BMIE Market 10474
Bronx County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 11,270 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,375 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,899 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±329 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,281 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,985 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $41,586 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,868 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 33.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,387 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±179 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $333,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±106,247 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10474 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 17.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -23.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +4.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +35.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +43.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 23 (range 17–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10474. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 46.0 | 46 | 40% | +18.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 42.3 | 42 | 35% | +14.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 32.0 | 32 | 25% | +8.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 11,270 | 73 | 40% | +29.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 41,586 | 7 | 40% | +2.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,899 | 71 | 20% | +14.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 4.6 | 49 | 35% | +17.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.4 | 36 | 25% | +9.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 11,270 | 73 | 20% | +14.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 41,586 | 7 | 20% | +1.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -23.3 | 12 | 50% | +5.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 4.6 | 49 | 30% | +14.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 35.3 | 56 | 20% | +11.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (76)
By cuisine
Coffee 10 · Bakery 9 · Seafood 9 · Sandwiches 7 · American 6 · Dessert 5 · Caribbean 4 · Pizza 4 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · African 1 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Café 10 · Quick service 10 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Casual dining 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Bar 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 673 Jrv Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 673 Hunts Point Ave | open | |
| 803 Hunts Point A Deli Crop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 801 Hunts Point Ave | open |
| Above The Rest Baking Corp | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 531 Bryant Ave | open |
| Albert's Coffee Shop | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 405 Hunts Point Ave | open |
| Allen's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1201 Randall Ave | open | |
| Banana Distributors of New York, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 750 Drake St | open | |
| Bayside Seafood Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1197 Randall Ave | open |
| Bella Vista | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 904 Hunts Point Ave | open |
| Blue Ribbon Fish Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 800 Food Center Dr Unit 67 | open |
| Boogie Down Grind | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 868 Hunts Point Ave | open |
| Break Time Sports Bar | Bar | 405 Hunts Point Ave | open | |
| Cafe Italia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 500 Tiffany St | open |
| Chinese Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Chinese · Asian | 1236 Spofford Ave | open |
| City Tamale Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1316 Oakpoint Ave | open | |
| Cosmos Seafood Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 550 Casanova St | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | open | |
| Delfini | Casual dining | American | 500 Tiffany St | open |
| Dig Inn Commissary Dig Inn | Fast casual · Catering | Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 509 Manida St | open |
| Early Morning Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 529 Worthen St | open |
| El Sabor De Michoacan | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 1232 Randall Ave | open |
| El Torito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1380 Randall Ave | open |
| El Torito De Oro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 889 Hunts Point Ave | open |
| Featherstone Foods | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 1164 E 156th St | open |
| FoodArt Bakery | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 435 Longfellow Ave | open |
| Fratilli's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 404 Hunts Point Ave | open |
| Fulton Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 800 Food Center Dr | open | |
| Hunts Point Fish Market | Quick service | Seafood | open | |
| Hunts Point Juice Bar and Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 620 Manida St Storefront # 3 | open |
| Il Forno Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 521 Faile St | open |
| India Beverages Inc | Other | 1401 Viele Ave | open | |
| Jimmy's Bronx Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · American | open | |
| JOHNNY'S CAFE | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1232 Randall Ave | open |
| Just Bagels Mfg, Inc | Bakery | Bakery | 527 Casanova St | open |
| Kalivia Food Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 355 Food Center Dr | open | |
| Kennedy Fried Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 870 Hunts Point Ave | open |
| King's Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 687 Whittier St | open |
| Leaven & Companions | Bakery | Bakery | 220 Coster St | open |
| Life Zone Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1231 Lafayette Ave | open | |
| Market Gourmet Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1390 Randall Ave | open |
| Martha & Marley Spoon | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 300 Manida St | open |
| Masas, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1401 Viele Ave | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 925 Hunts Point Blvd | open |
| Metro Softee Ice Cream Inc | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 337 Manida St | open |
| Milly's Corner | Casual dining · Bar | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 1129 Longwood Ave | open |
| Mogridder's Bbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 565 Hunts Point Ave | open |
| Montauk Seafood Co. Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 800 Food Center Dr Unit 81 | open | |
| Mt Sinai Fish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 800 Food Center Dr | open |
| MTA Subway - Hunts Point Ave | Quick service | Sandwiches | 934 Hunts Point Ave | open |
| Nations Best Wholesale Deli Co. | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | D7 Hunts Point Co Op Mkt Ste D7 | open |
| New Chinese Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1312 Lafayette Ave | open |
| New Pepperoni's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 1308 Lafayette Ave | open |
| Oasis Coffee Shop | Coffee shop · Casual dining · Café | Coffee · American | 390 Tiffany St | open |
| Ocean's Special Food Cafe | Quick service | 3338 Stroop Hill Road | open | |
| Orwashers Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1187 E 156th St | open |
| Out of the Blue Seafood- Wholesale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1271 Ryawa Ave | open |
| Paloma Deli Grocery | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1240 Spofford Ave | open |
| RadioShack Seafood Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 800 Food Center Dr | open |
| Randall Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 1328 Randall Ave | open |
| RD CARIDAD | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 501 Hunts Point Ave | open |
| Slowcocoa Craft Chocolate | Dessert | Dessert | 1361 Viele Ave | open |
| Steakhouse Elite | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 355 Food Center Dr | open | |
| The Best independent ice cream | Dessert · Food truck | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 527 Barretto St | open |
| The Hunts Point Cafe & Grill | Café | Coffee | 402 Hunts Point Ave | open |
| The Maccs | Dessert | Dessert | 220 Coster St | open |
| The Point Cafe and Bascom Catering | Café | Coffee | 940 Garrison Ave | open |
| The Roasting Room by Buunni | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 542 Barretto St | open |
| Valencia Bakery Valencia Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 801 Edgewater Rd | open |
| Winner's Grill: Afro-Caribbean Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · African | 490 Hunts Point Ave | open |
| Woops Franchise Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 435 Longfellow Ave | open | |
| World Wide Direct Seafood Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 800 Food Center Dr | open |
| Xin Rong | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 741 Hunts Point Ave | open |
| Yam House | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1261 Randall Ave | open |
| Bp Commodities Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1190 Longwood Ave | closed | |
| Deli On The Point Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 880 Garrison Ave | closed |
| Famous Gourmet & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 770 Hunts Point Ave | closed | |
| Randall Pasta Pizza & More Inc | Café | Coffee | 1323 Randall Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 20 | 16 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 19 | 15 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 22 | 18 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 20 | 16 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 11 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 11 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 11 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 20 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 25 | 22 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 26 | 7 | 17 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 22 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 22 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 26 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 30 | 27 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 31 | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 32 | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 34 | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 33 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 29 | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 27 | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 29 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 28 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |