BMIE Market 11411

Queens County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,540 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,294 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,632 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±386 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,556 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,164 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$116,458 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,102 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,723 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±216 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$646,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,554 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11411
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-11.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+87.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+87.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.31) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11411. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.31, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.1	84	40%	+33.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.0	61	35%	+21.4
Market Momentum Score	29.6	30	25%	+7.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,540	82	40%	+32.7
Median household income (ACS)	116,458	89	40%	+35.7
Households (ACS)	6,632	79	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-11.8	17	35%	+6.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.3	83	25%	+20.8
Population (ACS)	20,540	82	20%	+16.4
Median household income (ACS)	116,458	89	20%	+17.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.8	17	50%	+8.7
10-year restaurant growth	-11.8	17	30%	+5.2
20-year restaurant growth	87.5	79	20%	+15.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (39)

By cuisine

Caribbean 10 · Bakery 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Chinese 3 · American 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Bakery 5 · Quick service 5 · Bar 3 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
229 Linden Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	229-02 Linden Blvd	open
Antuns Caterers	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		114-29 Springfield Blvd	open
Brasserie Creole	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern	227-02 Linden Blvd	open
Brooklyn Wing House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	227-01 Linden Blvd	open
Cafe Regal	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar	Coffee	225-07 Linden Blvd	open
Carline Legros Insurance	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22419 Linden Blvd	open
Cuisine Imperial	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	231-09 Linden Blvd	open
D And J Grocery Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	231-05 Linden Blvd	open
Detoxx Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	234-16 Linden Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	20815 Linden Blvd	open
Epi Dor Kreyol Restaurant And Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	223-18 Linden Blvd	open
Foresthills Medical &amp Diagnostic Servic	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11572 Francis Lewis Blvd	open
Fres' c tortilla Tex Mex Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	221-25 Linden Blvd, Queens, NY 11411	open
Golden Krust Caribbean Restaurant Golden Krust	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	234-16 Linden Blvd	open
Greydolphin rest and lounge	Bar		223-01 Linden Blvd	open
Happy House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	116-36 Springfield Blvd	open
Irie Vibes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	116-32 Springfield Blvd	open
Kam's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	217-09 Linden Blvd	open
Kennedy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	216-19 Linden Blvd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service	Chicken / wings	117-05 Francis Lewis Blvd	open
Krunchy Krust Pizza & Wings (Zabiha Halal, HMS CERT.)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Halal / kosher · Chicken / wings	221-15 Linden Blvd	open
La P'tite Baguette Shop La Baguette Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert · Caribbean	229-24 Linden Blvd	open
La Ronde Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	22807 Linden Blvd	open
Les Delices	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21902 Linden Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	216-07 Linden Blvd	open
Meritta's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	223-15 Linden Blvd	open
Namron Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11407 Colfax St	open
New Great Dragon Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22412 Linden Blvd	open
Port-o-Prince Star Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean		open
Pulse Zero Bar & Cocktail Lounge	Bar		224-01 Linden Blvd	open
Sham Soup	Restaurant (service type not stated)		114-04 208th St	open
T and G Flavors	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	228-01 Linden Blvd	open
Taza Halal Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Mexican · Mediterranean	216-19 Linden Blvd	open
Tha Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22507 Linden Blvd	open
ThemillenniumRestaurant&bkry	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Caribbean · Bakery	223-18 Linden Blvd	open
Tiffany's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	23109 Linden Blvd	open
Yummy Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese	216-13 Linden Blvd	open
New Little Rabbit Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22011 Linden Blvd	closed
St Davids Episcopal Church-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11735 235th St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	8	1	5	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	1	5	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	8	1	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	1	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	1	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	10	8	—	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	1	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	12	10	3	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	14	12	3	9	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	4	9	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	16	16	4	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	17	3	13	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	17	1	16	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	14	14	2	12	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	16	3	13	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	18	17	3	14	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	18	17	4	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	17	4	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	14	3	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	15	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	14	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	15	6	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11411. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11429	1.1 mi	26	2023
11412	1.2 mi	25	2023
11003	1.6 mi	59	2023
11413	1.8 mi	29	2023
11428	1.9 mi	38	2023
11580	2.2 mi	73	2023
11423	2.2 mi	35	2023
11422	2.3 mi	37	2023
11434	2.4 mi	57	2023
11427	2.6 mi	14	2023
11001	2.6 mi	44	2023
11433	2.7 mi	23	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.