St | open |
| Lombardi's Ristorante & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 32 Elm St | open |
| Made It Myself Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 151 Elm St | open |
| Migoto Boba Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 168 Main St | open |
| Miyuki Noodle Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert | Noodles / ramen / pho · Bakery · Dessert | 75 Pine St | open |
| Mood Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 21 Locust Ave | open |
| Nammack Catering Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 27 Elm St | open | |
| New Canaan Chicken | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | BBQ · Sandwiches · Chicken / wings | 151 Elm St | open |
| New Canaan Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 18 Forest St | open |
| New Canaan Pizza & Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 53 East Ave | open |
| Nm Hopsitality Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15 Elm St | open | |
| Patisserie Salzburg | Bakery | Bakery | 25 Elm St | open |
| Pesca Peruvian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | 70 Main St | open |
| Picador | Bar | Spanish / tapas | 15 Elm St | open |
| Pinocchio Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 115 Main St | open |
| Plum Tree | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 70 Main St | open |
| Ppx Hospitality Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 36 Pine St | open | |
| Press Burger New Canaan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 19 South Ave | open |
| Ramzak Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 105 Elm St | open | |
| Rosie | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 27 Elm St | open |
| Saisons Sucrées | Café · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert · Bakery | 84 Main St | open |
| SE Uncorked | Bar | Spanish / tapas · American | 15 Elm St | open |
| Silvermine Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 1032 Silvermine Rd | open |
| Sole | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Mediterranean · European | 105 Elm St | open |
| South End | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 36 Pine St | open | |
| Spiga | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 136 Main St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 88 Park St | open |
| Station Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 19 South Ave | open | |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 64 Main St | open |
| Sushi 25 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 25 Elm St | open |
| Swirl Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 111 Cherry St | open |
| Tennis General Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 45 Grove St | open | |
| Tequila Mockingbird Tequila Mockingbird | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 6 Forest St | open |
| Thali | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 87 Main St | open |
| The Connecticut Auto Accident Law Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 125 Elm St Ste 5 | open | |
| The Waveny Tavern by PXK | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 36 Pine St | open |
| The White Buffalo | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 72 Park St | open | |
| Tony's Deli | New Canaan | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 75 Pine St | open |
| UCBC bagels Bruegger's Bagels | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 11 South Ave | open |
| Uncorked At The Back End | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 17 Elm St | open |
| Van Leeuwen Ice Cream Van Leeuwen Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 88 Elm St | open |
| Vegetable Barn & Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches | 22 Cross St | open |
| Vicolo Pizza Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 62 Main St | open |
| Waffle Cabin | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 75 Pine St | open |
| Zumbach's Gourmet Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 77 Pine St | open |
| ごはんや竹膳 | Casual dining | Japanese · American | 小倉北区片野3丁目9-18 1F | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 23 | 22 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 20 | 19 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 24 | 23 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 27 | 26 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 32 | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 35 | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 33 | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 31 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 34 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 36 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 39 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 42 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 38 | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 37 | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 40 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 41 | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 44 | 39 | 25 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 49 | 44 | 29 | 7 | 8 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 49 | 41 | 24 | 7 | 10 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 52 | 43 | 24 | 10 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 47 | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 48 | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 48 | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 50 | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 52 | 41 | 26 | 9 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 57 | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 60 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 63 | 49 | 27 | 12 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 62 | 48 | 25 | 10 | 13 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 66 | 52 | 25 | 12 | 15 | — | NAICS2022 |