BMIE Market 08869
Somerset County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 8,368 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,326 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±270 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 6,881 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,847 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $107,672 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,453 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,112 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±197 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $456,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,910 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 08869 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 29.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -5.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -5.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -13.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -24.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 18 (range 16–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 21 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 08869. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 75.1 | 75 | 40% | +30.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 45.8 | 46 | 35% | +16.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 20.8 | 21 | 25% | +5.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 8,368 | 68 | 40% | +27.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 107,672 | 85 | 40% | +34.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,326 | 68 | 20% | +13.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -5 | 21 | 35% | +7.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 22.7 | 31 | 25% | +7.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 8,368 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 107,672 | 85 | 20% | +17.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 21 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -5 | 23 | 50% | +11.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -5 | 21 | 30% | +6.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -13.6 | 16 | 20% | +3.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (54)
By cuisine
Pizza 10 · Italian 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Dessert 4 · American 3 · Asian 3 · Filipino 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Mexican 3 · Seafood 3 · Chinese 2 · Burgers 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 8 · Café 6 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Casual dining 3 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 Cafe & Bake Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 223 W End Ave | open | |
| Acapulco Restaurant | Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 124 Thompson St | open |
| Acqua Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 777 US Highway 202 | open |
| Amici Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 124 Thompson St | open |
| As You Like It | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 62 W Somerset St | open |
| Bagels-4-U BAGELS-4-U | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 21 US Highway 206 | open |
| Bnb Associates | Café | 35 Orlando Dr | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 501 US Highway Route 28 | open |
| Char Steakhouse Char Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 777 US-202 | open |
| Cicero Seafood Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1 E Somerset St | open | |
| Cozy Home Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 2 E Somerset St | open |
| DeLucia's Brick Oven Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3 1st Ave | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 7 Route 206 | open |
| Domino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 41 1st Ave | open |
| E & M Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1 W Somerset St | open |
| El Buen Sazon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9 E Somerset St | open |
| Espo's Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 10 Second St | open |
| Forum Coffee (Raritan) Forum Coffee- Little Falls | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 605 US-202 | open |
| Four Sisters Gourmet Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 69 W Somerset St 2012 | open |
| Frank Ingrao Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 777 US Highway 202 | open | |
| Franks Gourmet Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 162 Orlando Dr | open |
| Golden Wok Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 41 US Highway 206 Ste 19 | open |
| Great Wall Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1 E Somerset St | open |
| Il Forno a Legna | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 53 W Somerset St | open |
| Italian Bakery and Espresso Bar | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Italian · Coffee | 64 W Somerset St Ste 1 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 300 Route 202 South Suite 3A | open |
| Kafe de Manila (Kitchen) | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Filipino · Asian | 12 Anderson St | open |
| La Tienda Latina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 16 W Somerset St | open |
| Lobster Alley | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 18 W Somerset St | open |
| Lutong Bahay Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Asian | 20 W Somerset St | open |
| Maria's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 531 US Highway 202 | open |
| Mary's Restaurant Hispanic Food & Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| McDonald's | Quick service | 810 Riverside Ave | open | |
| Mgl Ingrao Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 777 US Highway 202 | open | |
| Mi Warike | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Seafood · Latin American (other) | 46 W Somerset St | open |
| Michael's Inn | Casual dining · Bar | 46 Thompson St Ste A | open | |
| Nonna's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 63 W Somerset St | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 300 Route 202 | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 101 2nd Ave | open |
| Paradise Biryani Pointe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 182 Orlando Dr | open |
| Pat-ron, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 501 Route 28 | open | |
| Phil-Am Raritan Filipino Food & Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Filipino | 34 W Somerset St | open |
| Pizza Brothers of Raritan Pizza Brothers of Hillsborough | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 26 Thompson St | open |
| Randazzo Pastry Shop & Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 611 US-202 | open |
| Raritan Bagelicious | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 25 E Somerset St | open |
| Semora Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10 2nd St | open | |
| Spain 92 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · European | 1116 US Highway 202 | open |
| Sukhothai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 186 Orlando Dr | open |
| Sweet New Creations | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 12 Anderson St | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 223 W End Ave | open |
| Tjc Development Llc-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 603 1st Ave | open | |
| Two Brothers And A Bakery Inc-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 611 US Highway 202 | open | |
| Uncle Vinnie's Clam Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 5 E Somerset St | open |
| Usual suspects | Casual dining · Bar | 46 Thompson St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 27 | 25 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 25 | 23 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 29 | 26 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 26 | 23 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 26 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 28 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 27 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 28 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 27 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 27 | 23 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 29 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 30 | 22 | 7 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 26 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |