BMIE Market 10589

Westchester County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,604 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±730 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,649 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±372 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,475 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,972 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$129,214 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,465 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	63.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$574,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,690 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10589
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+17.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 17–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10589. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.8	78	40%	+31.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.4	59	35%	+20.8
Market Momentum Score	60.0	60	25%	+15.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,604	67	40%	+26.7
Median household income (ACS)	129,214	93	40%	+37.1
Households (ACS)	3,649	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	17.7	61	35%	+21.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	26.3	25	25%	+6.2
Population (ACS)	7,604	67	20%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	129,214	93	20%	+18.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5.3	62	50%	+30.8
10-year restaurant growth	17.7	61	30%	+18.3
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

Sandwiches 7 · American 5 · Italian 4 · Coffee 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Halal / kosher 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Quick service 7 · Specialty food shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Other 3 · Café 2 · Catering 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aunt B's Yogurt Bar	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	325 New York 100	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert	325 NY-100	open
Bistro on the Green	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1000 W Hill Dr	open
Bobo's Cafe Bobo's Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	249 US-202 6 Heritage Center	open
Epsteins of Somers	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Halal / kosher	325 NY-100	open
Fratelli's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1 Heritage Hls	open
Fratelli's Pizza & Pasta, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Heritage Hills 202 Ctr	open
Froggy's II Deli	Other	Sandwiches	255 Route 100	open
Froggy's Sandwiches Froggy's Sandwiches-Somers NY	Other	Sandwiches · Breakfast · American	253 NY-100	open
Groska	Bar		787 Heritage Hls	open
Il Forno Italian Kitchen & Bar Il Fornaio	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	343 Route 202	open
JAD Deli Family & Friends	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	256 RT-100	open
JV Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	325 NY-100	open
Mamma Rosa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	252 NY-100	open
Oscar's 2 Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	325 NY-100	open
Prime Pub Somers Prime Pub Danbury	Casual dining · Bar	American	249 US-202	open
Q's Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	325 NY-100	open
Sal's Pizza And Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	155 US-202	open
Salsa Verde	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	325 Route 100	open
Somerfields	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	325 Route 100	open
Somers Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	155 Route 202	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	80 Birdsall Rd	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	325 Route 100, Suite B 105	open
Sweet Delites Pastry Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	325 New York 100 119 Market Plaza	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1 Pepsi Way Ste 4	open
TASTE Gourmet Deli & Catering	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	265 US-202	open
The Burger Barn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	289 Route 100	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	24	24	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	19	19	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	18	15	7	6	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	18	15	6	5	4	—	NAICS1997
2000	18	14	7	3	4	—	NAICS1997
2001	16	13	7	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	21	16	7	6	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	20	15	8	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	23	18	10	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	24	19	10	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	21	16	8	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	24	18	9	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	26	20	12	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	24	18	12	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	25	18	11	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	30	23	11	10	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	15	7	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	25	17	7	6	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	22	14	5	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	24	17	7	7	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	24	16	8	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	18	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	19	8	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	18	6	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	18	6	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	14	5	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	19	9	7	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	23	20	8	8	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10589. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10578	1.5 mi	1	2016
10519	1.8 mi	4	2023
10540	1.9 mi	1	2016
10505	2.9 mi	11	2023
10526	3.2 mi	1	2016
10527	4.1 mi	2	2016
10501	4.3 mi	1	2013
10536	4.4 mi	16	2023
10542	4.6 mi	1	2016
10541	4.6 mi	53	2023
10560	5.0 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.