BMIE Market 18343

Northampton County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,637 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±539 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,561 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±208 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,982 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,740 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,491 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,508 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	54.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,066 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±197 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$326,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,419 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	20.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18343
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+75.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.73) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18343. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.73, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.6	59	40%	+23.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36.9	37	35%	+12.9
Market Momentum Score	23.2	23	25%	+5.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,637	55	40%	+22.1
Median household income (ACS)	80,491	63	40%	+25.1
Households (ACS)	1,561	57	20%	+11.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-30	10	35%	+3.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.3	39	25%	+9.8
Population (ACS)	3,637	55	20%	+11.1
Median household income (ACS)	80,491	63	20%	+12.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	50%	+8.5
10-year restaurant growth	-30	10	30%	+3.0
20-year restaurant growth	40	58	20%	+11.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Food truck 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
5 Points Bar, Restaurant & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1001 Mount Bethel Hwy	open
5 Points Grill & Pub	Bar · Casual dining		1001 Mt Bethel Hwy	open
Adn Inc T/a Teresas	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3040 N Delaware Dr	open
Allegheny Creek Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		690 Allegheny Rd	open
Frank's Deli and Farm Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2671 N Delaware Dr	open
Hardball Cider	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom · Bar		805 Orchard Rd	open
Kelly's Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4325 N Delaware Dr	open
Latte Lounge & Bake Shoppe	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	690 Allegheny Rd	open
Middle Village Bakery And Farm Market	Bakery	Bakery	2989 N Delaware Dr	open
Mt Bethel Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2600 N Delaware Dr	open
Mt.Bethel Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13 Mount Bethel Plaza	open
Overlook	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4285 N Delaware Dr	open
Scooter's 100% Grass-Fed Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	American	479 Sunrise Blvd	open
Stone Lake Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		8 Mount Bethel Plz Ste 32	open
Sweet Luxe Cake Design	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	2989 N Delaware Dr	open
T K's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2500 N Delaware Dr	open
Teresa's Pizza Cucina & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3040 N Delaware Dr	open
The Slateford Inn	Casual dining · Bar		667 Slateford Rd	open
Valley View Inn & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	794 Sunrise Blvd	open
Wild Roots Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Food truck · Café	Coffee	Macmobile, 4006 Church St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	4	2	1	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	8	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	8	6	6	—	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	11	9	6	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	11	8	5	1	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	6	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	7	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	10	6	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	5	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	10	9	6	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	8	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	5	3	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18343. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
07833	2.1 mi	1	2016
18351	2.3 mi	1	2011
18013	3.9 mi	19	2023
07832	4.4 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.