BMIE Market 11581
Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 22,818 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,614 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,120 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±449 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 20,844 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,270 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $142,233 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,228 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,292 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±424 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $671,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,330 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11581 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 15.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -21.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +13.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -4.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -34.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 51 (range 37–65) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 27 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11581. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.4 | 87 | 40% | +35.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65.8 | 66 | 35% | +23.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 26.9 | 27 | 25% | +6.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 22,818 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 142,233 | 95 | 40% | +38.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,120 | 80 | 20% | +15.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 13.2 | 57 | 35% | +19.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 18.8 | 40 | 25% | +10.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 22,818 | 84 | 20% | +16.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 142,233 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 27 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -21.8 | 12 | 50% | +6.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 13.2 | 57 | 30% | +17.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -4.4 | 19 | 20% | +3.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (82)
By cuisine
American 15 · Sandwiches 12 · Dessert 9 · Pizza 8 · Bakery 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Coffee 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Seafood 3 · Caribbean 2 · Greek 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Italian 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 43 · Quick service 19 · Dessert 14 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 9 · Bakery 8 · Other 6 · Specialty food shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Café 2 · Fast casual 2 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A and D Buffalo's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2034 West Circle Drive | open |
| Allure Storage Solutions LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 24 Jasmine Ln | open | |
| Antonio's Bodega and Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Latin American (other) | 132 Mill Rd | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1126 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Atlantic Net Logistics | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 181 S Franklin Ave | open | |
| Auntie Anne's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Quick service | Dessert | 2034 W Circle Dr | open |
| BJ's BJ's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 750 Sunrise Hwy 5 Green Acres Common | open |
| BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 5 Green Acres Rd W | open |
| Black Pearl Bubble Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 2034 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Brasserie De La Couronne | Brewery / taproom | 16 Hawthorne Ln | open | |
| Bronx BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 694 W Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Charley's Grilled Subs | Quick service | 2044 Green Acres Mall Ste 220 | open | |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 2044 Green Acres Rd S Mall, 220 | open |
| Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks | Quick service | Sandwiches | 2044 Green Acres Mall 220 | open |
| chickenow | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2028 Green Acres Rd S | open |
| China Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 122W Brooklyn Ave | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2034 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Chocolate Works | Dessert | 396 Rockaway Ave | open | |
| Cinnabon Cinnabon | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 1122 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Cinos Valley Stream, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 750 W Sunrise Hwy | open | |
| Cold Cut Express | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 507 Dubois Ave | open |
| Cold Cut Foods Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 507 Dubois Ave | open | |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Other · Dessert · Bar | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 750 W Sunrise Hwy, Ste 4105 | open |
| Creative Writers Lounge | Bar | 70 E Sunrise Hwy | open | |
| Do The Twist | Other · Dessert · Quick service | Dessert | 1003 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 125 Green Acres Rd BJs Wholesale Club | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 120 E Sunrise Hwy | open |
| E & P Deli Grocery | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 126 Mill Rd | open |
| Family Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 130 Mill Rd | open |
| Famous Rotisserie and Grill Famous Rotisserie and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2034 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Fuji Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 1061 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Galgano Construction | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 129 Bismark Ave | open | |
| Gibson Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 161 Dubois Ave | open |
| Häagen-Dazs Häagen-Dazs | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2034 Green Acres Rd S | open |
| Hook & Reel Hook & Reel Cajun Seafood & Bar USA | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 694 W Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Hook & Reel Cajun Seafood & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 694 W SUNRISE Highway | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 180 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Inatome Japanese Steak and Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 6 5th St | open |
| Jade Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 128 Mill Rd | open |
| Jerry's Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 951 Rosedale Rd | open |
| Jojo's Juice Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar | Juice / smoothies · Caribbean | 124 Brooklyn Ave | open |
| La Pizzeria And Bagel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 951 Rosedale Rd | open |
| Lucy By Marina Bakery LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 503 DUBOIS Ave Floor 1 | open | |
| Master Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 2034 Green Acres Mall | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 10 W Sunrise Hwy | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 2000 Green Acres Mall | open | |
| Meli Melo Restaurant & Lounge Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 153 Dubois Ave | open | |
| My Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Casual dining | Healthy / salads / bowls · American | 2034 West Circle Drive | open |
| nesberrys caribbean ice cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2034 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Olive Garden Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 610 W Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2034 Green Acres Rd | open |
| Paris Baguette Paris Baguette | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2034 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Pizza · Coffee | 500 W Sunrise Hwy | open |
| PizzaRev | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2034 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2034 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Ralph's Famous Italian Ices Ralph's Italian Ices- Lanoka Harbor, NJ | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 1091 Rockaway Ave | open |
| Real Fruit Bubble Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 2034 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Red Lobster Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 606 W Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Rockaway Deli Mart | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 429 Rockaway Ave | open |
| Roro's Gyro Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · American | 32 Roosevelt Ave | open |
| Sarku Japan Sarku Japan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 2034 Green Acres Rd S | open |
| Sbarro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 125 Green Acres Rd | open |
| Shah's Halal Food Shah's Halal Food | Quick service | 2034 Green Acres Rd Sunrise Hwy | open | |
| Shah's Halal Green Acres Mall | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2034 Green Acres Mall | open | |
| Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 750 West Sunrise Highway | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 2028 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 77 Green Acres Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 50 W Sunrise Hwy | open |
| TCBY | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1138 Green Acres Mall | open |
| TGI Fridays TGI Fridays | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Burgers · American | 2034 Green Acres Mall | open |
| The Best Goodie Bag | Bakery | Bakery | 77 Roosevelt Ave | open |
| The Depot | Dessert | 1131 Green Acres Mall | open | |
| The Greek Pie Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Sandwiches · Pizza | 83A Roosevelt Ave | open |
| Three Tarts - bakery + boutique | Bakery | Bakery | 396 Rockaway Ave | open |
| Trinistreetfoodny | Food truck | Caribbean | Green Acres Mall-West, 2034 | open |
| Truffle Restaurant and Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 410 Rockaway Ave | open |
| Via Cuma - Sourdough Pizza & Cucina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 415 Rockaway Ave | open |
| Wah Sang | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 159 Dubois Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2046 Green Acres Mall | open |
| Wetzel's Pretzels | Other · Dessert · Quick service | Dessert | 2034 Green Acres Mall, Sunrise Highway Ste 042AC | open |
| Wings Over Valley Stream Wings Over Greenville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 52 Sunrise State Rte | open |
| R & R Galleria Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 65 Roosevelt Ave Ste 201 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 71 | 66 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 75 | 72 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 49 | 46 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 46 | 43 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 42 | 35 | 11 | 19 | 5 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 47 | 39 | 11 | 21 | 7 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 48 | 42 | 12 | 22 | 8 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 54 | 48 | 14 | 27 | 7 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 44 | 40 | 12 | 21 | 7 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 50 | 45 | 10 | 23 | 12 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 48 | 44 | 11 | 24 | 9 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 49 | 43 | 9 | 24 | 10 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 48 | 44 | 10 | 22 | 12 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 41 | 37 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 34 | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 36 | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 15 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 36 | 34 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 38 | 35 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 40 | 38 | 9 | 24 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 50 | 49 | 11 | 29 | 9 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 50 | 50 | 13 | 28 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 54 | 54 | 15 | 30 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 63 | 62 | 17 | 36 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 56 | 55 | 17 | 31 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 53 | 52 | 16 | 28 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 51 | 49 | 13 | 27 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 60 | 57 | 15 | 32 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 49 | 46 | 12 | 25 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 45 | 43 | 10 | 26 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |