BMIE Market 07830

Hunterdon County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,379 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±737 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,777 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±297 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,503 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,473 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$180,852 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,689 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,979 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,418 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$656,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±58,884 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 07830
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+80.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.40) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 07830. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.40, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.0	79	40%	+31.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.1	61	35%	+21.4
Market Momentum Score	25.4	25	25%	+6.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,379	66	40%	+26.5
Median household income (ACS)	180,852	98	40%	+39.3
Households (ACS)	2,777	66	20%	+13.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.2	64	25%	+15.9
Population (ACS)	7,379	66	20%	+13.2
Median household income (ACS)	180,852	98	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10	19	50%	+9.3
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · Italian 5 · Bakery 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · American 2 · Dessert 2

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Bakery 4 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Bar 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Brasserie 513	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	438 County Rd 513	open
Burrata Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		425 County Road 513	open
Califon General Store	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee	75 Main St	open
Cookie Maven	Bakery · Dessert · Catering	Bakery · Dessert	427 County Rd 513	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	429 County Rd 513	open
Frank's Pizza and Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	431 County Road 513	open
KettleBagel & deli	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Coffee shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	427 County Road 513	open
Mama Abbondanzo’s Mobile Coffee Shoppe	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		72 Main St	open
Max's Market & Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	425 County Rd 513	open
Nicola's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	427 County Road 513	open
Oscar's Gourmet Cafe	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee	438 County Rd 513	open
Philip Maltese	Café	Coffee · Pizza · Italian	499 North Rd	open
Rick's Bistro and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		419 County Road 513	open
Tewksbury Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)		55 Main St	open
The Bagel King	Bakery	Bakery	427 County Road 513	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	6	3	1	1	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	2	1	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	2	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	1	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	9	1	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	11	3	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	9	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	9	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 07830. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
07979	3.4 mi	1	1999
08858	3.9 mi	3	2023
07853	4.7 mi	17	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.