BMIE Market 07832

Warren County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,593 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±487 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,450 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±210 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,903 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,533 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$106,424 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,935 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,785 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±309 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$355,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,230 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	42.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 07832
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 8–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 07832. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.1	67	40%	+26.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.1	66	35%	+23.1
Market Momentum Score	60.9	61	25%	+15.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,593	55	40%	+22.1
Median household income (ACS)	106,424	85	40%	+33.9
Households (ACS)	1,450	56	20%	+11.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	35%	+30.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.3	32	25%	+8.0
Population (ACS)	3,593	55	20%	+11.0
Median household income (ACS)	106,424	85	20%	+17.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	30%	+25.8
20-year restaurant growth	60	71	20%	+14.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

American 6 · Burgers 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · Italian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Bar 5 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adam's Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		142 Polkville Rd	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	15-17 Simpson Rd	open
Brook Hollow Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		594 RT-94	open
Country Pride Country Pride	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	2 Simpson Rd	open
Dalton's Columbia Inn	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	31 Decatur St	open
Ellias	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	411 State Route 94	open
Humpty Junior's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	72 US-46	open
Knowlton Township Lions Club	Bar		30 Koeck Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10 Simpson Rd	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2 Simpson Rd	open
Sbarro Chick-fil-A	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Chicken / wings · American	29 Simpson Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	19 Simpson Rd	open
The Butcher's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mediterranean · American	31 Decatur St	open
The Log Cabin Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	47 US-46	open
Z Market 4nr01	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	19 Simpson Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	1	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	5	1	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	5	—	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	—	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	6	—	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	—	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	—	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	—	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	7	1	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	6	1	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	6	5	—	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	1	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	2	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	8	7	1	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	8	—	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	8	—	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	7	—	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	8	—	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	8	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	8	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 07832. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18351	2.3 mi	1	2011
07833	3.6 mi	1	2016
18343	4.4 mi	7	2023
18327	4.9 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.