BMIE Market 08551

Hunterdon County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,873 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±790 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,071 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±236 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,532 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,971 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$162,617 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,469 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,837 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$595,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48,605 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 08551
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-55.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-42.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	3 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 08551. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.4	76	40%	+30.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.9	55	35%	+19.2
Market Momentum Score	3.4	3	25%	+0.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,873	63	40%	+25.2
Median household income (ACS)	162,617	97	40%	+38.9
Households (ACS)	2,071	61	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	35%	+1.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.8	85	25%	+21.3
Population (ACS)	5,873	63	20%	+12.6
Median household income (ACS)	162,617	97	20%	+19.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 3 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-55.6	1	50%	+0.7
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	30%	+1.4
20-year restaurant growth	-42.9	7	20%	+1.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 5 · Pizza 4 · Italian 3 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amwell Valley Diner Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	400 NJ-31	open
Breannex Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1039 Old York Rd	open
Carousel Deli & Bakery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	28 John Ringo Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	1019 US Highway 202	open
Frank's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1032 Old York Rd	open
Golden Star Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	80 US Highway 202	open
Goldenstar Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	80 U.S. 202	open
La Cocina de Neri	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	28 John Ringo Rd	open
Lucia's Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Italian · Pizza	176 Us-202	open
Maddalena's Cheesecake & Catering	Bakery · Dessert · Catering	Bakery · Dessert	415 NJ-31 N	open
Metro Cafe Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		80 US Highway 202	open
Mom's Restaurant	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	36 John Ringo Rd	open
Novartis Ag	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		10 Kren Dr	open
Old York Cellars Old York Cellars Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		80 Old York Rd	open
Pascualinas II	Restaurant (service type not stated)		176 US Highway 202	open
Ringoes Country Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1080 Old York Rd	open
Roastwell Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	92 Back Brook Rd	open
Simag Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 Route 31 N	open
Taste of Naples	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	176 US-202	open
The Grottino	Restaurant (service type not stated)		176 Route 202	open
The Grottino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	176 Us Highway 202	open
The Harvest Moon Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1039 Old York Rd	open
Unionville Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		9 Rocktown Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	7	6	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	4	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	5	4	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	10	6	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	11	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 08551. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
08525	4.6 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.