BMIE Market 11413

Queens County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	45,965 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,366 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,014 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±647 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	38,912 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,975 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$118,440 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,699 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,098 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±113 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$656,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,618 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11413
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-9.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+26.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+141.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+190.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	37 (range 31–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.51) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	93 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	83 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	48 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11413. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.51, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	92.8	93	40%	+37.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82.8	83	35%	+29.0
Market Momentum Score	47.7	48	25%	+11.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	45,965	96	40%	+38.4
Median household income (ACS)	118,440	90	40%	+35.9
Households (ACS)	14,014	92	20%	+18.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	26.1	68	35%	+23.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.3	87	25%	+21.8
Population (ACS)	45,965	96	20%	+19.2
Median household income (ACS)	118,440	90	20%	+18.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-9.4	19	50%	+9.6
10-year restaurant growth	26.1	68	30%	+20.5
20-year restaurant growth	141.7	88	20%	+17.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (80)

By cuisine

Caribbean 19 · American 10 · Sandwiches 8 · Chicken / wings 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Coffee 3 · Halal / kosher 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Pizza 3 · Seafood 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Vegan 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 50 · Quick service 16 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Bar 6 · Specialty food shop 6 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Buffet 1 · Café 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
136 Deli & Grill	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	13533 Springfield Blvd	open
A Live Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan · Vegetarian	227-16 Merrick Blvd	open
Alta Villa Cafe	Café	Coffee	23059 International Airport Center Blvd	open
Altolisi Pizza Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13462 Springfield Blvd	open
Annie's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Seafood	231-12 Merrick Blvd	open
Bamboo House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	134-58 Springfield Blvd	open
BarakahGrill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Halal / kosher	222-16 144th Ave	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	133-28 Springfield Blvd	open
Be In Good Health	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	22717 Merrick Blvd	open
Bella Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	134-62 Springfield Blvd	open
Blu Seafood Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	222-02 Merrick Blvd	open
Breezes Island Grill Restaurant & Lounge	Bar		23006 S Conduit Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	224-01 N Conduit Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	216-03 Merrick Blvd	open
Calabash Experience	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21706 Merrick Blvd	open
CB’s Seafood Lynx	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food · Caribbean	227-03 Merrick Blvd	open
Courierbea	Restaurant (service type not stated)		182-21 150th Ave	open
Crown Fried Chicken Crown Fried Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Halal / kosher	229-07 Merrick Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	219-11 N Conduit Ave	open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	Merrick Blvd	open
Erica's cuisine restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · American	219-03 N Conduit Ave	open
Foo An Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	22318 S Conduit Ave	open
Garden City Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22401 Merrick Blvd	open
Golden Krust Caribbean Restaurant Golden Krust	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	230-02 Merrick Blvd	open
Golden Krust Caribbean Restaurant Golden Krust	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	223-24 S Conduit Ave	open
Golden Krust Caribbean Restaurant	Bakery	Bakery	13338 Springfield Blvd	open
Gsl Conduit Food Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22112 S Conduit Ave	open
Halal Grill Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern	133-38 Springfield Blvd	open
HuskyP Meals Direct	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · American	184-17 140th Ave	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	134-60 Springfield Blvd	open
J&Y Deli & Mini Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Jamaica Breeze Restaurant	Buffet	Caribbean	232-02 Merrick Blvd	open
Jamaican Flavors	Bakery	Bakery	22409 141st Ave	open
Jamaican Flavors Jamaican Flavors-Baldwin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	134-41 Springfield Blvd	open
Jamwest Flavors	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Caribbean	130-46 227th St	open
Jerk Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	231-07 Merrick Blvd	open
Juicy King Crab Express	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	134-47 Springfield Blvd	open
King Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	225-21 Merrick Blvd	open
Laurelton Stop Deli and Grocery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Le Cap	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	229-10 Merrick Blvd	open
Lothians Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21706 Merrick Blvd	open
Lovell's Afterdark Bar and Lounge	Bar		224-01 Merrick Blvd	open
Mango's Jamaican Kitchen and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	13324 Springfield Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	221-12 So Conduit Ave	open
Merrick Deli and Grill	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining · Bar	Sandwiches	227-20 Merrick Blvd	open
Natuzzi Bros Ice	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12160 Farmers Blvd	open
New De Xing Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22521 Merrick Blvd	open
New Texas Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13447 Springfield Blvd	open
Only Rare NYC	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	229-13 Merrick Blvd	open
OnlyRare	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	229-13 Merrick Blvd	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	133-38 Springfield Blvd	open
Patmar Bake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert · Caribbean	223-10 S Conduit Ave	open
Peppas Jerk Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22608 Merrick Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	22401 N. Conduit Ave., Kings North Conduit	open
Pop's House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22919 Merrick Blvd	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	219-03 N Conduit Ave	open
Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers Raising Cane's	Quick service		230-05 Merrick Blvd	open
Ronnie Ron Deli Inc	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	13447 Springfield Blvd	open
San's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	22705 Merrick Blvd	open
Silvers Crust	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	227-05 Merrick Blvd	open
Southern Girls Soulfood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	218-01 Merrick Blvd	open
Spdaisy Coffee Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13328 Springfield Blvd	open
Spring Gardens	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	135-29 Springfield Blvd	open
Star Deli Inc	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	21719 Merrick Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	219-25 N Conduit Ave	open
Sweet Treats Delight Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	133-32 226th St	open
Swiss Air Lounge	Bar		148-29 231st St	open
Tex's Chicken & Burgers	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	217-12 Merrick Blvd	open
The Cheesecake Factory The Cheesecake Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
The Red Deck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	141-03 183rd St	open
Tropical Flavor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	21917 Merrick Blvd	open
Tru Jerk & Soul	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	21917 Merrick Blvd	open
Truth Restaurant and Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	229-15 Merrick Blvd	open
West Bar and Lounge	Bar	Caribbean	133-24 Springfield Blvd	open
Wing Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	23014 Merrick Blvd	open
Wingtide	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	230-14 Merrick Blvd	open
Yummy Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	22715 Merrick Blvd	open
Zulu Juice /Zulu Black Aloe Crystals	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	232-09 Merrick Blvd	open
Horizon Distributors Llc	Bakery	Bakery	22401 141st Ave	closed
Merrick King Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	22011 Merrick Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	14	12	2	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	16	14	4	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	15	15	2	13	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	17	17	2	15	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	17	4	13	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	20	20	6	14	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	24	24	7	17	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	28	28	10	18	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	24	24	8	16	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	25	25	7	18	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	23	23	6	17	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	30	29	5	23	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	25	24	5	18	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	30	26	2	23	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	29	27	4	22	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	35	32	5	24	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	38	34	4	28	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	34	31	5	24	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	36	31	7	22	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	40	35	7	26	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	32	29	8	20	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11413. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11422	1.0 mi	37	2023
11434	1.4 mi	57	2023
11411	1.8 mi	15	2023
11412	1.9 mi	25	2023
11436	2.4 mi	20	2023
11581	2.4 mi	43	2023
11430	2.5 mi	31	2023
11433	2.6 mi	23	2023
11580	2.6 mi	73	2023
11429	2.7 mi	26	2023
11003	3.1 mi	59	2023
11451	3.1 mi	1	2006

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.