BMIE Market 11565

Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,009 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±344 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,255 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±304 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,690 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,213 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$148,049 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,872 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,898 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±279 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$642,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,345 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11565
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 13–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.58) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11565. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.58, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.6	80	40%	+31.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.9	70	35%	+24.5
Market Momentum Score	63.1	63	25%	+15.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,009	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	148,049	96	40%	+38.4
Households (ACS)	3,255	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	35%	+22.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.3	59	25%	+14.8
Population (ACS)	9,009	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	148,049	96	20%	+19.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	30%	+18.9
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
243 Food Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		243 Hempstead Ave	open
Angelo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	360 Hempstead Ave	open
Antonios Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches · Italian	307 Hempstead Ave	open
Broadway Tavern	Bar		8 Broadway	open
Connolly Station	Bar	British / Irish pub food	280 Hempstead Ave	open
Difference Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	251 Hempstead Ave	open
Double Fish Chinese Food and Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Asian · Chinese	364 Hempstead Ave	open
Grami CaffÉ	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Mediterranean	22A Church St	open
Harvest House Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	352 Hempstead Ave	open
Il Villagio	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	366 Hempstead Ave	open
Kookaburra Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	324 Hempstead Ave	open
Malverne Bagels	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	320 Hempstead Ave	open
Malverne Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	255 Hempstead Ave	open
Malverne Diner	Casual dining	American	350 Hempstead Ave	open
Mexican Bites	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	324 Hempstead Ave	open
New York Prime Meats	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Steakhouse · Sandwiches	345 Hempstead Ave	open
Our Town Grille	Casual dining	American	303 Hempstead Ave	open
Scooop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	36 Church St	open
Scoop There It Is - Ice Cream Spot	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · American	36 Church St	open
Tiffanys Delicatessen Ltd	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	129 Franklin Ave	open
Uva Rossa	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	243 Hempstead Ave	open
Village Juice Garden	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	277 Hempstead Ave	open
Wok Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	364 Hempstead Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	13	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	11	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	12	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	11	9	4	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	4	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	15	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	11	5	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	14	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	14	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	13	11	4	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	12	10	5	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	9	4	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	11	4	4	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	11	4	4	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	12	10	4	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	13	5	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	13	4	4	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	12	3	4	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	12	3	4	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	12	3	4	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11565. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11563	1.2 mi	75	2023
11552	1.5 mi	51	2023
11580	1.6 mi	73	2023
11010	1.8 mi	70	2023
11570	1.8 mi	108	2023
11003	2.5 mi	59	2023
11518	2.6 mi	25	2023
11581	2.8 mi	43	2023
11557	2.9 mi	30	2023
11550	3.2 mi	104	2023
11572	3.5 mi	72	2023
11422	3.6 mi	37	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.