BMIE Market 11429

Queens County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	26,832 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,876 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,136 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±580 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,105 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,791 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$102,880 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,694 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,649 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$668,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11429
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+36.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+36.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+116.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+116.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 22–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.55) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11429. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.55, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.0	84	40%	+33.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.7	79	35%	+27.5
Market Momentum Score	83.2	83	25%	+20.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	26,832	87	40%	+34.6
Median household income (ACS)	102,880	83	40%	+33.1
Households (ACS)	8,136	82	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	36.8	76	35%	+26.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.7	73	25%	+18.4
Population (ACS)	26,832	87	20%	+17.3
Median household income (ACS)	102,880	83	20%	+16.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	36.8	87	50%	+43.3
10-year restaurant growth	36.8	76	30%	+22.7
20-year restaurant growth	116.7	86	20%	+17.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

Caribbean 8 · Sandwiches 6 · Chinese 5 · American 4 · Bakery 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · Seafood 2 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Quick service 11 · Specialty food shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Dessert 3 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A & A Family Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	22702 112th Ave	open
Bakery	Bakery	Bakery		open
Baskin-robbins Baskin-Robbins	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	10962 Francis Lewis Blvd	open
Bebe Fritay	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	112-26 Francis Lewis Blvd	open
Belvedere Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21854 Hempstead Ave	open
Benediction Bakery	Bakery	Bakery		open
Brooklyn Wild Catch Ii	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	21784 Hempstead Ave	open
Cafe Tealicious	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	218-56 Hempstead Ave	open
China Delight	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	21882 Hempstead Ave	open
China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22016 Hempstead Ave	open
Cookerz Blend	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	217-84 Hempstead Ave	open
Creole Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern	111-44 Springfield Blvd	open
Crown Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10302 Springfield Blvd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	109-62 Francis Lewis Blvd	open
E and J Tropical Jerk and Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	217-95 Hempstead Ave	open
Firebelly Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	21885 97th Ave	open
Fountain of Youth Juice Bar & Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	217-93 Hempstead Ave	open
Francis Lewis Dominican Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		112-01 Francis Lewis Blvd	open
Golden Krust	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	218-73 Hempstead Ave	open
Good Guys Deli And Grocery Inc	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	20722 Hollis Ave	open
Ha Bo Chinese Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	102-11 Springfield Blvd	open
Halal Bros Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern	218-74 Hempstead Ave	open
Hollis Deli Corp	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	206-02 Hollis Ave	open
Hops Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	10969 Francis Lewis Blvd	open
Island Provisions	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Caribbean	96-13 Springfield Blvd	open
J Madrid Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	10401 Francis Lewis Blvd	open
Jamming Laguna Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	227-66 113th Dr	open
Jerk Pan Kusine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11302 Springfield Blvd	open
Kizine Lakay	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11226 Francis Lewis Blvd	open
LDAL Gifted Hands LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2-11 24 104th 104th	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	218-14 Hempstead Ave	open
Mc Auto Care & Collision	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21602 Hempstead Ave	open
Mister Softee Depot	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	215-04 Hempstead Ave	open
Nettie's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Hempstead Ave	open
Nnr Hollis Food Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10962 Francis Lewis Blvd	open
Outlaw Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	21885 97th Ave	open
Panda King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Asian	220-16 Hempstead Ave	open
Pates Plus Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	9715 Springfield Blvd	open
Pour House	Bar		223-01 Hempstead Ave	open
Silver Spoon Restaurant and Jerk Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	207-12 Hollis Ave	open
Sister seafood fish market	Quick service	Seafood	220-01 Hempstead Ave	open
St Best Jerk Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	11231 Springfield Blvd	open
Supreme Gourmet Grocery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	22020 Hempstead Ave	open
Szechuan Kitchen III	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	11202 Springfield Blvd	open
The Outside Lounge	Bar		109-25 209th St	open
W Deli Grocery Inc	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	11140 Springfield Blvd	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service	Burgers · American	112-11 Springfield Blvd	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	217-90 Hempstead Ave	open
Hempstead Family Deli Inc	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	21784 Hempstead Ave	closed
Ro-jo Towing Inc. Dba Auto Rx	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21237 99th Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	12	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	5	—	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	5	—	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	15	12	2	10	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	17	14	2	10	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	10	2	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	15	12	2	9	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	13	2	9	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	17	14	3	10	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	17	14	4	9	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	19	16	2	13	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	22	19	3	14	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	20	17	2	13	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	21	18	3	13	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	24	21	2	17	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	22	19	3	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	19	3	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	20	3	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	18	3	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	27	21	3	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	24	4	19	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	26	4	20	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11429. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11428	0.8 mi	38	2023
11411	1.1 mi	15	2023
11412	1.3 mi	25	2023
11427	1.5 mi	14	2023
11423	1.6 mi	35	2023
11003	1.8 mi	59	2023
11001	2.0 mi	44	2023
11426	2.0 mi	24	2023
11433	2.6 mi	23	2023
11366	2.7 mi	44	2023
11364	2.7 mi	59	2023
11413	2.7 mi	29	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.