BMIE Market 10536
Westchester County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,669 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,093 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,382 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±280 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 10,739 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,776 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $250,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,483 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±909 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $867,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,781 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 26.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10536 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 16.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 16 (range 13–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 17 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10536. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 82.4 | 82 | 40% | +32.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53.7 | 54 | 35% | +18.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 17.4 | 17 | 25% | +4.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,669 | 72 | 40% | +28.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 250,001 | 100 | 40% | +39.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,382 | 69 | 20% | +13.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -11.1 | 18 | 35% | +6.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 15 | 53 | 25% | +13.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,669 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 250,001 | 100 | 20% | +20.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 17 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -20 | 13 | 50% | +6.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -11.1 | 18 | 30% | +5.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (35)
By cuisine
American 9 · Italian 7 · Bakery 5 · Pizza 3 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Rydar Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 17 Katonah Ave | open | |
| A La Mode Ice Cream | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 21 Croton Lake Rd | open |
| Amore Pizzeria and Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 22 Edgemont Rd | open |
| Bagel Shoppe | Bakery | Bakery | 280 Katonah Ave | open |
| Bakehouse on Village | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 14 Old Village Ln | open |
| Bark and Brine BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | BBQ | 29 Todd Rd | open |
| Blue Dolphin | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 175 Katonah Ave | open |
| Das Doggen Haus | Bar · Casual dining | American | 24 Young Rd | open |
| Farmhouse Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 128 Bedford Rd | open |
| G&s Brand Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 286 Katonah Ave | open | |
| Goldberg's Famous Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 280 Katonah Ave | open |
| Jay Street Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 63 Katonah Ave | open |
| Jimmy's | Bar | 156 Bedford Rd | open | |
| Katonah Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 28 Valley Rd | open |
| King Kone | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 109 NY-100 | open |
| KR Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 63 Katonah Ave | open |
| La Familia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | Shopping Center, 278 Katonah Ave | open |
| Le Fontane | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 137 Somerstown Turnpike | open |
| Lmnop Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | Harris Rd, Katonah , 10536, United States | open |
| Muscoot Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | American | 105 Somerstown Turnpike | open |
| Old Bedford Oak | Bar | 14 Barry Ct | open | |
| Oliver's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 128 Bedford Rd | open |
| Paulie's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 24 WOODSBRIDGE Rd | open |
| Peking City | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 138 Bedford Rd | open |
| Peppino's Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 116 Katonah Ave | open |
| Pizza Station Pizza Station | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 27 Parkway Apt 1 | open |
| Sweetooth | Bakery | Bakery | 43 Katonah Ave | open |
| Syl-joe Restaurant Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 116 Katonah Ave | open | |
| Tazza Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 197 Katonah Ave | open |
| Tengda Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 286 Katonah Ave | open |
| The Whitlock | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 17 Katonah Ave | open |
| Westchester Amateur Winemakers Club | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 4 Reynolds Ln | open | |
| William Nicholas & Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 19 Edgemont Rd | open | |
| 63 Katonah Avenue Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 63 Katonah Ave | closed | |
| Twist Frozen Yogurt Bar Inc | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 120 Bedford Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 13 | 12 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 14 | 13 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 13 | 11 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 21 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 20 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 19 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 21 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 22 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 24 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 22 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 25 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 24 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 26 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 27 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 27 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 24 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |