BMIE Market 08221

Atlantic County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,992 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,609 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±144 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,092 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,798 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$156,354 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,226 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,188 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±192 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$394,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,618 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 08221
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+54.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+112.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+13.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 19–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 08221. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.9	78	40%	+31.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.2	69	35%	+24.2
Market Momentum Score	74.1	74	25%	+18.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,992	65	40%	+26.2
Median household income (ACS)	156,354	97	40%	+38.7
Households (ACS)	2,609	65	20%	+13.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	54.6	85	35%	+29.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.3	28	25%	+7.0
Population (ACS)	6,992	65	20%	+13.1
Median household income (ACS)	156,354	97	20%	+19.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.3	63	50%	+31.5
10-year restaurant growth	54.6	85	30%	+25.5
20-year restaurant growth	112.5	86	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · Italian 4 · Pizza 3 · Bakery 2 · American 1 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Peruvian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Bar 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bake Happy	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	199 New Rd #12	open
Bakeria 1010	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	955 Asbury Avenue	open
Barista's Coffee House	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	199 New Rd Suite 10	open
Barrel's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	199 New Rd	open
Boba Works	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2110 New Rd Ste 6	open
Boba.Works	Bakery	Bakery	2110 New Rd	open
Casaldi's Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	199 New Rd	open
Chaba Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	199 New Rd	open
Chart House @ Golden Nugget AC	Bar · Quick service	Seafood		open
Double Dose Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1201 New Rd	open
Empress Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1201 New Rd	open
Ernest and Son Sub Shoppe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2110 New Rd	open
Fuji Sushi and Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	210 New Rd	open
Jessie’s of Linwood	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	136 W Poplar Ave	open
La Pizzatega	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	210 New Rd	open
La Pizzatega	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	210 New Rd	open
La Tia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian	2110 New Rd	open
Natali Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		1000 Shore Rd	open
Petals & Pours Tea Room	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café · Bar	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	199 New Rd	open
PJ's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1201 New Rd Ste 105	open
Pptf Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		199 New Rd Ste 72	open
Romanelli's On the Greene	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Italian	210 New Rd Ste 13	open
Sabor Quillero	Quick service	Latin American (other)	2 E Ocean Heights Ave	open
Shay's Bar & Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		500 Shore Rd	open
Somers Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	1201 New Rd Ste 105	open
Treo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1201 New Rd	open
Twistnj	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1413 New Rd	open
Wb Entertainment Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		650 New Rd Ste B	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	9	1	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	9	1	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	1	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	11	10	5	2	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	4	2	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	6	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	11	6	2	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	9	5	1	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	9	6	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	8	5	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	5	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	16	7	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	17	9	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	16	7	4	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	16	7	5	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	17	7	5	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 08221. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
08403	1.9 mi	3	2023
08225	2.0 mi	26	2023
08244	2.5 mi	51	2023
08402	3.3 mi	32	2023
08232	4.2 mi	33	2023
08406	4.4 mi	36	2023
08234	4.5 mi	72	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.