BMIE Market 10506

Westchester County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,244 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±752 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,240 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±398 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,790 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,139 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$250,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±412 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,175,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±121,458 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10506
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10506. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.0	78	40%	+31.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.9	62	35%	+21.7
Market Momentum Score	43.1	43	25%	+10.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,244	64	40%	+25.6
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	40%	+39.9
Households (ACS)	2,240	63	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.2	68	25%	+16.9
Population (ACS)	6,244	64	20%	+12.8
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	20%	+20.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	40	58	20%	+11.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (10)

By cuisine

French 2 · Sandwiches 2 · American 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Specialty food shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Balthazar Covent Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	4-6 Russell Street	open
Bedford Village Pastry	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	426 Old Post Rd	open
Diana Bedford Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		454 Old Post Rd	open
Finch's Country Store	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	4 Bedford Banksville Rd	open
G.E. Brown Fine Food and Provisions	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	652 Old Post Rd	open
La CreÌmailleÌ€re	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	French · European	46 Bedford-Banksville Rd	open
Meetinghouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	635 Old Post Rd	open
Ristorante Lucia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	454 Old Post Rd	open
Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	391 Old Post Rd	open
Village Green Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	26 Main Street	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	8	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	8	5	2	1	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	9	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	5	—	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	6	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	6	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	8	6	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	7	5	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	12	8	6	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	9	7	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	8	6	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	12	9	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	9	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	9	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10506. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10507	4.0 mi	13	2023
10576	4.1 mi	10	2023
10549	4.5 mi	71	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.