BMIE Market 08514

Monmouth County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,917 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±914 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,744 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,477 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,734 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$134,038 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,427 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,444 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±945 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$580,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±99,838 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	27.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 08514
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	24.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 9–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 08514. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.3	73	40%	+29.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.3	43	35%	+15.2
Market Momentum Score	36.6	37	25%	+9.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,917	60	40%	+24.1
Median household income (ACS)	134,038	94	40%	+37.5
Households (ACS)	1,744	59	20%	+11.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	35%	+5.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.4	28	25%	+6.9
Population (ACS)	4,917	60	20%	+12.0
Median household income (ACS)	134,038	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	30%	+4.9
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Quick service 8 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ale House	Bar			open
Auction House Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	933 Monmouth Rd	open
Betsy & Lola's	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	933 Monmouth Rd Building 18	open
Bill's Old Tavern	Bar	American	5 Meirs Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	534 Monmouth Rd	open
Charleston Coffee House	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	607 County Rd 539	open
Chop Six	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian		open
Cream Ridge Hometown Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	776 County Ro. 537	open
Cream Ridge Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		149 Route 539	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	401 Pinehurst Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	568 Monmouth Rd	open
Gambler Ridge Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	121 Burlington Path Rd	open
Granny's Grill, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		465 Route 539	open
Happy Apple Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse · Seafood	29 Imlaystown Rd	open
Italian Villa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	445 Pinehurst Road Route 539	open
Jimmy's Makin Bacon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	465 County Rd Ste 539	open
Kyki Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		457 Route 539	open
Long John Silver's KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chicken / wings	564 Monmouth Rd	open
Macho Nacho	Food truck · Quick service	Mexican	Six Flags Great Adventure	open
Marge's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	229 Allentown-Hornerstown Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	534 Monmouth Rd	open
Ninuzzo Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	409 County Rd 539	open
Pasquale's Naples Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	776 Monmouth Rd	open
Plumsted Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	457 Pinehurst Rd	open
Pop's Dogs and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Sandwiches · American	933 Monmouth Rd	open
Screamin' Hill Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		83 Emleys Hl Rd	open
The Roost Bar & Restaurant at Cream Ridge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	181 County Rd 539	open
TK's Ice Cream LLC	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	331 County Rd 539	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	5	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	5	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	2	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	2	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	9	8	2	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	2	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	11	6	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	17	15	10	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	15	13	9	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	13	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	16	14	6	5	3	2	NAICS2007
2012	15	15	6	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	6	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	6	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	11	6	2	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	9	5	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	12	6	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	13	7	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	14	8	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	8	—	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	12	8	—	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 08514. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
08501	3.9 mi	9	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.