BMIE Market 07460

Sussex County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,181 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±726 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,245 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±264 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,457 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,422 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$145,081 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,652 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$384,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40,309 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	28.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2016 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2016 detail (NAICS2012) · by USPS ZIP 07460
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2011 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2006 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2021	3 (range 1–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2006–2016 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	57 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 07460. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2006–2016, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.1	70	40%	+28.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.6	61	35%	+21.2
Market Momentum Score	57.1	57	25%	+14.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,181	53	40%	+21.2
Median household income (ACS)	145,081	96	40%	+38.2
Households (ACS)	1,245	53	20%	+10.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.4	74	25%	+18.6
Population (ACS)	3,181	53	20%	+10.6
Median household income (ACS)	145,081	96	20%	+19.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-40	7	20%	+1.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (9)

By cuisine

Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · American 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Bar 3 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 2 · Bakery 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
23 Lounge	Bar		2700 RT-23	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2737 State RT 23	open
Fort Chmura	Bar · Casual dining		612 Wharf Avenue	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2735 Route 23	open
Pikan Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2772 State Rt 23	open
Rich's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	2826 NJ-23	open
Sue's House of fudge	Dessert · Quick service	Dessert	2772 RT-23	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop	Coffee	2765 State Rt 23	open
Tony's Restaurant Pizza & Pub	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	2771 RT-23	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	2	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	2	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	3	3	2	—	1	—	NAICS2012

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 07460. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
07422	4.8 mi	1	2016
07419	4.8 mi	15	2023
07416	4.9 mi	18	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.