BMIE Market 07419

Sussex County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,693 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±646 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,265 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±367 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,160 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,133 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$100,713 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,346 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,736 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±164 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$330,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,142 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 07419
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-21.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+114.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 8–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 07419. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.1	75	40%	+30.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.7	48	35%	+16.7
Market Momentum Score	37.8	38	25%	+9.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,693	70	40%	+28.1
Median household income (ACS)	100,713	81	40%	+32.6
Households (ACS)	4,265	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-21.1	13	35%	+4.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.5	51	25%	+12.8
Population (ACS)	9,693	70	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	100,713	81	20%	+16.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-21.1	13	30%	+3.9
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (39)

By cuisine

American 7 · Italian 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 6 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Acquaviva Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	87 NJ-23	open
Alberto's	Other	Sandwiches	3331 State Rt 94	open
Artim Investments Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3673 State Rt 94	open
Barside Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		7-11 Main St	open
Blue Spice Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3339 NJ-94	open
Cava Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		3619 State Rt 94	open
Celine's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		87 RT 23 N	open
Chef's Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3 Wild Turkey Way	open
Claremont Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		3619 NJ-94	open
Cravin Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	4 Main St	open
Crystal Tavern Crystal Springs Resort	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		1 Wild Turkey Way	open
Cupcake Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	3339 NJ-94	open
Dante’s Pizza Hamburg NJ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	90 NJ-23	open
Doc's Place	Casual dining · Bar		100 NJ-23	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	99 Route 23	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	3672 Route 94 North	open
Gencarelli's Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	10 Vernon Ave	open
Good Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	90 NJ-23 Ste 5	open
Granny's Pancake House and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	181 State RT 23 S	open
Hamburg Hot Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	90 NJ-23	open
LiBre Dessert Cafe	Dessert · Café · Bakery	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	3339 NJ-94	open
Mamma Mia's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	90 NJ-23	open
Milano's Italian Restaurant Lojas Milano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	3673 State RT 94	open
Owen's Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	137 Wheatsworth Rd	open
Pomodoro Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	3331 State RT 94	open
Rainbow Belly Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	100 Quarry Rd Ste 101	open
Restaurant Latour	Restaurant (service type not stated)	European	1 Wild Turkey Way	open
Rj's Corner Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	100 Quarry Rd	open
Roni Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3331 State Rt 94	open
Shree Bama Ji Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3339 State Rt 94	open
Springs Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3 Wild Turkey Way	open
Stone Hill Recreation Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Wild Turkey Way	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3672 Route 94 Unit # 3	open
Sussex Inn Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	23 State St	open
The George Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		84 Vernon Ave	open
Tony's Pizza &Pasta Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3339 NJ-94	open
Tony's Pizza &Pasta Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3339 New Jersey 94	open
Two Teaspoons	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2 Main St	open
Zinck Mine Tavern	Bar	American	100 Wheatsworth Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	16	12	6	4	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	15	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	19	16	9	4	3	—	NAICS1997
2002	15	11	5	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	14	10	6	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	12	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	12	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	14	11	6	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	15	13	7	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	15	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	15	13	7	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	21	18	12	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	22	19	12	3	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	18	16	10	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	14	8	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	15	8	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	13	7	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	15	9	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	12	8	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	15	9	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 07419. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
07416	3.3 mi	18	2023
07460	4.8 mi	3	2016
07462	4.9 mi	14	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.