BMIE Market 11427

Queens County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24,607 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,011 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,321 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±502 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	23,593 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,958 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,980 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,548 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,748 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$703,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47,447 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11427
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+55.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 12–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.43) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	15 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11427. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.43, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.3	79	40%	+31.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.3	57	35%	+20.1
Market Momentum Score	14.8	15	25%	+3.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24,607	85	40%	+34.0
Median household income (ACS)	88,980	72	40%	+28.9
Households (ACS)	8,321	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-30	10	35%	+3.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.7	89	25%	+22.3
Population (ACS)	24,607	85	20%	+17.0
Median household income (ACS)	88,980	72	20%	+14.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 15 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-33.3	8	50%	+4.1
10-year restaurant growth	-30	10	30%	+3.0
20-year restaurant growth	7.7	38	20%	+7.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Pizza 3 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Asian 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Quick service 10 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	217-10 Hillside Avenue	open
Cara Mia Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22020 Hillside Ave	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert		open
Century Super Buffet Umi premier Sushi & Seafood Buffet - Deptford	Buffet	Japanese · Sushi · Seafood	22018 Hillside Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	219-11 Hillside Ave	open
Elegant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	212-06 Hillside Ave.	open
Elena's Restaurant 43	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Spanish / tapas	89-48 Francis Lewis Blvd	open
Fine Buffet Indian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21838 Hillside Ave	open
Frangos Peri Peri Queens	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Halal / kosher · Chicken / wings	233-16 Hillside Ave	open
Hollis Court Blvd, Queens village	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Joe & Tom Italian Restaurant Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22020 Hillside Ave	open
Madina Halal Food Cart at Francis Lewis Blvd and Hillside Ave	Food truck	Middle Eastern	88-12 Francis Lewis Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	88-14 Springfield Blvd	open
Mio Pane Cafe	Café	Coffee	8991 217th St	open
MJ's Pizza & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	215-32 Hillside Ave	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	89-53 Francis Lewis Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	220-03 Hillside Ave	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	21710 Hillside Ave	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	217-10 Hillside Avw	open
Rajdhani Indian Restaurant Inc Dba Hillside Banquet	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20612 Hillside Ave	open
Shah's Halal Food Shah's Halal Food	Quick service		218-40 Hillside Ave	open
Silver Moon Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	23520 Hillside Ave	open
Szechuan Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	23314 Hillside Ave	open
The Burger Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)		23520 Hillside Ave	open
Village Deli Grocery Inc	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	21202 Hillside Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	219-44 Hillside Ave	open
Winchester Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	233-20 Hillside Ave	open
Village Burger Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21710 Hillside Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	11	9	1	7	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	1	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	11	3	6	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	14	12	3	7	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	14	12	3	7	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	16	13	5	6	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	17	14	5	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	20	16	5	10	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	21	17	5	10	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	19	17	7	9	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	15	6	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	17	15	6	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	19	17	5	9	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	21	19	5	12	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	18	17	5	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	21	20	6	12	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	22	21	5	13	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	20	19	4	12	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	22	21	3	15	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	21	20	5	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	21	6	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	21	5	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	20	5	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	19	3	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	17	3	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	14	3	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11427. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11428	0.7 mi	38	2023
11364	1.2 mi	59	2023
11426	1.3 mi	24	2023
11429	1.5 mi	26	2023
11423	1.6 mi	35	2023
11366	1.8 mi	44	2023
11004	2.1 mi	34	2023
11362	2.1 mi	63	2023
11001	2.2 mi	44	2023
11412	2.4 mi	25	2023
11005	2.4 mi	2	2016
11411	2.6 mi	15	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.