BMIE Market 11436

Queens County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,527 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,288 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,568 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±377 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,949 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,924 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,047 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,180 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,171 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±145 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$639,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,709 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11436
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+17.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+81.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+185.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+566.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 21–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11436. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.6	78	40%	+31.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81.3	81	35%	+28.5
Market Momentum Score	82.6	83	25%	+20.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,527	83	40%	+33.3
Median household income (ACS)	88,047	71	40%	+28.5
Households (ACS)	6,568	78	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	81.8	89	35%	+31.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.9	77	25%	+19.2
Population (ACS)	22,527	83	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	88,047	71	20%	+14.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	17.7	75	50%	+37.7
10-year restaurant growth	81.8	89	30%	+26.8
20-year restaurant growth	185.7	91	20%	+18.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Caribbean 4 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Seafood 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · African 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Dessert 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
144 Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14402 135th Ave	open
144 Rockaway Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	144-18 Rockaway Blvd	open
4 Milli Cafe & Caribbean Cuisine Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14612 Rockaway Blvd	open
Airport Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	12848 150th St	open
Caribbean Style Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	145-07 Rockaway Blvd	open
Chew The Fat: Bar, Lounge, And Grill	Bar		14614 Rockaway Blvd	open
Compass Café	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	142-82 Rockaway Blvd	open
Crown Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	14620 Rockaway Blvd	open
Dee & L's Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	149-21 Rockaway Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	13344 150th St Gulf Gas Station	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	146-01 Rockaway Blvd	open
Especial Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14121 Rockaway Blvd	open
Golden Krust Caribbean Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	147-10 Rockaway Blvd	open
Great Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	141-36 Rockaway Blvd	open
Hibachi Wing	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Japanese · American	146-15 Rockaway Blvd	open
Jfk Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Bar		14121 Rockaway Blvd	open
Jollof Cafe & Grill	Café	Coffee	149-10 Linden Blvd	open
Juicy Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	14112 Rockaway Blvd	open
Karina M M Deli Corp	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	14004 Foch Blvd	open
King supthin hookah lounge	Bar		11308B	open
New Hunan Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	14112 Rockaway Blvd	open
Panda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	146-11 Rockaway Blvd	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	147 20 Rockaway Blvd	open
Platinum Hookah Lounge and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		140-14 Rockaway Blvd	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	142-02 Rockaway Blvd	open
RCL Enterprises Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	141-22 Rockaway Blvd	open
Rockaway Grill & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	14116 Rockaway Blvd	open
Soul Food Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · African	141-22 Rockaway Blvd	open
Superfine Restaurant Catering & Tiffins	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14249 Rockaway Blvd	open
Supreme Empanadas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	13732 Rockaway Blvd	open
Trini Kitchen Seafood & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Seafood	141-12 Rockaway Blvd	open
True Flavors	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · American	140-16 Rockaway Blvd	open
Yummy Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	146-15 Rockaway Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	1	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	—	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	10	1	9	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	10	2	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	10	—	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	13	1	11	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	2	10	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	14	3	10	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	16	2	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	2	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	14	14	2	11	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	15	3	11	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	17	3	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	15	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	17	4	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	19	5	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	17	4	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	16	3	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	20	6	11	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	20	4	13	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11436. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11434	1.0 mi	57	2023
11420	1.1 mi	39	2023
11433	1.6 mi	23	2023
11419	1.6 mi	73	2023
11451	1.8 mi	1	2006
11435	1.9 mi	94	2023
11430	2.1 mi	31	2023
11413	2.4 mi	29	2023
11412	2.5 mi	25	2023
11417	2.5 mi	52	2023
11418	2.7 mi	58	2023
11432	2.7 mi	124	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.