BMIE Market 11428

Queens County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,028 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,522 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,946 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±503 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,168 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,780 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$91,296 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,942 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,947 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±142 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$684,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,949 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11428
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+171.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+280.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	42 (range 37–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.51) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11428. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.51, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.4	77	40%	+31.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.9	58	35%	+20.3
Market Momentum Score	67.9	68	25%	+17.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,028	81	40%	+32.2
Median household income (ACS)	91,296	74	40%	+29.8
Households (ACS)	5,946	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5.6	50	35%	+17.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.0	37	25%	+9.3
Population (ACS)	19,028	81	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	91,296	74	20%	+14.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.8	70	50%	+34.8
10-year restaurant growth	5.6	50	30%	+15.1
20-year restaurant growth	171.4	90	20%	+18.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (76)

By cuisine

Caribbean 12 · Sandwiches 8 · Chinese 7 · American 6 · Pizza 6 · Mexican 5 · Coffee 4 · Halal / kosher 4 · Latin American (other) 3 · Spanish / tapas 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Indian 2 · Italian 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Filipino 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 56 · Quick service 10 · Bar 9 · Specialty food shop 7 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 2 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
125th Street Donuts & More Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21814 Jamaica Ave Ste 2	open
175 Dyckman Burger Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21814 Jamaica Ave Ste 2	open
25 Flatbush Hot Dog Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21814 Jamaica Ave Ste 2	open
3380 Hillside Nathan's Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21814 Jamaica Ave Ste 2	open
736 Burger Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21814 Jamaica Ave Ste 2	open
Adelitas Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	22103 Jamaica Ave	open
Adelitas Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	221-03 Jamaica Ave	open
Ahuachapan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	214-21 Jamaica Ave	open
Asia Deli Grocery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	21701 Jamaica Ave	open
Big John's Pizza - Queens Village NY	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	219-11 Jamaica Ave	open
CD	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Caribbean	211-45 Jamaica Ave	open
China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	222-19 Braddock Ave	open
Cinco Estrellas Bar And Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21552 Jamaica Ave	open
Country Style West Indian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21507 Jamaica Ave	open
Crispy Chicken Restaurant	Quick service	Middle Eastern · Spanish / tapas	215-52 Jamaica Ave	open
Culture Blend Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		22025 Jamaica Ave	open
D Roti Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	208-01 Jamaica Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	211-02 Jamaica Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	218-16 Jamaica Ave	open
El patio restaurante y bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Spanish / tapas · Seafood	218-21 Jamaica Ave	open
Elyon Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21221 Jamaica Ave	open
Emilio's Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	22103 Jamaica Ave	open
Fazees Delight	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	215-21 Jamaica Ave	open
Flanm Cuisine & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern	21507 Jamaica Ave	open
Food Corner & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	21301 Jamaica Ave	open
Grill n Chill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	216-08 Jamaica Ave	open
Halal Zone	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern	211-47 Jamaica Ave	open
Happy Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	21529 Jamaica Ave	open
Hibiscus Restaurant Queens Village	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Chinese	221-13 Jamaica Ave	open
Jamaica Deli Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	21915 Jamaica Ave	open
Jamaica King Deli Corp.	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	21829 Jamaica Ave	open
La Familia Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21145 Jamaica Ave	open
LabadI Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Caribbean	207-13 Jamaica Ave	open
Lal Restaurant Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21814 Jamaica Ave Ste 2	open
Las Delicias Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21719 Jamaica Ave	open
Lavish Lounge	Bar		21157 Jamaica Ave	open
Layla Halal Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher	21619 Jamaica Ave	open
Le Bon Pain Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Caribbean	211-63 Jamaica Ave	open
Le Bon Pain Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21165 Jamaica Ave	open
Le Caraibeen Bar Restaurant	Bar	American	92-64 218th Pl	open
Linyi Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22219 Braddock Ave	open
Lorenzo's Pizza & Brew	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21545 Jamaica Ave	open
Mateus' Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	222-07 Jamaica Ave	open
Mina's Kitchenette	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino	9049 Springfield Blvd	open
Mr Chile taco	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		212-40 Jamaica Ave	open
Naresh Essequibo Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		212-50 Jamaica Ave	open
Nargis Food Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21814 Jamaica Ave Ste 2	open
New Eastern Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	20809 Jamaica Ave	open
Our Village Roti Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Indian	211-61 Jamaica Ave	open
Peking	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chinese · American	91-11 Springfield Blvd	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings		open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	218-20 Jamaica Ave	open
Prima Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	222-70 Braddock Ave	open
Rice & Beans Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Spanish / tapas · Latin American (other)	91-09 Springfield Blvd	open
Roti Paradise	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Halal / kosher	211-51 Jamaica Ave	open
Salvesam Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	21618 Jamaica Ave	open
Sharma Deli & Grocery Inc	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	9041 Springfield Blvd	open
Shiny House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	21417 Jamaica Ave	open
Sophia Fish Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	219-15 Jamaica Ave	open
Soul Exchange Bistro and Wine Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	20801 Jamaica Ave	open
Spice on a Slice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Indian	215-45 Jamaica Ave	open
Spring Deli &amp Tobacco Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21915 Jamaica Ave	open
Stay Fresh Deli & Grill And Juice & Salad Bar	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	21811 Jamaica Ave	open
Stella's Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	22213 Jamaica Ave	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	21814 Jamaica Ave	open
Sweet Lips Beer Garden	Bar		215-11 Jamaica Ave	open
The Village Hut Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Caribbean	221-13 Jamaica Ave	open
Victor's Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	212-61 Jamaica Ave	open
Village Delicatessen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	21713 Jamaica Ave	open
Village Diner	Casual dining	American	218-12 Jamaica Ave	open
Windies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · American	216-06 Jamaica Ave	open
Yummy Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	221-07 Jamaica Ave	open
Yung Wah Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21151 Jamaica Ave	open
Zona Viva	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	211-59 Jamaica Ave	open
Little Ochi Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21507 Jamaica Ave	closed
Ron's Coffee Shop & Bakery	Café	Coffee	21023 Jamaica Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	19	18	5	7	6	1	NAICS1997
1999	15	15	6	5	4	—	NAICS1997
2000	18	16	7	5	4	2	NAICS1997
2001	17	14	6	5	3	3	NAICS1997
2002	16	15	6	7	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	16	14	5	6	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	21	19	8	8	3	2	NAICS2002
2005	24	21	8	9	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	23	22	8	10	4	1	NAICS2002
2007	17	16	8	4	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	15	7	5	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	26	25	10	12	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	25	24	10	10	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	30	28	10	15	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	34	33	14	15	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	37	36	15	18	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	35	34	12	17	5	—	NAICS2012
2015	32	32	11	16	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	31	31	12	14	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	35	35	14	16	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	35	34	11	18	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	38	35	12	17	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	42	39	13	20	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	42	39	12	21	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	42	39	13	19	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	39	38	10	21	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11428. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11427	0.7 mi	14	2023
11429	0.8 mi	26	2023
11423	1.4 mi	35	2023
11426	1.5 mi	24	2023
11412	1.8 mi	25	2023
11411	1.9 mi	15	2023
11364	1.9 mi	59	2023
11001	2.0 mi	44	2023
11366	2.1 mi	44	2023
11004	2.4 mi	34	2023
11003	2.4 mi	59	2023
11432	2.7 mi	124	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.