BMIE Market 10282

New York County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,887 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,028 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,353 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±415 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,783 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,484 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$250,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$2,000,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10282
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+500.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 2000 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 10–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.12) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10282. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.12, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.9	78	40%	+31.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.4	67	35%	+23.6
Market Momentum Score	62.6	63	25%	+15.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,887	63	40%	+25.2
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	40%	+39.9
Households (ACS)	2,353	64	20%	+12.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.4	36	25%	+9.1
Population (ACS)	5,887	63	20%	+12.6
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	20%	+20.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	500	99	20%	+19.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · American 5 · Chinese 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Café 6 · Bar 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 1 · Casual dining 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anassa Taverna Downtown Anassa Taverna Astoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	104 N End Ave	open
Applebees New york	Casual dining · Bar	American	102 N End Ave	open
Atrio Wine Bar and Restaurant	Bar	Mediterranean	102 N End Ave	open
Better Healthy Salad Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		245 Murray St	open
Blue Smoke	Restaurant (service type not stated)		255 Vesey St	open
Bluestone Lane Battery Park Bluestone Lane	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	2 River Ter.	open
Brooklyn Roasting Company	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	200 West St	open
Cafe Luxembourg	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	200 West St	open
Dr Smood	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	210 Murray St	open
El Vez and Burrito Bar Starr Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	259 Vesey St	open
Friedman's Friedmans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · American · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian	245 Murray St	open
Global Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Spanish / tapas · Italian	222 Murray St	open
Havatequila Restaurant Partners, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		259 Vesey St	open
Hutch and Waldo	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	300 Vesey St	open
Kcg	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		300 Vesey St	open
Laughing Man	Café	Coffee	300 Vesey St	open
North End Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	104 N End Ave	open
Petite Maman Maman	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · French	210 Murray St	open
Pick A Bagel	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	251 Vesey St	open
Puebla Puebla Mexico	Quick service	Mexican		open
Shake Shack Shake Shack	Quick service	Burgers · American	215 Murray St	open
The Palm Tribeca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	206 West Street	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2000	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	8	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	12	8	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	14	8	5	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	18	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	21	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	19	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	24	15	5	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	12	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10282. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10007	0.4 mi	105	2023
10279	0.4 mi	2	2016
10280	0.5 mi	8	2023
10006	0.5 mi	37	2023
10013	0.6 mi	444	2023
10278	0.6 mi	1	2012
10271	0.6 mi	3	2022
10005	0.8 mi	50	2023
10038	0.8 mi	171	2023
07311	0.9 mi	7	2023
10012	1.1 mi	354	2023
07310	1.2 mi	51	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.